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Mladost vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-85
28-23 33-22 14-18 17-22
Position#11
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.1
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record3-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game90.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mladost v Stoja
18 Feb 2024
MLAD92
STOJ85
18 Mar 2023
MLAD84
STOJ70
11 Dec 2022
MLAD82
STOJ95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 68
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
60avg 68
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 68
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 68
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 68
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 68
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 68
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-101
70
101
-31
68avg 68
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
92-113
92
113
-21
84avg 68
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
52avg 68
A10/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-17
12-21
23-23
11-23
21-22
25-26
9-16
24-18
26-19
6-19
11-16
29-16
14-22
22-8
15-20
21-14
19-27
23-22
22-27
12-17
17-29
30-12
18-27
25-21
23-19
9-13
25-20
19-22
19-30
16-31
16-18
21-31
28-36
26-25
17-21
16-32
10-14
22-13
18-25
160.8Avg total
75.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.886.1163.9-8.324%
Season at home (8)74.884.6159.4-9.925%
Season away (9)80.687.4168.0-6.922%
Last 10 (10)75.984.9160.8-9.020%
Last 5 (5)77.491.2168.6-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.992.8167.7-17.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.986.0170.9-1.140%
vs Weaker (8)93.177.9171.0+15.288%
This opponent (Stoja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 69
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 69
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
75avg 69
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 69
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 69
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
28avg 69
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 69
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 69
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 69
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 69
H10/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
20-29
22-25
17-20
18-17
12-26
11-8
22-21
21-21
17-25
25-27
20-21
18-15
10-25
10-25
16-17
12-23
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
22-23
20-24
27-22
25-18
164.0Avg total
74.3Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.990.9168.8-12.917%
Season at home (9)78.091.3169.3-13.322%
Season away (9)77.990.4168.3-12.611%
Last 10 (10)74.389.7164.0-15.420%
Last 5 (5)71.896.0167.8-24.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)85.495.9181.3-10.628%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.583.5159.0-8.033%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.5164.2+5.267%
This opponent (Mladost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
MladostStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/02
Prva Liga
84.0Avg total
39.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.887.5-0.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.142.185.3+1.064%-
Last 30 away (16)44.245.389.5-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.684.0-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.050.288.2-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.547.886.3-9.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.143.687.7+0.570%-
vs Weaker (8)51.038.189.1+12.9100%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/02
Prva Liga
83.5Avg total
34.9Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.347.688.8-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.845.488.2-2.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.749.789.5-10.013%-
Last 10 (10)34.948.683.5-13.710%-
Last 5 (5)33.250.083.2-16.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.850.891.6-9.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.342.782.0-3.317%-
vs Weaker (6)44.542.887.3+1.750%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.9
50.1%
52.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.4
27.5%
32.9%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
71.2%12.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.123.1
50.1%
52.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.15.4
31.6%
32.9%16.2
🏀 Free throws16.311.4
69.9%
71.2%11.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LLLWLLWLLL
Stoja
WLLLLLLLLW
#11
League position
#13
-11.3
Net rating
-19.2
95.7
Offensive rating
94.1
107.0
Defensive rating
113.3
47.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
20.0%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.5%
3-point %
31.6%
58.0%
Assist %
61.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 94.1Defence107.0 · 113.3Shooting47.0% · 49.4%3-point %27.5% · 31.6%Ball care20.0% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 23.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Mladost   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mladost wins
3
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Stoja v Mladost68-94
22/04/23Stoja v Mladost98-72
18/03/23Mladost v Stoja84-70
11/03/23Stoja v Mladost89-85
11/12/22Mladost v Stoja82-95
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AKastela66-84
06/02/24ASamobor92-113
24/01/24AOsijek70-101
21/01/24HCrikvenica82-73
14/01/24HJazine77-85
23/12/23AKK Zagreb85-90
16/12/23HMarsonia80-66
10/12/23APodstrana67-72
02/12/23HKvarner66-87
25/11/23AOmis74-78
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HHermes94-87
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
20/01/24HKK Zagreb48-90
14/01/24HMarsonia80-88
23/12/23APodstrana66-76
16/12/23HKvarner77-91
09/12/23AOmis82-93
02/12/23HGorica79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLWLW25%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game77.874.880.6
Allowed / game86.184.687.4
Point differential-8.3-9.9-6.9
Avg total163.9159.4168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game77.978.077.9
Allowed / game90.991.390.4
Point differential-12.9-13.3-12.6
Avg total168.8169.3168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1817194%91.172.6+18.6
2 Osijek1917289%87.475.1+12.4
3 Gorica1913668%81.775.2+6.5
4 KK Zagreb1912763%80.672.3+8.3
5 Samobor1912763%84.282.8+1.4
6 Kastela1911858%80.673.9+6.7
7 Jazine1911858%88.485.7+2.6
8 Omis1991047%77.479.5-2.2
9 Hermes1881044%90.590.4+0.1
10 Marsonia1961332%79.185.5-6.4
11 Mladost1741324%77.886.1-8.3
12 Podstrana1941521%71.686.1-14.5
13 Stoja1831517%77.990.9-12.9
14 Crikvenica1831517%73.286.7-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2833141792
Stoja2322182285
← all games of the day
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