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Monaco vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-80
34-18 21-19 24-25 21-18
Position#4
Record8-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.9
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record3-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game91.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2024
Meetings · Monaco v Alba Berlin
06 Dec 2024
MCO100
ABE80
20 Oct 2023
MCO86
ABE75
16 Dec 2022
MCO92
ABE89
08 Apr 2022
MCO91
ABE74
29 Jan 2019
MCO61
ABE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
90avg 86
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
74avg 86
A08/11
Euroleague
Dijon
#8
W
76-74
76
74
+2
89avg 86
H10/11
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
90-98
90
98
-8
80avg 86
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 86
A14/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
81avg 86
H17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 86
H21/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 86
A29/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
W
109-94
109
94
+15
132avg 86
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 86
H04/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
24-28
15-8
21-17
22-23
14-18
16-18
29-10
13-13
23-19
21-24
19-18
26-26
28-22
20-26
16-24
24-7
23-17
14-31
26-20
17-24
18-21
18-15
21-26
20-25
18-15
37-24
28-28
28-26
22-22
15-19
26-21
22-30
32-27
27-22
28-15
19-22
26-25
17-18
18-24
171.3Avg total
87.4Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.881.9166.8+2.962%
Season at home (7)90.387.1177.4+3.157%
Season away (6)78.575.8154.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)87.483.9171.3+3.570%
Last 5 (5)91.489.8181.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)83.781.5165.2+2.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.874.3159.1+10.585%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 77
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-92
71
92
-21
65avg 77
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
88avg 77
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
101avg 77
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
88-115
88
115
-27
76avg 77
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
93-96
93
96
-3
85avg 77
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 77
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
85-103
85
103
-18
80avg 77
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
60-74
60
74
-14
55avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
84avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-21
24-22
24-26
14-23
18-18
18-22
21-29
22-22
25-22
22-27
27-17
19-23
24-32
26-22
23-15
27-28
17-34
14-34
30-19
33-22
17-29
16-19
27-26
22-23
33-32
13-24
16-19
16-32
20-20
20-25
29-26
13-17
4-23
23-14
20-20
26-18
22-20
20-23
10-17
179.6Avg total
85.4Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.891.3171.2-11.523%
Season at home (7)82.189.4171.6-7.329%
Season away (6)77.293.5170.7-16.317%
Last 10 (10)85.494.2179.6-8.830%
Last 5 (5)82.491.8174.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.590.1169.6-10.629%
vs Similar (10)77.778.0155.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (6)87.587.0174.5+0.517%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
MonacoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/11
Euroleague
Dijon
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/11
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A14/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/12
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
44.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.982.1+2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.981.5+1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.740.082.7+2.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.187.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.491.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)44.042.286.2+1.841%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.836.976.7+2.838%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A04/12
Euroleague
88.3Avg total
40.6Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.282.4-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.242.280.4-4.040%-
Last 30 away (15)40.344.284.5-3.920%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.788.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.288.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.945.483.3-7.414%-
vs Similar (10)38.540.178.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)43.543.386.8+0.233%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.0
55.1%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.3
36.6%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.717.7
78.0%
78.0%17.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.8
55.3%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.7
29.4%
36.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.015.3
72.9%
78.0%15.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWWWLWLWWW
Alba Berlin
WLLLLLWWLL
#4
League position
#18
+4.7
Net rating
-11.8
117.2
Offensive rating
105.0
112.5
Defensive rating
116.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.6%
3-point %
29.4%
64.7%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 105.0Defence112.5 · 116.8Shooting55.0% · 51.0%3-point %36.6% · 29.4%Ball care14.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Monaco   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Monaco wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
14/03/24Alba Berlin v Monaco82-90
20/10/23Monaco v Alba Berlin86-75
01/02/23Alba Berlin v Monaco84-102
16/12/22Monaco v Alba Berlin92-89
08/04/22Monaco v Alba Berlin91-74
22/12/21Alba Berlin v Monaco92-84
29/01/19Monaco v Alba Berlin61-75
03/01/19Alba Berlin v Monaco83-74
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HOlympiacos80-89
01/12/24AJL Bourg109-94
29/11/24APanathinaikos91-88
21/11/24HLyon-Villeurbanne103-92
17/11/24HLe Mans74-86
14/11/24ABaskonia87-75
12/11/24HCrvena zvezda90-98
10/11/24HDijon76-74
08/11/24AAnadolu Efes81-69
03/11/24AGravelines-Dunkerque83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24AVirtus Bologna90-88 OT
01/12/24HLudwigsburg60-74
28/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-103
21/11/24AReal Madrid84-98
17/11/24AVechta93-96
14/11/24ABayern88-115
12/11/24HOlimpia Milano105-101 OT
09/11/24HUlm96-88
07/11/24ACrvena zvezda71-92
03/11/24ABamberg82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game84.890.378.5
Allowed / game81.987.175.8
Point differential+2.9+3.1+2.7
Avg total166.8177.4154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW23%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game79.882.177.2
Allowed / game91.389.493.5
Point differential-11.5-7.3-16.3
Avg total171.2171.6170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1310377%85.881.1+4.7
2 Fenerbahce1410471%79.676.9+2.7
3 Olympiacos139469%85.479.6+5.8
4 Bayern149564%89.187.1+1.9
5 Monaco138562%84.881.9+2.9
6 Panathinaikos148657%85.283.1+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%75.674.9+0.7
8 Barcelona148657%86.485.8+0.6
9 Olimpia Milano137654%87.687.2+0.4
10 Anadolu Efes147750%84.184.1+0.0
11 Crvena zvezda136746%83.882.3+1.5
12 Real Madrid146843%83.482.6+0.8
13 Partizan146843%80.980.2+0.7
14 Baskonia146843%77.479.6-2.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%81.384.7-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%83.987.4-3.5
17 Alba Berlin1331023%79.891.3-11.5
18 Virtus Bologna1321115%80.384.9-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco34212421100
Alba Berlin1819251880
← all games of the day
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