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Crvena zvezda vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-71
23-14 18-18 22-18 29-21
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#18
Record1-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· Beogradska arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Alba Berlin
07 Nov 2024
CZV92
ABE71
14 Dec 2023
CZV85
ABE71
24 Feb 2023
CZV72
ABE87
22 Oct 2021
CZV63
ABE78
15 Dec 2020
CZV84
ABE90
29 Jan 2015
CZV86
ABE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
71avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
91avg 81
H12/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
76-57
76
57
+19
73avg 81
A15/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
78avg 81
H18/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 81
A21/10
ABA League
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
56avg 81
A24/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
74avg 81
A26/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
85avg 81
A30/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 81
H01/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 81
H04/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
17-14
17-15
19-22
22-19
27-15
26-13
16-21
26-12
12-19
16-11
22-15
25-26
22-18
19-19
18-21
16-17
17-20
19-21
23-15
10-22
19-24
25-25
18-24
14-31
27-13
22-16
21-17
18-24
15-23
24-19
27-20
18-18
28-20
12-17
19-26
22-20
29-25
26-19
15-22
161.5Avg total
82.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.180.7160.9-0.643%
Season at home (3)83.083.3166.3-0.333%
Season away (4)78.078.8156.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)82.379.2161.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)81.885.0166.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.088.5169.5-7.50%
vs Similar (13)78.681.2159.8-2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.072.5158.5+13.593%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 76
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
76avg 76
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
82avg 76
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 76
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 76
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
57avg 76
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 76
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 76
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 76
A03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
21-24
17-20
19-25
17-26
11-17
22-19
25-12
20-13
16-23
28-18
20-25
16-15
15-23
16-20
24-20
21-21
20-16
19-25
18-19
13-24
13-15
14-24
17-17
17-14
20-17
17-9
11-21
26-16
18-21
19-28
20-27
19-25
16-26
17-17
18-18
18-18
16-21
24-22
24-26
154.4Avg total
73.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.684.3157.9-10.714%
Season at home (5)77.084.4161.4-7.420%
Season away (2)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)73.880.6154.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)71.481.2152.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.883.0156.8-9.225%
vs Similar (12)75.175.6150.7-0.550%
vs Weaker (10)89.580.2169.7+9.360%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
Crvena zvezdaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H12/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A15/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H18/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/10
ABA League
Real Madrid
#8
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A24/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H01/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H04/11
ABA League
80.9Avg total
40.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.139.982.0+2.159%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.239.583.6+4.769%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.380.7+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.080.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.539.577.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (13)38.040.878.8-2.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.539.285.7+7.379%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/11
BBL
74.3Avg total
34.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.178.8-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.738.678.3+1.159%-
Last 30 away (13)37.442.079.4-4.623%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.474.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.474.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.141.575.6-7.412%-
vs Similar (12)37.839.677.3-1.850%-
vs Weaker (10)43.539.583.0+4.060%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.3
53.1%
54.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.1
41.1%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
78.0%13.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.1
53.6%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.6
28.2%
36.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.2
65.1%
78.0%11.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLWLWLWWW
Alba Berlin
LLLWLLLWWL
#10
League position
#18
+4.5
Net rating
-8.6
111.8
Offensive rating
101.5
107.3
Defensive rating
110.1
57.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.1%
3-point %
28.2%
64.4%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 101.5Defence107.3 · 110.1Shooting57.0% · 49.4%3-point %41.1% · 28.2%Ball care18.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.0% · 34.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crvena zvezda wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/24HCedevita Olimpija92-86
01/11/24HPanathinaikos77-81
30/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas84-86
26/10/24AZadar84-77
24/10/24AReal Madrid72-95
21/10/24ABuducnost75-73
18/10/24HBarcelona94-98 OT
15/10/24AFenerbahce76-57
12/10/24HIgokea91-68
09/10/24HBaskonia78-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24ABamberg82-87
31/10/24HAnadolu Efes70-86
29/10/24HParis83-92
27/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig65-61
24/10/24ABaskonia57-80
20/10/24HChemnitz78-81
17/10/24HFenerbahce71-78
15/10/24HLyon-Villeurbanne84-79
13/10/24ACrailsheim Merlins75-74
11/10/24ABarcelona73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game80.183.078.0
Allowed / game80.783.378.8
Point differential-0.6-0.3-0.8
Avg total160.9166.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%20%0%
Points / game73.677.065.0
Allowed / game84.384.484.0
Point differential-10.7-7.4-19.0
Avg total157.9161.4149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas76186%75.071.4+3.6
2 Panathinaikos75271%85.978.7+7.1
3 Barcelona75271%85.782.6+3.1
4 Fenerbahce75271%78.475.9+2.6
5 Bayern75271%88.387.3+1.0
6 Olympiacos74357%82.476.6+5.9
7 Anadolu Efes74357%86.683.3+3.3
8 Baskonia74357%76.773.6+3.1
9 Monaco74357%81.679.1+2.4
10 Paris74357%84.082.3+1.7
11 Real Madrid73443%83.782.1+1.6
12 Crvena zvezda73443%80.180.7-0.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv73443%80.684.1-3.6
14 Partizan72529%80.082.3-2.3
15 Olimpia Milano72529%82.187.9-5.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%78.084.7-6.7
17 Virtus Bologna71614%78.484.3-5.9
18 Alba Berlin71614%73.684.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2318222992
Alba Berlin1418182171
← all games of the day
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