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Mornar Bar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-110
19-26 18-28 18-30 14-26
Position#17
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#5
Record13-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda
20 Jan 2025
MBA69
CZV110
03 Mar 2024
MBA66
CZV102
20 Apr 2023
MBA65
CZV87
24 Oct 2021
MBA69
CZV77
24 Jan 2021
MBA78
CZV86
09 Feb 2019
MBA57
CZV90
25 Mar 2018
MBA88
CZV84
17 Dec 2017
MBA74
CZV82
31 Oct 2016
MBA59
CZV71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 66
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
91-99
91
99
-8
84avg 66
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
78-105
78
105
-27
66avg 66
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
90-103
90
103
-13
76avg 66
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
55avg 66
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-104
66
104
-38
54avg 66
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
55-81
55
81
-26
44avg 66
H23/12
ABA League
Split
#14
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 66
A27/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
89avg 66
A30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
67avg 66
A12/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
19-19
11-25
28-17
17-23
15-25
30-27
29-24
16-28
14-21
26-29
22-27
15-25
20-31
34-25
21-22
13-15
23-28
18-21
22-17
21-30
11-26
25-20
9-28
13-13
18-27
10-23
14-18
18-17
23-17
14-24
18-29
18-22
20-25
24-20
26-21
9-33
21-27
18-23
31-27
175.3Avg total
79.7Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.994.0169.9-18.16%
Season at home (7)74.991.4166.3-16.614%
Season away (9)76.896.0172.8-19.20%
Last 10 (10)79.795.6175.3-15.910%
Last 5 (5)74.096.6170.6-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.093.9172.9-14.921%
vs Similar (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 81
H20/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
89-84
89
84
+5
76avg 81
H23/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#6
W
78-74
78
74
+4
74avg 81
A27/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 81
A29/12
ABA League
Baskonia
#14
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 81
A02/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
97-63
97
63
+34
96avg 81
H05/01
ABA League
Paris
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
81avg 81
H10/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#4
L
92-107
92
107
-15
77avg 81
H12/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
89avg 81
H15/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
88-82 OT
88
82
+6
86avg 81
H17/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
27-18
12-21
21-19
23-26
27-25
23-21
16-12
19-15
15-20
22-24
22-15
18-27
24-14
21-15
16-11
16-16
26-12
18-24
15-21
22-15
20-19
28-19
27-10
15-25
24-14
18-13
28-17
24-26
21-24
19-28
28-29
24-21
19-28
18-21
30-26
13-21
23-13
23-26
17-16
164.3Avg total
85.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.179.7167.8+8.481%
Season at home (8)93.180.4173.5+12.888%
Season away (8)83.079.0162.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)85.578.8164.3+6.780%
Last 5 (5)90.683.4174.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (16)83.384.7168.0-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.577.5166.0+10.992%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
Mornar BarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H23/12
ABA League
Split
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A27/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A12/01
ABA League
83.4Avg total
35.8Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.586.0-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.143.985.0-2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.148.886.9-10.712%-
Last 10 (10)35.847.683.4-11.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.447.481.8-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.846.886.6-6.929%-
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H23/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A27/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/12
ABA League
Baskonia
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A02/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/01
ABA League
Paris
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H15/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/01
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
42.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.982.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.540.084.5+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.980.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.481.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (16)40.041.981.9-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.338.982.2+4.469%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.1
49.5%
54.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.515.2
70.7%
75.6%15.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.7
56.9%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.1
73.1%
75.6%17.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLLW
Crvena zvezda
WLLWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#5
-20.8
Net rating
+10.4
101.5
Offensive rating
117.5
122.3
Defensive rating
107.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
59.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.6%
3-point %
34.9%
64.0%
Assist %
64.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 117.5Defence122.3 · 107.2Shooting49.8% · 55.0%3-point %33.6% · 34.9%Ball care16.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds24.3% · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
10
Crvena zvezda wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ABuducnost79-110
30/12/24AIgokea97-101 OT
27/12/24ASplit73-87
23/12/24HZadar55-81
15/12/24ADubai66-104
08/12/24HFMP Beograd76-81
29/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto90-103
17/11/24HPartizan78-105
11/11/24AStudentski Centar91-99
04/11/24HCibona92-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HMonaco88-82 OT
15/01/25HFenerbahce91-96
12/01/25HDubai92-107
10/01/25HParis85-69
05/01/25HFMP Beograd97-63
02/01/25ABaskonia75-73
29/12/24AKK Krka Novo mesto79-67
27/12/24ABarcelona78-74
23/12/24HPartizan89-84
20/12/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %6%14%0%
Points / game75.974.976.8
Allowed / game94.091.496.0
Point differential-18.1-16.6-19.2
Avg total169.9166.3172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%14%11%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game88.193.183.0
Allowed / game79.780.479.0
Point differential+8.4+12.8+4.0
Avg total167.8173.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1715288%93.473.9+19.5
2 Buducnost1715288%89.974.0+15.9
3 Crvena zvezda1613381%88.179.7+8.4
4 Dubai1712571%86.379.9+6.4
5 Igokea1711665%83.883.9-0.2
6 Cedevita Olimpija1710759%83.080.6+2.4
7 Zadar179853%76.274.1+2.1
8 Spartak Subotica179853%83.682.4+1.3
9 Mega Basket178947%81.680.6+1.0
10 FMP Beograd178947%79.685.4-5.8
11 Studentski Centar1761135%84.385.8-1.5
12 Split1761135%76.983.0-6.1
13 Borac Mozzart1761135%75.983.3-7.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1741324%82.087.4-5.4
15 Cibona1721512%75.088.1-13.1
16 Mornar Bar161156%75.994.0-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1918181469
Crvena zvezda26283026110
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