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Murcia vs Basket Zaragoza Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.2
SpainACBRound 9· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Murcia v Basket Zaragoza
21 Nov 2026
MUR v ZAR
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
MUR90
ZAR84
19 Oct 2024
MUR88
ZAR74
01 May 2024
MUR82
ZAR77
16 Apr 2023
MUR79
ZAR74
14 May 2022
MUR72
ZAR77
23 May 2021
MUR91
ZAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
60avg 80
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 80
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 80
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 80
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 80
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 80
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 80
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 80
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
125-98
125
98
+27
no box
H31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
19-25
25-27
15-21
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
174.7Avg total
87.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.393.8187.2-0.550%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (2)85.0100.0185.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)87.986.8174.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)92.888.4181.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.7105.3190.0-20.70%
vs Similar (7)89.493.9183.3-4.443%
vs Weaker (20)90.580.5171.1+10.085%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
68avg 78
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 78
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
75avg 78
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
95avg 78
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 78
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 78
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 78
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
109-98
109
98
+11
103avg 78
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 78
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
H31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-23
17-25
25-30
17-22
26-23
21-27
26-28
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
22-21
17-15
28-30
15-31
23-17
29-11
15-22
25-21
22-23
38-20
24-31
25-24
21-24
19-24
17-24
24-27
23-21
25-19
30-20
29-18
182.2Avg total
90.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.087.2179.2+4.867%
Season at home (3)99.391.0190.3+8.367%
Season away (3)84.783.3168.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)90.691.6182.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)94.288.6182.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.898.0180.8-15.28%
vs Similar (12)86.790.2176.8-3.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)94.078.2172.2+15.880%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
MurciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
78.9Avg total
38.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.083.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.540.482.9+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)41.541.883.2-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.378.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.052.388.3-16.30%-
vs Similar (7)42.343.986.1-1.643%-
vs Weaker (20)42.938.381.2+4.670%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/10
ACB
88.1Avg total
46.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.185.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.841.185.9+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.744.985.6-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.188.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.086.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.547.187.5-6.615%-
vs Similar (12)43.841.585.2+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.436.882.2+8.680%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.5
50.4%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.7
32.2%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
75.7%17.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.2
52.5%
55.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.3
73.3%
75.7%17.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLWLWWLL
Basket Zaragoza
WLWWLWWLLL
#10
League position
#6
-1.5
Net rating
-5.3
94.9
Offensive rating
96.6
96.3
Defensive rating
102.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
35.7%
53.2%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 96.6Defence96.3 · 102.0Shooting49.4% · 52.9%3-point %32.2% · 35.7%Ball care14.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
06/06/26HBarcelona76-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HBasquet Girona107-78
24/10/26ABarcelona81-99
18/10/26HForca Lleida109-98
10/10/26ALeyma Coruna92-71
04/10/26HValencia82-97
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98
24/05/26HMurcia90-100
16/05/26AManresa83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game93.397.585.0
Allowed / game93.890.8100.0
Point differential-0.5+6.8-15.0
Avg total187.2188.2185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game92.099.384.7
Allowed / game87.291.083.3
Point differential+4.8+8.3+1.3
Avg total179.2190.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
3 Baskonia64267%94.582.8+11.7
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
9 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa6060%84.3102.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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