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Murcia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 May 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 91-68
29-19 15-14 22-17 25-18
Position#12
Record15-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game82.4
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#13
Record14-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game88.5
SpainACBRound 38
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Murcia v Basket Zaragoza
21 Nov 2026
MUR v ZAR
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
MUR90
ZAR84
19 Oct 2024
MUR88
ZAR74
01 May 2024
MUR82
ZAR77
16 Apr 2023
MUR79
ZAR74
14 May 2022
MUR72
ZAR77
23 May 2021
MUR91
ZAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H28/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
85-75
85
75
+10
75avg 70
A04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H11/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
84-55
84
55
+29
77avg 70
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A24/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
60avg 70
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
69avg 70
A02/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 70
H08/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 70
H15/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
A19/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
14-13
22-18
23-15
25-18
20-15
24-23
16-19
17-23
27-17
18-23
16-15
19-17
24-11
22-16
19-11
25-23
23-17
23-18
17-20
16-15
12-29
25-20
13-16
16-20
18-17
18-22
29-32
15-12
31-12
11-21
24-23
15-25
28-9
20-22
13-23
16-22
18-19
26-17
12-14
160.1Avg total
81.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)80.982.4163.3-1.443%
Season at home (17)80.880.6161.4+0.247%
Season away (18)81.184.1165.1-3.039%
Last 10 (10)81.878.3160.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)77.479.6157.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.984.8159.6-9.925%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.486.0169.4-2.631%
vs Weaker (6)83.772.3156.0+11.383%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Manresa
#11
L
82-92
82
92
-10
64avg 78
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
99-71
99
71
+28
96avg 78
H18/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
98-95
98
95
+3
101avg 78
A21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
101-78
101
78
+23
109avg 78
A24/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
99-89
99
89
+10
94avg 78
H28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
82avg 78
H02/05
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 78
A05/05
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 78
H07/05
Champions League
Strasbourg
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
92avg 78
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
60-91
60
91
-31
45avg 78
H19/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
9-21
28-28
24-28
24-14
23-15
31-17
21-25
24-22
36-21
8-26
30-26
27-16
19-17
29-18
26-27
25-29
23-29
28-14
23-17
31-19
20-35
24-19
14-25
23-28
18-14
25-16
20-20
17-29
16-14
27-14
19-27
20-16
24-21
23-18
22-22
24-17
13-24
11-20
12-30
173.5Avg total
88.2Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)87.488.5175.9-1.140%
Season at home (18)90.189.7179.8+0.444%
Season away (17)84.587.3171.8-2.835%
Last 10 (10)88.285.3173.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)80.685.6166.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.391.6170.9-12.330%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.384.5174.7+5.864%
vs Weaker (9)94.884.4179.2+10.389%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
MurciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H11/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A24/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H30/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H08/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A19/05
ACB
75.6Avg total
39.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.178.0-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.537.375.8+1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)39.440.680.0-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.275.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.938.977.8+0.062%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.140.878.8-2.725%-
vs Weaker (6)41.534.876.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#11
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A24/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H02/05
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A05/05
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H07/05
Champions League
Strasbourg
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/05
ACB
85.3Avg total
43.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.485.9+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.642.787.2+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.342.184.4+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.685.3+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.484.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.845.487.2-3.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.241.984.1+0.345%-
vs Weaker (9)47.039.786.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.4
48.0%
53.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.4
35.6%
36.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.110.9
67.7%
76.6%10.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.5
57.6%
53.2%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.9
39.5%
36.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.716.9
81.6%
76.6%16.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLLWWWWL
Basket Zaragoza
LWLWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#13
+2.9
Net rating
+4.6
102.5
Offensive rating
116.0
99.6
Defensive rating
111.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
58.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.6%
3-point %
39.5%
48.6%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 116.0Defence99.6 · 111.4Shooting49.9% · 58.1%3-point %35.6% · 39.5%Ball care18.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
18/10/20Basket Zaragoza v Murcia98-86
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/21AObradoiro CAB83-80 OT
15/05/21HMoraBanc Andorra76-79
08/05/21HUnicaja81-68
02/05/21AGran Canaria81-91
30/04/21HValencia66-80
24/04/21AGipuzkoa88-78
15/04/21AReal Betis84-55
11/04/21HBaskonia92-87 OT
04/04/21AEstudiantes85-75
28/03/21HBilbao82-90 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/21HTenerife60-91
09/05/21HStrasbourg89-77
07/05/21HKarsiyaka79-84
05/05/21ANizhny Novgorod86-78
02/05/21HReal Madrid89-98
28/04/21HMoraBanc Andorra99-89
24/04/21AUnicaja101-78
21/04/21ASan Pablo Burgos98-95
18/04/21HGipuzkoa99-71
15/04/21AManresa82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWLWL47%
AwayWWWLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %43%47%39%
Points / game80.980.881.1
Allowed / game82.480.684.1
Point differential-1.4+0.2-3.0
Avg total163.3161.4165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%24%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLLLWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %40%44%35%
Points / game87.490.184.5
Allowed / game88.589.787.3
Point differential-1.1+0.4-2.8
Avg total175.9179.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%39%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %9%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3533294%86.775.7+11.0
2 Barcelona3632489%87.872.8+15.0
3 Tenerife3627975%87.479.5+7.9
4 Valencia36241267%86.381.0+5.3
5 Baskonia35231266%82.478.4+4.0
6 San Pablo Burgos35211460%87.183.4+3.7
7 Joventut Badalona36201656%85.885.3+0.5
8 Unicaja35171849%83.582.9+0.7
9 Gran Canaria35171849%81.683.9-2.2
10 MoraBanc Andorra35161946%78.479.9-1.4
11 Manresa35161946%84.287.6-3.4
12 Murcia35152043%80.982.4-1.4
13 Basket Zaragoza35142140%87.488.5-1.1
14 Obradoiro CAB35122334%80.383.8-3.5
15 Fuenlabrada36122433%81.183.9-2.8
16 Real Betis35112431%77.684.5-6.9
17 Bilbao36102628%80.086.6-6.6
18 Estudiantes3692725%82.588.5-6.0
19 Gipuzkoa3572820%73.786.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2915222591
Basket Zaragoza1914171868
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