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Breogan vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-83
16-31 18-15 18-14 22-23
Position#16
Record4-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#6
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game79.4
SpainACBRound 14· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Murcia
03 Jan 2027
BRE v MUR
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
BRE95
MUR106
22 Mar 2025
BRE70
MUR86
17 Dec 2023
BRE74
MUR83
07 May 2023
BRE60
MUR65
31 Oct 2021
BRE94
MUR89
10 Feb 2019
BRE77
MUR73
09 Jan 2011
BRE73
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 62
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 62
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 62
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 62
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 62
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 62
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 62
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 62
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 62
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 62
A09/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
15-19
15-22
11-18
24-18
13-22
18-12
18-19
27-15
154.2Avg total
74.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.079.2152.2-6.231%
Season at home (6)75.578.5154.0-3.033%
Season away (7)70.979.7150.6-8.929%
Last 10 (10)74.479.8154.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)72.677.0149.6-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.283.3154.5-12.28%
vs Similar (15)76.377.6153.9-1.347%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Igokea
#49
W
72-47
72
47
+25
70avg 71
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 71
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
115-89
115
89
+26
113avg 71
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 71
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
105-73
105
73
+32
103avg 71
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
79-63
79
63
+16
73avg 71
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 71
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-85 OT
77
85
-8
no box
H10/12
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
76avg 71
H13/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
16-8
23-19
14-9
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
21-20
19-18
19-18
17-10
31-21
23-23
31-22
30-23
23-20
12-18
23-24
24-11
29-20
24-15
30-15
22-23
17-21
33-11
16-17
13-14
17-19
21-15
13-26
25-22
7-23
19-18
20-12
24-17
17-12
23-18
26-27
21-18
158.3Avg total
85.6Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.179.4164.5+5.762%
Season at home (7)87.774.0161.7+13.786%
Season away (6)82.085.7167.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)85.672.7158.3+12.980%
Last 5 (5)84.875.6160.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.296.0176.2-15.820%
vs Similar (12)81.074.2155.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.674.8159.3+9.867%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
BreoganMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A09/12
ACB
74.3Avg total
34.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.239.073.2-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.637.973.5-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)33.139.972.9-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)34.839.574.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.239.571.7-7.38%-
vs Similar (15)36.739.776.5-3.033%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#49
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H10/12
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
76.5Avg total
41.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.673.6+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.434.572.9+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)35.538.974.4-3.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.634.976.5+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.475.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.443.477.8-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)35.934.570.4+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.235.474.7+3.867%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.1
48.7%
53.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.9
30.6%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
75.6%15.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.725.3
56.6%
53.0%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.4
78.0%
75.6%12.4
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLWWLLWLL
Murcia
WLLWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#6
-7.3
Net rating
+17.5
98.9
Offensive rating
111.5
106.2
Defensive rating
94.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.6%
3-point %
30.5%
62.8%
Assist %
53.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 111.5Defence106.2 · 94.1Shooting47.5% · 52.8%3-point %30.6% · 30.5%Ball care19.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Breogan   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Breogan wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
09/01/11Breogan v Murcia73-84
01/10/10Murcia v Breogan83-87
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ABilbao76-68
06/12/23ABursaspor65-77
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HTortona87-75
10/12/23HValencia77-85 OT
02/12/23ABasket Zaragoza76-82
28/11/23AIgokea79-63
25/11/23HJoventut Badalona105-73
19/11/23HBarcelona82-73
14/11/23HTofas115-89
11/11/23APalencia76-66
05/11/23HManresa87-74
01/11/23HIgokea72-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW31%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game73.075.570.9
Allowed / game79.278.579.7
Point differential-6.2-3.0-8.9
Avg total152.2154.0150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game85.187.782.0
Allowed / game79.474.085.7
Point differential+5.7+13.7-3.7
Avg total164.5161.7167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1413193%91.077.5+13.5
2 Unicaja1411379%88.178.1+9.9
3 Valencia139469%81.077.5+3.5
4 Barcelona149564%86.680.0+6.6
5 Murcia138562%85.179.4+5.7
6 Baskonia148657%85.885.2+0.6
7 Gran Canaria148657%82.584.3-1.8
8 Joventut Badalona148657%81.185.1-4.0
9 Manresa158753%84.784.6+0.1
10 Tenerife147750%83.583.1+0.4
11 Basquet Girona147750%83.186.9-3.7
12 Basket Zaragoza146843%83.484.1-0.6
13 Obradoiro CAB145936%80.382.8-2.5
14 Bilbao145936%77.681.3-3.6
15 MoraBanc Andorra134931%82.284.7-2.5
16 Breogan134931%73.079.2-6.2
17 Granada1441029%85.187.9-2.7
18 Palencia151147%75.587.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1618182274
Murcia3115142383
← all games of the day
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