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Murcia vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-75
17-12 23-18 26-27 21-18
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game69.2
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record4-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 71
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
72-47
72
47
+25
70avg 71
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 71
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
115-89
115
89
+26
113avg 71
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 71
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
105-73
105
73
+32
103avg 71
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
79-63
79
63
+16
73avg 71
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 71
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-85 OT
77
85
-8
no box
H10/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
17-23
28-11
20-33
19-11
16-8
23-19
14-9
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
21-20
19-18
19-18
17-10
31-21
23-23
31-22
30-23
23-20
12-18
23-24
24-11
29-20
24-15
30-15
22-23
17-21
33-11
16-17
13-14
17-19
21-15
13-26
25-22
7-23
19-18
20-12
24-17
157.9Avg total
84.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.069.2154.2+15.875%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)76.570.5147.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)84.573.4157.9+11.170%
Last 5 (5)83.875.2159.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.296.0176.2-15.820%
vs Similar (13)82.674.5157.2+8.177%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.474.7159.1+9.664%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 72
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 72
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
45avg 72
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 72
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 72
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 72
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
79avg 72
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
57avg 72
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
90avg 72
H09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
27-12
31-19
14-23
21-16
22-31
25-13
20-20
11-18
20-24
14-23
14-22
29-20
16-28
27-16
20-32
30-21
16-16
26-16
19-31
24-25
13-16
28-17
25-19
24-19
19-19
22-18
6-15
23-25
18-19
21-17
19-20
17-29
19-18
18-25
16-27
25-28
23-27
23-21
26-24
171.7Avg total
85.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.080.8167.8+6.2100%
Season at home (3)86.781.0167.7+5.7100%
Season away (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.586.2171.7-0.760%
Last 5 (5)86.288.2174.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.287.1159.4-14.912%
vs Similar (15)81.379.5160.8+1.773%
vs Weaker (6)82.785.3168.0-2.733%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -5.4-5.4
MurciaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H10/12
ACB
76.1Avg total
40.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.174.4+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.835.574.3+3.362%-
Last 30 away (14)35.538.974.4-3.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.776.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.076.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.443.477.8-9.00%-
vs Similar (13)36.835.472.2+1.469%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.235.975.1+3.364%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A28/10
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/10
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H05/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/11
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/11
Lega A
Tofas
#34
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H29/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H09/12
Lega A
85.0Avg total
41.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.581.1-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.640.782.3+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)37.642.379.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.185.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.086.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.044.082.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (15)40.939.179.9+1.847%-
vs Weaker (6)40.743.784.3-3.017%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.8
57.2%
51.4%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.4
31.2%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
74.5%11.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
51.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
74.5%15.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLWWWWWWWL
Tortona
LLWWWWLLWW
#2
League position
#8
+19.5
Net rating
-1.3
112.4
Offensive rating
112.6
92.9
Defensive rating
113.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
35.1%
55.1%
Assist %
67.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 112.6Defence92.9 · 113.9Shooting53.6% · 53.3%3-point %31.2% · 35.1%Ball care16.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
1
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Tortona v Murcia78-74
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HValencia77-85 OT
02/12/23ABasket Zaragoza76-82
28/11/23AIgokea79-63
25/11/23HJoventut Badalona105-73
19/11/23HBarcelona82-73
14/11/23HTofas115-89
11/11/23APalencia76-66
05/11/23HManresa87-74
01/11/23HIgokea72-47
28/10/23ABasquet Girona76-82
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HPistoia97-100
03/12/23AVirtus Bologna70-99
29/11/23HTofas91-85 OT
26/11/23HTrento83-80 OT
19/11/23AReggiana90-77
15/11/23HIgokea91-84
12/11/23APesaro92-96
05/11/23HBrescia59-87
31/10/23ATofas88-80
28/10/23ASassari94-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game85.093.576.5
Allowed / game69.268.070.5
Point differential+15.8+25.5+6.0
Avg total154.2161.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.086.788.0
Allowed / game80.881.080.0
Point differential+6.2+5.7+8.0
Avg total167.8167.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon550100%89.872.4+17.4
2 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
3 Tortona440100%87.080.8+6.2
4 Unicaja54180%83.473.2+10.2
5 Hapoel Jerusalem54180%83.274.4+8.8
6 Murcia43175%85.069.2+15.8
7 Strasbourg86275%80.877.5+3.2
8 Cholet86275%81.579.1+2.4
9 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
10 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
11 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
12 Rytas53260%86.075.6+10.4
13 Tenerife53260%79.871.6+8.2
14 Bonn53260%81.075.2+5.8
15 Le Mans53260%80.877.6+3.2
16 Karsiyaka53260%83.881.8+2.0
17 Hapoel Holon53260%77.876.2+1.6
18 PAOK53260%75.278.6-3.4
19 Benfica74357%86.374.9+11.4
20 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Promitheas52340%83.275.6+7.6
28 Oldenburg52340%85.482.0+3.4
29 Breogan52340%73.073.4-0.4
30 Tofas52340%91.492.2-0.8
31 Szczecin52340%78.479.8-1.4
32 Ludwigsburg52340%79.482.2-2.8
33 Darussafaka52340%80.283.8-3.6
34 VEF Riga52340%70.073.8-3.8
35 Peristeri52340%77.484.0-6.6
36 Bursaspor52340%72.879.8-7.0
37 Oostende52340%76.884.6-7.8
38 Galatasaray41325%85.287.5-2.2
39 Szombathely51420%76.283.0-6.8
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea5050%72.289.0-16.8
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Opava5050%67.0102.4-35.4
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1723262187
Tortona1218271875
← all games of the day
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