Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	83.2	80.6	163.8	+2.5	59%
Season at home (8)	84.9	75.8	160.6	+9.1	75%
Season away (9)	81.7	85.0	166.7	-3.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	79.2	161.4	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	82.8	162.4	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	81.2	97.2	178.5	-16.0	25%
vs Similar (10)	79.7	75.1	154.8	+4.6	70%
vs Weaker (15)	85.0	75.0	160.0	+10.0	73%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#16

72-58

+14

74avg 76

A19/12

Euroleague

Partizan

#11

91-75

+16

88avg 76

H21/12

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#10

101-73

101

+28

106avg 76

A23/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

77-76

71avg 76

A28/12

Euroleague

Valencia

83-74

81avg 76

H31/12

ACB

Barcelona

78-83

-5

70avg 76

A03/01

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#10

130-126 OT

130

126

117avg 76

H05/01

Euroleague

Baskonia

99-85

+14

100avg 76

A07/01

ACB

Bayern

#15

92-71

+21

90avg 76

A09/01

Euroleague

Valencia

#14

96-86 OT

+10

91avg 76

H11/01

Euroleague

20-20

25-14

16-11

11-13

26-19

22-17

28-15

15-24

26-18

27-17

26-20

22-18

18-19

15-20

18-18

26-19

20-15

21-19

26-19

16-21

25-21

22-24

15-15

16-23

25-18

13-18

26-25

17-20

35-20

16-23

22-23

26-19

24-18

21-18

19-17

28-18

16-24

19-16

23-15

24-27

172.6Avg total

91.9Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	91.6	77.5	169.1	+14.1	94%
Season at home (9)	92.6	76.3	168.9	+16.2	89%
Season away (8)	90.5	78.8	169.2	+11.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	80.7	172.6	+11.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	99.0	90.2	189.2	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	86.7	82.7	169.3	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	89.8	76.4	166.2	+13.4	93%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	16.5	35.3	+2.3	90%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.5	42.4	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.7	18.5	43.3	+6.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.2	42.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.2	45.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	24.0	22.7	46.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.8	18.6	42.4	+5.1	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.6	44.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.5	23.5	40.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.3	18.1	38.3	+2.2	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	15.5	37.2	+6.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.6	59%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#10

53-35

+18

H25/11

ACB

Igokea

#49

50-32

+18

A28/11

Champions League

Basket Zaragoza

#12

38-34

A02/12

ACB

Valencia

26-41

-15

H10/12

ACB

Tortona

40-30

+10

H13/12

Champions League

Breogan

#16

46-34

+12

A17/12

ACB

Tofas

#34

48-45

A20/12

Champions League

Unicaja

27-44

-17

H22/12

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#15

39-40

-1

A29/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

41-53

-12

A06/01

ACB

79.6Avg total

40.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	34.8	72.2	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.5	39.6	78.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	43.2	83.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.0	44.0	77.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.7	35.9	72.6	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.3	36.3	76.5	+4.0	67%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#16

45-34

+11

A19/12

Euroleague

Partizan

#11

48-36

+12

H21/12

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#10

53-35

+18

A23/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

33-39

-6

A28/12

Euroleague

Valencia

41-34

H31/12

ACB

Barcelona

47-45

A03/01

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#10

38-36

H05/01

Euroleague

Baskonia

51-43

A07/01

ACB

Bayern

#15

45-36

A09/01

Euroleague

Valencia

#14

35-40

-5

H11/01

Euroleague

81.4Avg total

43.6Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	36.7	80.9	+7.5	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	35.1	79.6	+9.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	38.3	82.2	+5.5	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	37.8	81.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.7	40.0	85.7	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.0	36.3	80.4	+7.7	81%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.4	20.6	44.9	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.5	24.2	46.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	20.7	42.8	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.2	17.7	39.9	+4.5	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.2	40.3	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	17.7	40.6	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.1	18.1	40.1	+4.0	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	16.1	37.9	+5.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.0	25.8	47.8	-3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	36.6	82.8	+9.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.7	41.1	80.8	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.9	79.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	44.5	50.0	94.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.3	37.7	80.0	+4.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.9	37.1	79.9	+5.8	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	38.3	81.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	39.2	83.0	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	37.3	79.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.4	83.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.0	42.7	83.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.0	37.8	80.8	+5.2	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 81.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	21.2	52.3%	53.0%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.8	36.1%	34.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	12.7	76.0%	75.6%	12.7

They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 90.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	19.9	57.2%	53.0%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	12.0	37.3%	34.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.9	78.4%	75.6%	14.9

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	20.0	50.5%	53.0%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.2	6.3	31.2%	34.9%	18.9
🏀 Free throws	23.4	18.5	79.1%	75.6%	18.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	21.4	48.4%	53.0%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	34.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	13.0	9.8	75.4%	75.6%	9.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	20.9	52.0%	53.0%	41.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.6	32.1%	34.9%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.3	74.4%	75.6%	12.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	20.2	58.0%	53.0%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	10.7	37.1%	34.9%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	19.8	16.3	82.5%	75.6%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	19.4	49.6%	53.0%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	6.9	30.6%	34.9%	20.8
🏀 Free throws	21.6	16.2	75.3%	75.6%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	20.8	49.0%	53.0%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.0	30.8%	34.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.6	74.2%	75.6%	10.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Murcia

LWLWWWLLWW

Real Madrid

WWWWLWWWWW

League position

+5.4

Net rating

+13.7

108.2

Offensive rating

115.2

102.8

Defensive rating

101.5

53.0%

Effective FG%

56.6%

49.2%

Opp. effective FG%

49.6%

16.6%

Turnover %

15.8%

27.4%

Off. rebound %

24.8%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.28

36.1%

3-point %

37.3%

60.7%

Assist %

68.3%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Murcia ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/23	Real Madrid v Murcia	106-92
12/02/23	Murcia v Real Madrid	80-88
20/11/22	Real Madrid v Murcia	93-57
11/05/22	Real Madrid v Murcia	90-69
19/12/21	Murcia v Real Madrid	71-80
07/03/21	Murcia v Real Madrid	58-74
02/02/21	Real Madrid v Murcia	98-87
02/05/19	Murcia v Real Madrid	80-82
23/12/18	Real Madrid v Murcia	80-74
12/05/18	Murcia v Real Madrid	61-63

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/24	A	MoraBanc Andorra	73-98
29/12/23	A	Obradoiro CAB	87-79
22/12/23	H	Unicaja	65-88
20/12/23	A	Tofas	90-75
17/12/23	A	Breogan	83-74
13/12/23	H	Tortona	87-75
10/12/23	H	Valencia	77-85 OT
02/12/23	A	Basket Zaragoza	76-82
28/11/23	A	Igokea	79-63
25/11/23	H	Joventut Badalona	105-73

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/24	H	Valencia	96-86 OT
09/01/24	A	Bayern	92-71
07/01/24	A	Baskonia	99-85
05/01/24	H	Anadolu Efes	130-126 OT
03/01/24	A	Barcelona	78-83
31/12/23	H	Valencia	83-74
28/12/23	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	77-76
23/12/23	A	Joventut Badalona	101-73
21/12/23	H	Partizan	91-75
19/12/23	A	Crvena zvezda	72-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	59%
Home	WWWLL	75%
Away	WLWWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	59%	75%	44%
Points / game	83.2	84.9	81.7
Allowed / game	80.6	75.8	85.0
Point differential	+2.5	+9.1	-3.3
Avg total	163.8	160.6	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	62%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	12%	11%

Real Madrid

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	LWWWW	89%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	94%	89%	100%
Points / game	91.6	92.6	90.5
Allowed / game	77.5	76.3	78.8
Point differential	+14.1	+16.2	+11.8
Avg total	169.1	168.9	169.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	56%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	17	16	1	94%	91.6	77.5	+14.1
2	Unicaja	18	15	3	83%	87.7	76.6	+11.1
3	Barcelona	17	11	6	65%	85.8	80.2	+5.6
4	Gran Canaria	18	11	7	61%	83.4	82.0	+1.4
5	Murcia	17	10	7	59%	83.2	80.6	+2.5
6	Valencia	17	10	7	59%	80.4	78.8	+1.6
7	Tenerife	17	9	8	53%	82.5	80.6	+1.9
8	Manresa	17	9	8	53%	83.9	84.2	-0.3
9	Baskonia	17	9	8	53%	84.8	85.8	-1.1
10	Joventut Badalona	18	9	9	50%	81.2	87.1	-5.9
11	Basket Zaragoza	18	8	10	44%	81.9	82.6	-0.6
12	MoraBanc Andorra	18	7	11	39%	82.7	83.8	-1.1
13	Bilbao	18	7	11	39%	77.3	79.5	-2.2
14	Basquet Girona	18	7	11	39%	82.3	86.4	-4.2
15	Obradoiro CAB	17	6	11	35%	81.4	83.9	-2.5
16	Granada	17	5	12	29%	83.5	86.5	-2.9
17	Breogan	17	5	12	29%	73.9	80.4	-6.5
18	Palencia	18	3	15	17%	76.1	86.3	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	19	17	16	21	73
Real Madrid	16	10	25	10	61

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Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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