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Nacional vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 126-75
29-22 37-27 36-10 24-16
Position#2
Record13-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game83.5
Nacional 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Cordon
Uruguay
Position#11
Record3-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game94.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Cordon
19 Feb 2026
NACI126
CORD75
17 Mar 2025
NACI85
CORD80
07 Dec 2024
NACI98
CORD83
06 May 2024
NACI81
CORD68
30 Apr 2024
NACI60
CORD73
01 Apr 2024
NACI69
CORD61
22 Jan 2024
NACI86
CORD61
12 Nov 2012
NACI70
CORD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
97-73
97
73
+24
91avg 80
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
94-97
94
97
-3
83avg 80
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-102
81
102
-21
60avg 80
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 80
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 80
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 80
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 80
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 80
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
27-15
17-18
17-21
34-22
25-17
14-14
22-23
31-18
35-15
24-18
7-22
25-24
16-26
25-26
28-21
20-20
24-31
16-23
21-28
20-18
24-12
13-13
22-10
15-16
17-24
21-19
24-14
21-27
24-18
33-24
11-10
24-38
14-15
18-16
17-13
19-31
22-17
22-20
18-23
165.6Avg total
85.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.783.5174.2+7.262%
Season at home (10)90.074.4164.4+15.690%
Season away (11)91.491.7183.1-0.436%
Last 10 (10)85.680.0165.6+5.660%
Last 5 (5)79.875.6155.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.281.8173.0+9.479%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 70
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 70
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 70
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
58-77
58
77
-19
43avg 70
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
86-109
86
109
-23
70avg 70
H22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 70
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 70
H29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
70-118
70
118
-48
56avg 70
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
78-106
78
106
-28
64avg 70
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
23-19
18-16
16-29
23-14
12-24
25-26
19-25
23-29
17-19
20-24
21-20
16-19
10-20
11-19
21-19
20-20
38-20
16-20
12-13
19-28
25-28
21-28
21-25
15-25
32-17
18-16
7-18
19-27
25-24
18-18
22-21
12-30
21-25
21-30
16-33
21-31
23-20
15-26
19-29
169.2Avg total
77.1Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.894.2175.0-13.414%
Season at home (11)82.393.5175.7-11.218%
Season away (10)79.195.0174.1-15.910%
Last 10 (10)77.192.1169.2-15.010%
Last 5 (5)78.099.8177.8-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.993.5173.4-13.614%
vs Similar (2)92.077.0169.0+15.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -5.8-5.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -5.8-5.8
NacionalCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
89.0Avg total
46.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.242.889.0+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.638.784.3+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)46.847.093.8-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)46.642.489.0+4.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.283.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.342.990.2+4.461%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
88.0Avg total
41.4Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.747.690.2-4.923%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.347.290.5-3.823%-
Last 30 away (17)42.247.990.1-5.724%-
Last 10 (10)41.446.688.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.451.093.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)41.848.290.0-6.518%-
vs Similar (2)55.538.093.5+17.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.7
51.4%
53.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.8
34.0%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.716.2
65.6%
70.9%16.2
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.523.1
50.8%
53.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.4
26.1%
33.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.311.2
64.7%
70.9%11.2
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LLWWWLLWWW
Cordon
LLLLLWLLLL
#2
League position
#11
+7.8
Net rating
-20.1
96.3
Offensive rating
87.3
88.5
Defensive rating
107.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
46.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.0%
3-point %
26.1%
62.2%
Assist %
53.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 87.3Defence88.5 · 107.3Shooting51.3% · 46.7%3-point %34.0% · 26.1%Ball care13.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds21.3% · 32.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Nacional   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nacional wins
2
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Cordon v Nacional90-109
17/03/25Nacional v Cordon85-80
07/02/25Cordon v Nacional79-86
07/12/24Nacional v Cordon98-83
10/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-78 OT
06/05/24Nacional v Cordon81-68
03/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-72
30/04/24Nacional v Cordon60-73
02/04/24Nacional v Cordon69-61
16/03/24Cordon v Nacional86-67
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/26AUnion Atletica81-91
12/02/26ADefensor73-82
08/02/26HFlamengo89-79
07/02/26AObras Sanitarias77-73
03/02/26HMalvin79-53
30/01/26AHebraica y Macabi81-102
27/01/26AUrunday94-97
23/01/26HBigua97-73
19/01/26AFlamengo95-76
18/01/26AObras Sanitarias90-74
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/26HUrunday78-106
03/02/26ABigua70-118
29/01/26HDefensor84-90
26/01/26AGoes72-76
22/01/26HAguada86-109
17/01/26AWelcome86-73
10/01/26HPenarol58-77
18/12/25HHebraica y Macabi81-92
13/12/25AUnion Atletica79-89
09/12/25HMalvin77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%90%36%
Points / game90.790.091.4
Allowed / game83.574.491.7
Point differential+7.2+15.6-0.4
Avg total174.2164.4183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLWLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %14%18%10%
Points / game80.882.379.1
Allowed / game94.293.595.0
Point differential-13.4-11.2-15.9
Avg total175.0175.7174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2118386%87.372.8+14.5
2 Aguada2115671%91.986.0+5.9
3 Nacional2113862%90.783.5+7.2
4 Hebraica y Macabi2113862%84.081.3+2.7
5 Malvin2113862%81.981.2+0.7
6 Defensor21111052%85.984.7+1.2
7 Union Atletica21111052%83.582.7+0.8
8 Bigua22111150%88.488.8-0.5
9 Urunday2191243%89.285.7+3.5
10 Goes2161529%81.288.7-7.5
11 Welcome2241818%80.795.2-14.5
12 Cordon2131814%80.894.2-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional29373624126
Cordon2227101675
← all games of the day
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