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Nacional vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 97-61
17-18 35-17 23-16 22-10
Position#1
Record26-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#5
Record15-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game81.7
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Semi-finals· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Defensor
02 May 2026
NACI97
DEFE73
31 Oct 2025
NACI80
DEFE61
06 May 2025
NACI90
DEFE82
28 Apr 2025
NACI97
DEFE61
27 Mar 2025
NACI81
DEFE69
27 Jan 2025
NACI96
DEFE81
19 Apr 2024
NACI v DEFE
upcoming
22 Feb 2024
NACI65
DEFE72
12 Apr 2023
NACI81
DEFE71
31 Mar 2023
NACI79
DEFE73
11 Feb 2023
NACI72
DEFE85
19 Dec 2021
NACI70
DEFE65
24 May 2021
NACI95
DEFE81
21 Nov 2020
NACI77
DEFE66
14 Nov 2020
NACI67
DEFE68
03 Nov 2020
NACI97
DEFE91
13 Mar 2020
NACI86
DEFE77
07 Jan 2020
NACI86
DEFE73
08 Mar 2019
NACI87
DEFE82
01 Mar 2019
NACI78
DEFE93
09 Nov 2018
NACI87
DEFE92
16 Mar 2018
NACI93
DEFE87
03 Oct 2017
NACI89
DEFE67
24 Oct 2013
NACI77
DEFE83
12 Jan 2013
NACI81
DEFE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
75avg 84
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
91avg 84
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 84
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
63avg 84
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
75avg 84
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 84
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
68avg 84
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
94-52
94
52
+42
93avg 84
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
115-64
115
64
+51
115avg 84
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
96-72
96
72
+24
100avg 84
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
20-36
26-15
26-21
24-19
20-26
27-26
17-17
26-18
14-25
26-9
24-20
13-29
24-26
28-24
16-20
22-23
24-15
21-21
18-21
15-15
18-19
15-21
33-14
18-23
22-32
16-11
26-19
28-16
20-10
20-7
26-19
28-18
29-15
28-14
30-17
32-18
21-20
22-22
21-12
170.0Avg total
91.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)93.377.2170.5+16.187%
Season at home (18)92.875.9168.7+16.983%
Season away (12)94.279.2173.3+15.092%
Last 10 (10)91.778.3170.0+13.470%
Last 5 (5)93.668.4162.0+25.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.377.2170.5+16.187%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 76
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 76
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
55-71
55
71
-16
38avg 76
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 76
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 76
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 76
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 76
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
91avg 76
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
84avg 76
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 76
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
22-19
26-10
12-20
26-27
22-12
10-16
16-25
18-23
11-16
12-23
14-9
15-15
19-18
21-15
14-33
23-19
31-22
11-25
10-17
16-24
22-17
16-16
17-19
27-8
10-32
15-16
21-22
18-16
14-20
31-14
32-26
20-22
23-21
14-17
18-15
27-17
17-23
19-21
21-17
157.4Avg total
78.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.681.7166.3+2.947%
Season at home (14)89.379.8169.1+9.564%
Season away (18)81.083.2164.2-2.233%
Last 10 (10)78.079.4157.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)83.880.2164.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.282.5161.7-3.423%
vs Similar (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
vs Weaker (12)93.180.5173.6+12.675%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
NacionalDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
86.2Avg total
43.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.839.286.1+7.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.538.685.1+7.967%-
Last 30 away (12)47.340.287.6+7.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.586.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.283.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.839.286.1+7.667%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
80.9Avg total
40.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.783.1+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.639.785.3+5.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.439.881.2+1.762%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.078.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.539.679.2-0.138%-
vs Similar (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker (12)48.038.086.0+10.083%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.0
55.6%
51.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.0
31.1%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.415.9
71.0%
71.7%15.9
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.1
30.5%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
71.7%12.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWLWWLWWL
Defensor
WWWLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#5
+17.9
Net rating
-2.1
114.0
Offensive rating
100.1
96.2
Defensive rating
102.1
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.1%
3-point %
30.5%
60.0%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 100.1Defence96.2 · 102.1Shooting51.6% · 48.4%3-point %31.1% · 30.5%Ball care12.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 24.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Nacional   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nacional wins
2
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
27/03/25Nacional v Defensor81-69
27/01/25Nacional v Defensor96-81
08/01/25Defensor v Nacional78-88
27/03/24Defensor v Nacional58-95
22/02/24Nacional v Defensor65-72
09/12/23Defensor v Nacional91-99
12/04/23Nacional v Defensor81-71
05/04/23Defensor v Nacional92-73
31/03/23Nacional v Defensor79-73
29/03/23Defensor v Nacional66-78
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25HHebraica y Macabi96-72
19/04/25HHebraica y Macabi115-64
15/04/25HHebraica y Macabi94-52
31/03/25HMalvin82-85
27/03/25HDefensor81-69
17/03/25HCordon85-80
13/03/25AAguada81-99
10/03/25HPenarol90-72
05/03/25ABigua102-96 OT
13/02/25HAguada91-94
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25APenarol84-78
21/04/25HPenarol96-93 OT
17/04/25APenarol95-76
13/04/25HPenarol73-78
08/04/25APenarol71-76
30/03/25AAguada75-83
27/03/25ANacional69-81
17/03/25AMalvin55-71
13/03/25APenarol74-80
10/03/25HCordon88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW87%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWWL92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %87%83%92%
Points / game93.392.894.2
Allowed / game77.275.979.2
Point differential+16.1+16.9+15.0
Avg total170.5168.7173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%72%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW47%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %47%64%33%
Points / game84.689.381.0
Allowed / game81.779.883.2
Point differential+2.9+9.5-2.2
Avg total166.3169.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)20% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %9%14%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional3026487%93.377.2+16.1
2 Aguada3125681%90.781.4+9.4
3 Penarol32221069%83.476.6+6.8
4 Malvin33211264%81.777.2+4.5
5 Defensor32151747%84.681.7+2.9
6 Bigua32141844%86.485.7+0.7
7 Hebraica y Macabi33141942%82.888.2-5.4
8 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
9 Cordon32131941%82.286.4-4.1
10 Urupan28101836%82.287.5-5.3
11 Remeros Mercedes31233%82.079.7+2.3
12 Welcome2891932%80.293.4-13.2
13 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
14 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1735232297
Defensor1817161061
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