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Defensor vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 68-80
17-20 17-20 21-21 13-19
Position#7
Record12-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#2
Record15-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game83.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Defensor v Nacional
26 Mar 2026
DEFE68
NACI80
12 Feb 2026
DEFE82
NACI73
09 May 2025
DEFE80
NACI85
02 May 2025
DEFE87
NACI77
07 Jan 2025
DEFE78
NACI88
26 Mar 2024
DEFE58
NACI95
08 Dec 2023
DEFE91
NACI99
05 Apr 2023
DEFE92
NACI73
28 Mar 2023
DEFE66
NACI78
09 Mar 2023
DEFE87
NACI79
05 Dec 2022
DEFE75
NACI80
07 Mar 2022
DEFE73
NACI66
26 May 2021
DEFE70
NACI73
27 Mar 2021
DEFE88
NACI106
18 Nov 2020
DEFE83
NACI66
09 Nov 2020
DEFE67
NACI80
18 Oct 2019
DEFE79
NACI68
22 Jan 2019
DEFE69
NACI94
14 Dec 2017
DEFE90
NACI89
05 Nov 2012
DEFE100
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 77
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 77
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 77
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
74avg 77
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 77
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
95avg 77
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 77
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 77
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 77
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
76avg 77
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
17-18
18-27
14-24
27-19
24-25
18-18
21-22
24-24
18-24
13-22
26-14
28-23
23-20
23-13
17-21
38-24
15-14
16-18
13-17
35-29
23-27
22-17
18-19
16-33
22-17
27-25
22-15
25-20
20-23
18-20
17-25
18-22
19-24
30-21
16-18
18-22
24-26
14-21
25-28
170.9Avg total
84.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.985.8171.7+0.146%
Season at home (12)91.385.6176.9+5.867%
Season away (14)81.286.0167.2-4.829%
Last 10 (10)84.986.0170.9-1.140%
Last 5 (5)85.890.4176.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.486.5164.9-8.125%
vs Similar (12)85.685.4171.0+0.242%
vs Weaker (6)95.886.2182.0+9.783%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 82
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 82
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 82
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 82
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 82
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
126-75
126
75
+51
120avg 82
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
97-94
97
94
+3
86avg 82
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
97avg 82
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
113avg 82
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 82
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
24-12
13-13
22-10
15-16
17-24
21-19
24-14
21-27
24-18
33-24
11-10
24-38
14-15
18-16
17-13
19-31
22-17
22-20
18-23
29-22
37-27
36-10
24-16
25-25
28-26
26-23
18-20
22-17
22-19
30-17
22-22
34-13
27-23
28-29
22-15
27-20
16-27
22-24
23-19
170.9Avg total
91.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)92.983.2176.2+9.762%
Season at home (12)92.875.8168.6+17.183%
Season away (12)93.090.8183.8+2.242%
Last 10 (10)91.779.2170.9+12.570%
Last 5 (5)103.682.8186.4+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.380.3172.6+12.076%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
DefensorNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
91.6Avg total
46.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.846.090.8-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.446.193.5+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.645.888.4-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.591.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.692.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.345.488.8-2.142%-
vs Similar (12)43.146.489.5-3.333%-
vs Weaker (6)51.346.297.5+5.2100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
90.2Avg total
46.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.589.8+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.539.386.8+8.373%-
Last 30 away (15)47.245.792.9+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.590.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)53.443.897.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.942.690.4+5.362%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.2
52.6%
53.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
70.9%14.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.224.1
55.8%
53.3%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.1
33.3%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.316.4
70.4%
70.9%16.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LLLLWWWLWL
Nacional
LWWWWLLWWW
#7
League position
#2
-2.0
Net rating
+14.0
93.9
Offensive rating
101.5
96.0
Defensive rating
87.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.7%
3-point %
33.3%
52.4%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 101.5Defence96.0 · 87.4Shooting51.7% · 53.5%3-point %33.7% · 33.3%Ball care14.9% · 12.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Defensor   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Defensor wins
8
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
12/02/26Defensor v Nacional82-73
01/11/25Nacional v Defensor80-61
09/05/25Defensor v Nacional80-85
06/05/25Nacional v Defensor90-82
02/05/25Defensor v Nacional87-77
28/04/25Nacional v Defensor97-61
27/03/25Nacional v Defensor81-69
27/01/25Nacional v Defensor96-81
08/01/25Defensor v Nacional78-88
27/03/24Defensor v Nacional58-95
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26AAguada81-97
17/03/26AMalvin83-85
13/03/26APenarol80-88
09/03/26HHebraica y Macabi87-90
19/02/26HAguada98-92
12/02/26HNacional82-73
09/02/26AWelcome91-77
04/02/26HPenarol81-84
29/01/26ACordon90-84
25/01/26AAguada76-90
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26HMalvin88-90
19/03/26AHebraica y Macabi111-80
14/03/26HPaisas96-75
07/03/26APaisas97-94
19/02/26HCordon126-75
16/02/26AUnion Atletica81-91
12/02/26ADefensor73-82
08/02/26HFlamengo89-79
07/02/26AObras Sanitarias77-73
03/02/26HMalvin79-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game85.991.381.2
Allowed / game85.885.686.0
Point differential+0.1+5.8-4.8
Avg total171.7176.9167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%42%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%83%42%
Points / game92.992.893.0
Allowed / game83.275.890.8
Point differential+9.7+17.1+2.2
Avg total176.2168.6183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%75%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2521484%87.973.8+14.1
2 Aguada2518772%92.185.7+6.4
3 Malvin2617965%82.081.6+0.3
4 Nacional2415962%92.983.2+9.7
5 Hebraica y Macabi26151158%84.084.0+0.0
6 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor26121446%85.985.8+0.1
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor1717211368
Nacional2020211980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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