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Nacional vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:40
Final 78-72
20-23 18-20 18-13 22-16
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game86.2
Nacional 🏆
vs
Quimsa
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Quimsa
12 Feb 2024
NACI78
QUIM72
27 Jan 2024
NACI78
QUIM86
03 Feb 2022
NACI91
QUIM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Quimsa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 83
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
111-61
111
61
+50
111avg 83
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 83
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
no box
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 83
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 83
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 83
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
no box
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
65avg 83
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 83
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
34-12
14-26
22-27
32-13
31-25
25-14
23-9
16-24
30-13
32-21
21-21
18-26
25-30
36-21
19-21
20-22
21-14
26-8
19-17
19-23
18-18
20-25
21-20
22-24
24-22
20-17
20-19
21-14
9-13
17-19
12-13
14-24
16-14
17-22
21-19
9-15
22-32
21-24
24-22
167.5Avg total
88.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.486.2167.6-4.840%
Season at home (2)82.084.0166.0-2.050%
Season away (3)81.087.7168.7-6.733%
Last 10 (10)88.079.5167.5+8.570%
Last 5 (5)75.881.4157.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.981.2158.1-4.425%
vs Similar (10)85.186.1171.2-1.070%
vs Weaker (12)93.977.8171.7+16.292%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H21/12
Super Cup
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
103avg 83
H11/01
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 83
A16/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 83
A18/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
65avg 83
A23/01
Liga A
Nacional
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 83
A27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 83
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Regatas
#10
W
98-93
98
93
+5
97avg 83
H01/02
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 83
H04/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
81avg 83
H08/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-15
24-19
24-17
29-16
30-17
24-21
16-31
20-28
25-20
21-17
20-20
20-29
24-14
32-24
20-22
21-16
14-20
20-15
19-17
23-19
18-18
25-20
20-21
22-20
20-23
22-23
20-21
25-20
19-27
33-17
21-29
20-18
14-22
24-21
35-23
22-25
18-20
25-12
20-16
170.0Avg total
88.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.077.0169.0+15.075%
Season at home (3)94.076.7170.7+17.367%
Season away (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.781.3170.0+7.490%
Last 5 (5)89.283.0172.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)76.274.5150.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.976.2163.2+10.792%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
NacionalQuimsa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
58-29
58
29
+29
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/02
Champions League Americas
82.0Avg total
42.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.584.2+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.439.984.3+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.184.1+2.056%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.582.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.874.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.037.976.9+1.150%-
vs Similar (10)42.445.487.8-3.030%-
vs Weaker (12)47.938.286.1+9.892%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H21/12
Super Cup
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H11/01
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A16/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/01
Liga A
Nacional
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Regatas
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/02
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/02
Liga A
82.9Avg total
42.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.378.3+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.636.978.6+4.759%-
Last 30 away (13)40.237.777.8+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.782.9+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.835.872.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.837.679.4+4.260%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.9
52.5%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.5
39.7%
33.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
73.9%12.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.215.8
53.8%
52.9%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.5
41.8%
33.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.6%
73.9%16.5
They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LLWWLWWWWW
Quimsa
WWWLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#3
+9.1
Net rating
+26.2
113.9
Offensive rating
127.3
104.8
Defensive rating
101.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.7%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
11.5%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.41
39.7%
3-point %
41.8%
65.1%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 127.3Defence104.8 · 101.1Shooting55.3% · 57.7%3-point %39.7% · 41.8%Ball care17.1% · 11.5%Off. rebounds31.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Nacional   ■ Quimsa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nacional wins
4
Quimsa wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Nacional v Quimsa78-86
18/12/23Quimsa v Nacional86-78
12/03/22Quimsa v Nacional95-72
03/02/22Nacional v Quimsa91-81
11/12/21Quimsa v Nacional81-71
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASao Paulo76-93
07/02/24APenarol68-79
03/02/24HBigua71-67 OT
29/01/24HSao Paulo86-82
27/01/24HQuimsa78-86
23/01/24HCordon86-61
19/01/24AAguada111-105 OT
16/01/24ATrouville99-79
13/01/24HGoes111-61
10/01/24ALarre Borges94-82
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HRiachuelo85-73
04/02/24HPlatense93-84
01/02/24HRegatas98-93
28/01/24HSao Paulo84-87
27/01/24ANacional86-78
23/01/24AOlimpico74-68
18/01/24AComunicaciones Mercedes96-89
16/01/24ALa Union86-85
11/01/24HObras Sanitarias99-85
21/12/23HGimnasia86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game81.482.081.0
Allowed / game86.284.087.7
Point differential-4.8-2.0-6.7
Avg total167.6166.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Quimsa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game92.094.086.0
Allowed / game77.076.778.0
Point differential+15.0+17.3+8.0
Avg total169.0170.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca65183%97.282.7+14.5
2 Flamengo65183%82.574.8+7.7
3 Quimsa43175%92.077.0+15.0
4 Halcones de Xalapa64267%88.879.5+9.3
5 Obras Sanitarias64267%91.085.8+5.2
6 Real Esteli63350%80.586.8-6.3
7 Nacional52340%81.486.2-4.8
8 Hebraica y Macabi52340%75.881.4-5.6
9 Sao Paulo52340%82.289.4-7.2
10 Gladiadores62433%81.784.7-3.0
11 Boca Juniors51420%69.473.0-3.6
12 U. De Concepcion6060%70.890.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2018182278
Quimsa2320131672
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