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Ryukyu vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 74-76
17-13 16-24 24-10 17-29
Position#5
Record17-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#17
Record12-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.4
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena (Okinawa)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ryukyu v Nagasaki
14 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
RYUK58
NAGA68
14 Mar 2026
RYUK95
NAGA81
20 Apr 2025
RYUK87
NAGA66
19 Apr 2025
RYUK90
NAGA80
21 Apr 2024
RYUK84
NAGA91
20 Apr 2024
RYUK98
NAGA67
20 Dec 2023
RYUK74
NAGA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
91-84
91
84
+7
81avg 75
H12/11
B League
Meralco Bolts
#7
W
89-61
89
61
+28
89avg 75
H15/11
EASL
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 75
A02/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
no box
A03/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
76-73
76
73
+3
63avg 75
A06/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
83-81
83
81
+2
74avg 75
H09/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 75
H10/12
B League
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
88-97 OT
88
97
-9
no box
A13/12
EASL
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 75
H16/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 75
H17/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
24-21
27-19
20-22
17-21
31-13
21-13
20-14
7-25
32-28
23-20
11-20
11-16
23-12
10-22
28-22
24-22
14-18
18-23
20-10
17-15
20-25
26-13
20-28
23-21
19-25
17-16
24-17
21-17
16-21
20-19
23-23
21-17
21-20
23-20
15-16
20-21
8-18
26-15
22-17
161.7Avg total
82.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.477.2158.6+4.281%
Season at home (9)80.975.1156.0+5.889%
Season away (12)81.878.8160.5+3.075%
Last 10 (10)82.379.4161.7+2.980%
Last 5 (5)82.080.2162.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (14)80.679.9160.5+0.679%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.875.4159.2+8.479%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
97-101
97
101
-4
89avg 78
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 78
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 78
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
90avg 78
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
82avg 78
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 78
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 78
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
58avg 78
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 78
H17/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
25-19
27-28
23-29
20-28
12-22
22-22
16-22
29-24
24-15
15-22
18-20
11-24
22-16
17-16
20-14
27-23
17-21
23-20
25-21
24-17
20-21
20-16
27-27
20-22
22-22
14-11
15-29
14-19
21-14
23-20
14-14
16-17
14-20
10-16
22-18
15-20
20-27
34-27
15-20
164.0Avg total
80.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.183.4167.5+0.857%
Season at home (11)79.881.4161.2-1.555%
Season away (10)88.985.6174.5+3.360%
Last 10 (10)80.283.8164.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)76.079.4155.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.284.5167.7-1.350%
vs Similar (7)79.980.9160.7-1.057%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
RyukyuNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H12/11
B League
Meralco Bolts
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/11
EASL
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A02/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A03/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A06/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H09/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/12
B League
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/12
EASL
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/12
B League
78.7Avg total
38.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.079.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.839.079.8+1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)39.438.978.4+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.878.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.077.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.533.574.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (14)38.840.178.9-1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.338.679.9+2.743%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/12
B League
81.1Avg total
39.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)43.241.985.1+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.140.981.0-0.845%-
Last 30 away (10)46.742.989.6+3.870%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.681.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.877.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.141.782.8-0.650%-
vs Similar (7)44.440.785.1+3.771%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.2
37.2%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.210.3
72.5%
72.0%10.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.1
50.9%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.0
34.6%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.1
70.3%
72.0%12.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WWLWWWWLWW
Nagasaki
LLWLWWLWLL
#5
League position
#17
+6.7
Net rating
-5.2
116.4
Offensive rating
102.8
109.6
Defensive rating
108.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.2%
3-point %
34.6%
52.8%
Assist %
67.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 102.8Defence109.6 · 108.0Shooting53.5% · 51.4%3-point %37.2% · 34.6%Ball care13.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.1% · 26.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ryukyu wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HHiroshima D.76-71
16/12/23HHiroshima D.80-73
13/12/23AMeralco Bolts88-97 OT
10/12/23HShinshu83-79
09/12/23HShinshu83-81
06/12/23AOsaka76-73
03/12/23ASeaHorses Mikawa84-82 OT
02/12/23ASeaHorses Mikawa73-93
15/11/23HMeralco Bolts89-61
12/11/23HShimane91-84
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HAlvark84-94
16/12/23HAlvark62-71
10/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-67
09/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
06/12/23ASaga91-81
03/12/23HBrave Thunders92-85
02/12/23HBrave Thunders77-80 OT
12/11/23ASendai86-81
11/11/23ASendai70-94
08/11/23ADiamond Dolphins97-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %81%89%75%
Points / game81.480.981.8
Allowed / game77.275.178.8
Point differential+4.2+5.8+3.0
Avg total158.6156.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%55%60%
Points / game84.179.888.9
Allowed / game83.481.485.6
Point differential+0.8-1.5+3.3
Avg total167.5161.2174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2118386%81.065.4+15.6
2 NeoPhoenix2218482%90.779.6+11.0
3 Ryukyu2117481%81.477.2+4.2
4 Utsunomiya Brex2217577%78.068.7+9.3
5 Diamond Dolphins2215768%82.978.5+4.3
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2214864%82.876.9+6.0
7 Brave Thunders2214864%80.476.5+3.9
8 Shimane2213959%83.877.5+6.3
9 Nagasaki2112957%84.183.4+0.8
10 Chiba22121055%83.083.1-0.2
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles22121055%73.974.4-0.5
12 Hiroshima D.22111150%78.774.6+4.1
13 Saga22111150%75.676.5-0.9
14 Sendai22101245%81.080.1+0.9
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya22101245%77.377.3+0.0
16 Akita22101245%71.874.4-2.6
17 Osaka22101245%75.978.7-2.8
18 Yokohama22101245%76.280.0-3.8
19 Gunma22101245%75.579.7-4.2
20 Kyoto2261627%75.684.0-8.3
21 Hokkaido2151624%73.781.2-7.6
22 Shinshu2241818%75.685.1-9.5
23 Toyama222209%72.586.4-13.9
24 Ibaraki Robots221215%73.985.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu1716241774
Nagasaki1324102976
← all games of the day
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