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Kyoto vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 88-68
25-23 15-16 28-17 20-12
Position#10
Record21-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game79.9
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#16
Record20-22
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.8
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kyoto v Nagasaki
04 Oct 2026
KYOT90
NAGA65
03 Oct 2026
KYOT84
NAGA76
11 Mar 2026
KYOT80
NAGA90
23 Mar 2025
KYOT63
NAGA84
22 Mar 2025
KYOT88
NAGA68
06 May 2024
KYOT102
NAGA105
05 May 2024
KYOT65
NAGA82
10 Apr 2024
KYOT82
NAGA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 76
A29/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
71avg 76
H01/02
B League
Akita
#14
L
67-75
67
75
-8
61avg 76
H02/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 76
H08/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
94-55
94
55
+39
106avg 76
H09/02
B League
Alvark
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
82avg 76
A01/03
B League
Alvark
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 76
A02/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
74-97
74
97
-23
70avg 76
H05/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
89-78
89
78
+11
87avg 76
A12/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 76
H19/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-22
21-20
27-16
18-16
16-17
16-17
19-19
17-13
21-18
16-30
13-14
20-26
26-7
13-19
23-18
17-19
30-17
21-6
26-13
18-14
17-14
20-22
14-19
23-19
19-21
10-15
14-26
21-31
17-21
16-22
20-23
17-13
23-23
19-19
30-23
23-29
16-22
21-17
30-27
158.7Avg total
80.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)80.979.9160.8+1.050%
Season at home (20)79.778.3157.9+1.450%
Season away (22)82.181.4163.5+0.750%
Last 10 (10)80.178.6158.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)80.086.8166.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.392.7173.0-12.30%
vs Similar (13)78.582.4160.9-3.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.577.0162.5+8.579%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
101-89
101
89
+12
101avg 70
A29/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
69-78
69
78
-9
62avg 70
H01/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
92avg 70
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
88avg 70
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 70
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
57avg 70
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 70
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 70
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 70
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 70
H19/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
15-27
26-20
26-20
23-15
12-13
15-22
19-28
28-21
22-19
24-20
22-14
24-21
25-21
21-26
19-17
18-20
20-27
13-27
14-22
21-29
14-20
16-24
23-20
23-24
16-28
18-14
32-19
35-25
22-21
15-19
20-21
15-22
22-12
27-17
19-19
22-17
31-25
22-10
13-18
167.2Avg total
84.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)76.377.8154.1-1.548%
Season at home (23)74.277.0151.3-2.839%
Season away (19)78.878.8157.6+0.158%
Last 10 (10)84.682.6167.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)85.280.8166.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.982.1159.0-5.343%
vs Similar (14)74.979.1154.0-4.336%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
KyotoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/02
B League
Akita
#14
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H02/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/02
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/02
B League
Alvark
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A01/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H05/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A12/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/03
B League
77.4Avg total
39.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.779.5+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.779.0-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.779.9+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.277.4+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.480.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.351.791.0-12.30%-
vs Similar (13)38.839.378.2-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.737.578.2+3.271%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/01
B League
Shimane
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/02
B League
Shimane
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H19/03
B League
87.1Avg total
44.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.280.3+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.939.878.6-0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.682.3+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.987.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.688.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.042.079.0-5.043%-
vs Similar (14)40.739.079.7+1.757%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.6
56.5%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.2
32.3%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.0
74.4%
72.7%18.0
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.7
53.6%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.3
39.2%
33.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.3
72.8%
72.7%12.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LWLLLWWLWW
Nagasaki
WWWWLLWWLW
#10
League position
#16
+2.5
Net rating
+2.6
109.3
Offensive rating
109.3
106.9
Defensive rating
106.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.3%
3-point %
39.2%
78.7%
Assist %
66.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 109.3Defence106.9 · 106.7Shooting53.0% · 56.0%3-point %32.3% · 39.2%Ball care18.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds27.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Kyoto   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kyoto wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
06/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki102-105 OT
05/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki65-82
10/04/24Kyoto v Nagasaki82-78
17/01/24Nagasaki v Kyoto75-81
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HRyukyu90-95
12/03/25ASendai89-78
05/03/25HShimane74-97
02/03/25AAlvark66-81
01/03/25AAlvark81-83 OT
09/02/25HYokohama94-55
08/02/25HYokohama82-70
02/02/25HAkita67-75
01/02/25HAkita77-74 OT
29/01/25ASaga81-78
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HKoshigaya Alphas88-70
12/03/25AOsaka83-70
05/03/25ASaga92-86
02/03/25HRyukyu89-85
01/03/25HRyukyu74-93
09/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles65-96
08/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-85
02/02/25HShimane96-74
01/02/25HShimane69-78
29/01/25AShiga101-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.979.782.1
Allowed / game79.978.381.4
Point differential+1.0+1.4+0.7
Avg total160.8157.9163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeLWLWW39%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422319
Win %48%39%58%
Points / game76.374.278.8
Allowed / game77.877.078.8
Point differential-1.5-2.8+0.1
Avg total154.1151.3157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%17%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (12)100% (1)
Overtime %5%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4137490%93.479.3+14.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex4235783%85.975.4+10.5
3 Alvark42301271%76.570.7+5.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa42291369%82.574.7+7.8
5 Ryukyu42291369%84.177.2+6.9
6 Gunma42291369%78.472.2+6.2
7 Chiba43281565%81.777.7+4.0
8 Shimane43271663%79.974.4+5.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya43241956%74.671.2+3.4
10 Diamond Dolphins42231955%81.981.3+0.6
11 Osaka42222052%82.281.8+0.4
12 Kyoto42212150%80.979.9+1.0
13 Nagasaki42202248%76.377.8-1.5
14 Akita43202347%73.674.8-1.2
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles43202347%78.380.4-2.1
16 Hiroshima D.43202347%79.582.7-3.3
17 Yokohama43182542%75.779.3-3.6
18 Hokkaido42162638%75.179.1-4.0
19 Koshigaya Alphas42142833%77.581.2-3.7
20 Brave Thunders42132931%77.686.0-8.4
21 Saga43123128%74.478.8-4.4
22 Ibaraki Robots4283419%72.881.5-8.6
23 Sendai4383519%73.283.5-10.3
24 Shiga4253712%76.390.7-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto2515282088
Nagasaki2316171268
← all games of the day
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