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Nagasaki vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 77-78
26-23 18-20 19-23 14-12
Position#16
Record21-23
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#15
Record21-23
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.8
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.
03 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
NAGA82
HIRO83
01 Feb 2026
NAGA98
HIRO74
31 Jan 2026
NAGA84
HIRO71
26 Mar 2025
NAGA77
HIRO78
17 Apr 2024
NAGA89
HIRO78
31 Dec 2023
NAGA68
HIRO86
30 Dec 2023
NAGA64
HIRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
92avg 70
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
88avg 70
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 70
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
57avg 70
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 70
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 70
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 70
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 70
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 70
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 70
A23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
22-19
24-20
22-14
24-21
25-21
21-26
19-17
18-20
20-27
13-27
14-22
21-29
14-20
16-24
23-20
23-24
16-28
18-14
32-19
35-25
22-21
15-19
20-21
15-22
22-12
27-17
19-19
22-17
31-25
22-10
13-18
23-25
16-15
17-28
12-20
21-10
21-13
24-15
18-25
163.8Avg total
82.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)76.377.7154.0-1.448%
Season at home (23)74.277.0151.3-2.839%
Season away (21)78.678.5157.0+0.157%
Last 10 (10)82.881.0163.8+1.870%
Last 5 (5)83.075.4158.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.780.7157.3-4.044%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.281.8159.0-4.742%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 72
H09/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 72
A01/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 72
A02/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
79avg 72
H05/03
B League
New Taipei Kings
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 72
H07/03
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
72-68
72
68
+4
66avg 72
H09/03
EASL
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
86-84
86
84
+2
74avg 72
A12/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
80-93
80
93
-13
68avg 72
A19/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
106-91
106
91
+15
105avg 72
H22/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 72
H23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-32
18-28
30-20
24-22
24-11
24-13
20-20
23-25
16-22
17-18
22-31
20-32
26-17
21-23
19-15
15-19
25-22
28-19
13-5
19-18
16-11
16-20
21-19
23-27
16-18
26-19
21-20
21-19
15-22
22-25
22-27
29-26
25-22
24-24
28-19
21-25
25-18
24-18
24-23
169.9Avg total
86.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)79.882.8162.6-3.048%
Season at home (19)82.983.1166.1-0.253%
Season away (25)77.482.5159.9-5.144%
Last 10 (10)86.183.8169.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)87.684.0171.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.288.4169.7-7.222%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.678.0158.6+2.679%
vs Weaker (7)90.178.4168.6+11.786%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
NagasakiHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A08/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A23/03
B League
85.4Avg total
43.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.180.7+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.780.4-1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.585.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.082.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.839.777.4-1.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.940.081.9+1.958%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H09/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A01/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A02/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H05/03
B League
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/03
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/03
EASL
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A12/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H22/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H23/03
B League
85.3Avg total
42.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.884.6+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.043.186.1-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.482.8+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.285.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.283.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.942.783.6-1.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.641.283.8+1.443%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.087.4+3.457%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.7
50.3%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.4
40.3%
33.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws15.612.0
76.9%
72.7%12.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.5
53.3%
51.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.6
33.4%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
72.7%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLWWWWLLWW
Hiroshima D.
WWLWWWLLWL
#16
League position
#15
+1.9
Net rating
+0.8
108.4
Offensive rating
110.2
106.6
Defensive rating
109.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
12.4%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.3%
3-point %
33.4%
66.0%
Assist %
62.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 110.2Defence106.6 · 109.4Shooting54.8% · 52.0%3-point %40.3% · 33.4%Ball care19.2% · 12.4%Off. rebounds28.4% · 23.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
5
Hiroshima D. wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AKyoto84-63
22/03/25AKyoto68-88
19/03/25HKoshigaya Alphas88-70
12/03/25AOsaka83-70
05/03/25ASaga92-86
02/03/25HRyukyu89-85
01/03/25HRyukyu74-93
09/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles65-96
08/02/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-85
02/02/25HShimane96-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HSendai94-84
22/03/25HSendai106-91
19/03/25AOsaka80-93
12/03/25AIbaraki Robots86-84
09/03/25HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots72-68
07/03/25HNew Taipei Kings81-65
05/03/25HRyukyu86-87
02/03/25ABrave Thunders78-96
01/03/25ABrave Thunders92-66
09/02/25HChiba86-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW48%
HomeLWLWW39%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %48%39%57%
Points / game76.374.278.6
Allowed / game77.777.078.5
Point differential-1.4-2.8+0.1
Avg total154.0151.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (12)100% (1)
Overtime %5%4%5%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW48%
HomeLLLWW53%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games441925
Win %48%53%44%
Points / game79.882.977.4
Allowed / game82.883.182.5
Point differential-3.0-0.2-5.1
Avg total162.6166.1159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%26%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)67% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %5%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4338588%93.579.8+13.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex4436882%86.076.3+9.7
3 Alvark44321273%76.871.1+5.7
4 Ryukyu44311370%84.077.0+7.0
5 Gunma44311370%78.371.7+6.6
6 SeaHorses Mikawa44291566%82.075.0+7.0
7 Chiba44291566%82.077.7+4.2
8 Shimane44281664%80.074.1+5.9
9 Diamond Dolphins44251957%81.780.5+1.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya44242055%74.371.5+2.8
11 Osaka44232152%82.582.1+0.4
12 Kyoto44222250%80.779.7+1.0
13 Akita44212348%73.874.7-0.9
14 Nagasaki44212348%76.377.7-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.44212348%79.882.8-3.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles44202445%78.180.4-2.3
17 Yokohama44182641%75.979.7-3.8
18 Hokkaido44162836%74.679.1-4.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas44143032%76.881.0-4.2
20 Brave Thunders44143032%78.186.1-8.0
21 Saga44133130%74.978.9-4.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4483618%73.181.5-8.4
23 Sendai4483618%73.583.8-10.3
24 Shiga4353812%76.490.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2618191477
Hiroshima D.2320231278
← all games of the day
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