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NC State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-69
32-31 45-38
Position#66
Record20-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game69.2
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
North Carolina
USA
Position#117
Record16-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · NC State v North Carolina
15 Dec 2026
NC S v NORT
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
NC S82
NORT58
11 Jan 2025
NC S61
NORT63
10 Jan 2024
NC S54
NORT67
19 Feb 2023
NC S77
NORT69
26 Feb 2022
NC S74
NORT84
22 Dec 2020
NC S79
NORT76
27 Jan 2020
NC S65
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A28/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
31-41
42-37
36-29
33-34
36-46
39-42
46-40
31-37
48-40
49-27
45-39
41-35
31-29
20-34
30-29
44-32
48-30
31-35
41-40
149.0Avg total
77.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.769.2147.9+9.474%
Season at home (17)82.467.0149.4+15.494%
Season away (10)72.473.0145.4-0.640%
Last 10 (10)77.471.6149.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)76.066.0142.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.085.5155.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.873.8146.6-0.942%
vs Weaker (16)82.967.1149.9+15.894%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
29-38
37-26
43-33
31-26
41-38
34-33
46-36
38-34
34-34
33-34
31-31
32-33
25-30
25-47
60-45
42-33
49-38
34-35
38-45
142.7Avg total
73.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.272.5150.7+5.762%
Season at home (14)80.469.0149.4+11.486%
Season away (12)75.676.5152.1-0.933%
Last 10 (10)73.169.6142.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)73.874.2148.0-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.378.0162.3+6.367%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.571.6145.2+1.947%
vs Weaker (7)81.366.0147.3+15.3100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +2.8+2.8
NC StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
37.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.169.8+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.230.271.5+11.082%-
Last 30 away (13)33.234.567.6-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.571.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.669.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.832.166.8+2.750%-
vs Weaker (16)40.731.772.4+9.075%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
33.5Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.568.0+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.630.568.1+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)33.534.567.9-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)33.532.866.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.469.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.334.371.7+3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.432.866.2+0.653%-
vs Weaker (7)39.130.169.3+9.0100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC State wins
6
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23North Carolina v NC State80-69
26/02/22NC State v North Carolina74-84
29/01/22North Carolina v NC State100-80
23/01/21North Carolina v NC State86-76
23/12/20NC State v North Carolina79-76
26/02/20North Carolina v NC State85-79
28/01/20NC State v North Carolina65-75
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23ASyracuse72-75
11/02/23ABoston College92-62
08/02/23AVirginia50-63
04/02/23HGeorgia Tech72-64
02/02/23HFlorida State94-66
28/01/23AWake Forest79-77
25/01/23HNotre Dame85-82
21/01/23ANorth Carolina69-80
18/01/23AGeorgia Tech78-66
14/01/23HMiami (FL)83-81 OT
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23HMiami (FL)72-80
11/02/23HClemson91-71
08/02/23AWake Forest85-92
04/02/23ADuke57-63
02/02/23HPittsburgh64-65
25/01/23ASyracuse72-68
21/01/23HNC State80-69
18/01/23HBoston College72-64
14/01/23ALouisville80-59
11/01/23AVirginia58-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %74%94%40%
Points / game78.782.472.4
Allowed / game69.267.073.0
Point differential+9.4+15.4-0.6
Avg total147.9149.4145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%65%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL62%
HomeWWLWL86%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game78.280.475.6
Allowed / game72.569.076.5
Point differential+5.7+11.4-0.9
Avg total150.7149.4152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%57%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2521484%69.160.1+9.0
2 NC State2720774%78.769.2+9.4
3 Duke2719870%71.664.0+7.6
4 Pittsburgh2719870%74.967.9+7.0
5 Clemson2719870%74.468.1+6.3
6 Wake Forest27171063%78.073.9+4.1
7 North Carolina26161062%78.272.5+5.7
8 Virginia Tech27161159%74.769.3+5.4
9 Syracuse27161159%73.970.6+3.3
10 Miami (FL)54312357%76.673.2+3.4
11 Boston College28131546%66.370.7-4.4
12 Stanford27111641%69.267.8+1.4
13 Georgia Tech27111641%68.170.4-2.3
14 Notre Dame27101737%70.172.0-1.8
15 SMU Mustangs2791833%70.074.9-5.0
16 Florida State2882029%69.676.2-6.7
17 Louisville2742315%64.575.4-11.0
18 California2732411%58.770.1-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State324577
North Carolina313869
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