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NeoPhoenix vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 73-85
15-20 20-25 27-27 11-13
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game85.7
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Saga
13 Feb 2027
NEOP v SAGA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
NEOP73
SAGA85
17 Dec 2023
NEOP108
SAGA77
16 Dec 2023
NEOP105
SAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 84
H19/05
B League
Osaka
#17
W
95-85
95
85
+10
95avg 84
A04/10
B League
Osaka
#17
L
69-85
69
85
-16
58avg 84
A05/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 84
H11/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 84
H12/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 84
H15/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 84
A18/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
86-87
86
87
-1
83avg 84
A19/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-63
82
63
+19
82avg 84
H25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
79-63
79
63
+16
73avg 84
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
26-16
17-16
10-18
27-28
30-20
29-21
9-16
18-22
10-16
15-25
26-22
24-14
17-18
13-24
19-27
15-17
25-20
25-23
26-14
28-21
27-24
28-16
15-18
17-26
17-16
19-21
26-19
22-22
21-20
18-20
25-25
22-13
25-17
19-12
16-21
13-15
22-22
28-12
16-14
159.9Avg total
82.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.677.9161.4+5.756%
Season at home (5)84.672.4157.0+12.280%
Season away (4)82.284.8167.0-2.525%
Last 10 (10)82.177.8159.9+4.350%
Last 5 (5)84.874.8159.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.886.2170.0-2.420%
vs Weaker (25)83.978.3162.2+5.664%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 71
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
92-68
92
68
+24
88avg 71
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
101avg 71
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 71
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 71
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
88avg 71
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
92-114
92
114
-22
91avg 71
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
65avg 71
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
70avg 71
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-73
76
73
+3
76avg 71
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
18-21
20-18
15-32
17-24
32-14
26-14
17-16
28-20
23-25
19-23
27-23
21-15
16-28
15-19
15-14
16-22
20-19
17-20
20-24
19-24
27-13
26-28
15-14
20-38
27-22
20-29
25-25
19-15
18-31
22-23
20-22
17-25
23-26
20-20
18-23
20-19
22-29
23-16
11-9
167.3Avg total
81.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.385.7168.0-3.344%
Season at home (4)85.881.5167.2+4.275%
Season away (5)79.689.0168.6-9.420%
Last 10 (10)81.785.6167.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)82.490.2172.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.679.9154.5-5.327%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.785.8171.5-0.250%
vs Weaker (7)86.978.1165.0+8.786%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
NeoPhoenixSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H19/05
B League
Osaka
#17
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A04/10
B League
Osaka
#17
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A05/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H12/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H15/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/10
B League
Sendai
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/10
B League
81.6Avg total
42.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.282.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.981.0+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)41.343.885.1-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.481.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.282.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.643.082.6-3.420%-
vs Weaker (25)42.140.883.0+1.356%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
B League
87.0Avg total
42.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.985.6-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.142.087.1+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.043.983.9-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.448.490.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.539.579.1+0.045%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.845.889.5-2.042%-
vs Weaker (7)45.943.189.0+2.743%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.2
51.4%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.5
32.3%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.116.4
68.0%
73.1%16.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.5
56.4%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.1
30.7%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
73.1%13.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
WWLLWWLLWL
Saga
WLLLWLLWWL
#10
League position
#12
+6.1
Net rating
-5.4
110.5
Offensive rating
107.3
104.4
Defensive rating
112.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.3%
3-point %
30.7%
72.6%
Assist %
80.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 107.3Defence104.4 · 112.8Shooting50.1% · 51.2%3-point %32.3% · 30.7%Ball care16.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.3% · 28.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
NeoPhoenix wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix83-102
08/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix82-95
17/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga108-77
16/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga105-95
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HBrave Thunders79-63
25/10/25HBrave Thunders82-63
19/10/25ASendai86-87
18/10/25ASendai79-82
15/10/25HAltiri Chiba98-79
12/10/25HSun Rockers Shibuya91-74
11/10/25HSun Rockers Shibuya73-83
05/10/25AOsaka69-85
04/10/25AOsaka95-85
19/05/25HRyukyu69-77
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas76-73
25/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas78-94
19/10/25AHiroshima D.79-91
18/10/25AHiroshima D.92-114
15/10/25AShimane87-79
11/10/25ANagasaki73-85
10/10/25ANagasaki67-76
05/10/25HShiga97-91
04/10/25HShiga92-68
04/05/25ARyukyu76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game83.684.682.2
Allowed / game77.972.484.8
Point differential+5.7+12.2-2.5
Avg total161.4157.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%80%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game82.385.879.6
Allowed / game85.781.589.0
Point differential-3.3+4.2-9.4
Avg total168.0167.2168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba990100%87.473.6+13.9
2 Nagasaki98189%91.474.4+17.0
3 Diamond Dolphins98189%84.470.0+14.4
4 Utsunomiya Brex97278%86.877.2+9.6
5 Hiroshima D.96367%93.085.7+7.3
6 Shimane96367%86.481.4+5.0
7 Hokkaido96367%83.284.3-1.1
8 Ryukyu95456%84.277.8+6.4
9 NeoPhoenix95456%83.677.9+5.7
10 Alvark95456%77.476.0+1.4
11 Shiga95456%80.181.6-1.4
12 Sendai95456%79.981.6-1.7
13 Gunma94544%79.977.9+2.0
14 SeaHorses Mikawa94544%83.782.7+1.0
15 Osaka94544%80.380.8-0.4
16 Saga94544%82.385.7-3.3
17 Yokohama94544%77.181.0-3.9
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya94544%75.982.2-6.3
19 Altiri Chiba94544%80.087.7-7.7
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles93633%80.284.8-4.6
21 Koshigaya Alphas93633%70.276.8-6.6
22 Toyama93633%80.489.8-9.3
23 Kyoto92722%73.081.1-8.1
24 Ibaraki Robots91811%73.081.2-8.2
25 Brave Thunders91811%76.484.9-8.4
26 Akita91811%75.087.7-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix1520271173
Saga2025271385
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