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NeoPhoenix vs Saga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record9-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#25
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.6
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Saga
13 Feb 2027
NEOP v SAGA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
NEOP73
SAGA85
17 Dec 2023
NEOP108
SAGA77
16 Dec 2023
NEOP105
SAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
97-61
97
61
+36
98avg 87
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
92avg 87
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
83-81
83
81
+2
74avg 87
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 87
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 87
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 87
A31/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 87
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A08/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
110-96
110
96
+14
no box
A11/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
23-14
29-15
18-10
26-19
25-20
20-31
22-19
20-17
21-23
14-16
28-25
26-22
14-30
20-10
15-15
22-21
25-16
27-28
17-24
28-22
18-19
18-20
16-25
24-23
24-25
29-15
19-23
16-20
17-23
14-23
20-22
34-28
27-16
19-31
30-21
18-15
25-20
25-17
18-17
170.0Avg total
87.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.481.6169.0+5.875%
Season at homeno games
Season away (12)87.481.6169.0+5.875%
Last 10 (10)87.882.2170.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)87.885.0172.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.783.3170.0+3.367%
vs Similar (13)89.685.8175.4+3.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.981.2171.1+8.782%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 73
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 73
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 73
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 73
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 73
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 73
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 73
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
no box
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
70-107
70
107
-37
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
20-34
21-24
26-25
36-28
26-24
14-26
19-27
13-13
23-21
16-34
22-23
9-29
176.5Avg total
78.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.395.6172.9-18.36%
Season at home (9)78.496.3174.8-17.90%
Season away (7)75.994.7170.6-18.914%
Last 10 (10)78.198.4176.5-20.30%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.793.3171.1-15.610%
vs Similar (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.776.7164.4+11.086%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.4-4.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.4-4.4
NeoPhoenixSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A11/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A14/11
B League
87.5Avg total
46.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.387.9+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.644.286.9-1.650%-
Last 30 away (22)45.343.088.3+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.587.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.843.883.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (13)44.543.487.8+1.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.442.990.3+4.582%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A15/11
B League
89.8Avg total
38.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.451.489.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.493.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.047.986.8-8.920%-
vs Similar (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)46.140.386.4+5.971%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.2
57.1%
53.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
73.8%15.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
WWLWLWLWWW
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#25
+9.2
Net rating
-18.0
100.0
Offensive rating
90.3
90.8
Defensive rating
108.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.8%
3-point %
30.9%
64.7%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 90.3Defence90.8 · 108.3Shooting54.3% · 49.3%3-point %33.8% · 30.9%Ball care13.7% · 11.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
NeoPhoenix wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Saga v NeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26Saga v NeoPhoenix61-97
11/03/26Saga v NeoPhoenix91-96
29/10/25NeoPhoenix v Saga73-85
09/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix83-102
08/02/25Saga v NeoPhoenix82-95
17/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga108-77
16/12/23NeoPhoenix v Saga105-95
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAltiri Chiba86-69
11/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido110-96
08/11/26AAlvark67-88
01/11/26ARyukyu96-86
31/10/26ARyukyu80-86
24/10/26AKobe91-89
19/10/26AHiroshima D.75-77
10/10/26AShinshu83-81
04/10/26ASaga93-89
03/10/26ASaga97-61
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido70-107
13/11/26ABrave Thunders72-90
08/11/26HChiba103-111
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
Home--
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12-12
Win %75%-75%
Points / game87.4-87.4
Allowed / game81.6-81.6
Point differential+5.8-+5.8
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%-0%
Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game77.378.475.9
Allowed / game95.696.394.7
Point differential-18.3-17.9-18.9
Avg total172.9174.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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