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Neptunas 2 vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 89-81
Projected total 170.4
Scheduled
Position#6
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game74.1
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
Vs
75%
25%
■ NEPT 75%■ ZALG 25%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
6.5/10
Above normal
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
Position#12
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game96.8
LithuaniaNKLRound 17· Klaip
Other2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
17 Nov 2026
NEPT v ZALG
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
NEPT89
ZALG71
01 Apr 2026
NEPT93
ZALG103
20 Jan 2026
NEPT80
ZALG79
21 Jan 2025
NEPT80
ZALG91
07 Dec 2023
NEPT68
ZALG69
03 Nov 2022
NEPT67
ZALG77
28 Oct 2021
NEPT66
ZALG91
07 Jan 2021
NEPT59
ZALG75
25 Jan 2020
NEPT87
ZALG78
09 Nov 2019
NEPT77
ZALG64
13 Oct 2018
NEPT80
ZALG88
14 Apr 2018
NEPT68
ZALG57
24 Feb 2018
NEPT79
ZALG76
04 Nov 2017
NEPT76
ZALG74
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Neptunas 2 host Zalgiris Kaunas 2 on 17 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring Neptunas 2 at 72% versus 28% for Zalgiris Kaunas 2; the projected score is 89-82 and the total is 170.5 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. Neptunas 2 are 8-4 this season, averaging 78.2 points and allowing 75.0, and sit in 6th place; at home they are 3-3, scoring 71.5 and conceding 76.5, and they have won 4 of their last 5 games, including a 83-74 win over Kauno Atletas away on 7 November, a 75-94 loss to Suduva-Mantinga at home on 5 November, and a 87-64 win over Ukmerges Stekas away on 3 November. Zalgiris Kaunas 2 are 5-7 this season, averaging 94.2 points and allowing 96.8, and are 11th; on the road they are 2-4, scoring 94.3 and conceding 98.8, and they have won 2 of their last 5 games, with a 78-101 loss to Plunges Olimpas away on 7 November, a 95-90 win over Rytas 2 at home on 5 November, and a 100-112 loss to BC Olimpas Palanga away on 31 October. In the 10 meetings between the clubs, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 lead 6-4, but Neptunas 2 won the most recent encounter 89-71 on 7 April 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 win
75.3%fair 1.33
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 win
24.7%fair 4.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 18:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 71
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 71
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 71
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-62
74
62
+12
69avg 71
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
59-57
59
57
+2
42avg 71
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
A03/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
H05/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A07/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A12/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
no box
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
21-23
22-20
19-24
27-24
25-24
23-16
15-13
22-17
31-17
14-23
11-20
23-18
15-16
18-16
18-12
13-17
19-19
10-11
17-10
20-9
23-21
21-16
23-18
20-23
13-24
20-18
22-29
19-17
20-22
13-23
31-12
19-12
18-11
18-24
22-24
17-20
20-12
17-12
28-23
150.5Avg total
77.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.474.1152.5+4.271%
Season at home (7)73.075.1148.1-2.157%
Season away (7)83.773.1156.9+10.686%
Last 10 (10)77.772.8150.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)80.874.0154.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.475.6149.0-2.144%
vs Similar (11)80.077.2157.2+2.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.969.4151.3+12.590%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 80
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 80
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 80
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 80
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 80
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 80
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 80
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
100-112
100
112
-12
96avg 80
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
78-101
78
101
-23
no box
A07/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
31-33
16-28
29-25
24-26
30-17
18-29
23-22
24-22
20-20
19-29
22-23
17-29
189.0Avg total
91.5Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.296.8191.0-2.742%
Season at home (6)94.094.8188.8-0.850%
Season away (6)94.398.8193.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)91.597.5189.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)91.296.2187.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)86.098.0184.0-12.012%
vs Similar (13)87.583.4170.9+4.254%
vs Weaker (9)95.686.0181.6+9.678%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
64.7%
Under 164
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
52.6%
Under 169
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174
Over 174
40.3%
Under 174
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Neptunas 2 total 81.5
Over 81.5
77.2%
Under 81.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptunas 2 total 85.5
Over 85.5
63.7%
Under 85.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptunas 2 total 89.5
Over 89.5
48.2%
Under 89.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 79
Over 79
58.5%
Under 79
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 83
Over 83
42.4%
Under 83
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 87
Over 87
27.9%
Under 87
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Neptunas 2 -3
NEPT -3
68.2%
ZALG +3
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
NEPT
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.
Spread Neptunas 2 0
NEPT 0
75.3%
ZALG 0
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
NEPT
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.
Spread Neptunas 2 +3
NEPT +3
82.1%
ZALG -3
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
NEPT
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
Neptunas 2Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A03/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H05/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A12/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/11
NKL
75.9Avg total
39.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.478.3+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.238.478.6+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.536.678.1+4.988%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.475.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.437.173.6-0.756%-
vs Similar (11)43.539.482.9+4.273%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.135.477.5+6.790%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/11
NKL
94.3Avg total
44.6Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.389.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.888.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)45.846.091.8-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.794.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.249.292.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.449.892.1-7.412%-
vs Similar (13)44.344.288.5+0.246%-
vs Weaker (9)46.443.189.6+3.367%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
54.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.3
28.3%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
67.1%14.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.1%17.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWLWWWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#12
+1.8
Net rating
-2.9
89.8
Offensive rating
98.6
88.0
Defensive rating
101.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.3%
3-point %
33.8%
60.7%
Assist %
63.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 98.6Defence88.0 · 101.5Shooting48.0% · 53.3%3-point %28.3% · 33.8%Ball care12.9% · 15.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas 2 wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
07/04/26Neptunas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 289-71
03/04/26Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 275-79
01/04/26Neptunas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 293-103
28/03/26Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 272-78
20/01/26Neptunas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-79
18/10/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 287-75
21/01/25Neptunas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-91
26/10/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 284-73
07/12/23Neptunas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 268-69
21/10/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 285-72
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJurbarkas82-67
12/11/26AKedainiai BC77-71
07/11/26AKauno Atletas83-74
05/11/26HSuduva-Mantinga75-94
03/11/26AUkmerges Stekas87-64
29/10/26HPlunges Olimpas59-57
24/10/26ARytas 274-62
22/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga78-77
17/10/26AMazeikiai90-77
15/10/26HTelsiai72-85
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26APlunges Olimpas78-101
05/11/26HRytas 295-90
31/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga100-112
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%57%86%
Points / game78.473.083.7
Allowed / game74.175.173.1
Point differential+4.2-2.1+10.6
Avg total152.5148.1156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%14%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game94.294.094.3
Allowed / game96.894.898.8
Point differential-2.7-0.8-4.5
Avg total191.0188.8193.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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