PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 98-79
23-19 20-23 23-19 32-18
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game78.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 84
H29/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
88avg 84
H02/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-70
92
70
+22
90avg 84
A05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
84avg 84
H07/06
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
103avg 84
A20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
no box
A23/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
91avg 84
A27/09
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 84
A01/10
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
99avg 84
A03/10
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
57avg 84
H07/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
25-10
24-21
14-22
23-23
28-12
20-24
19-16
25-16
21-23
21-15
25-16
16-15
25-23
23-15
20-20
27-24
20-16
25-18
14-22
26-17
14-20
17-14
24-30
16-17
20-20
11-17
26-15
16-19
20-25
19-19
21-25
22-10
25-19
19-23
19-17
16-21
18-19
17-15
13-15
161.7Avg total
84.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.279.5166.8+7.8100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)87.279.5166.8+7.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.876.9161.7+7.980%
Last 5 (5)80.679.2159.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.070.0134.0-6.00%
vs Similar (4)78.076.5154.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.576.5170.0+17.096%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 74
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 74
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
no box
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
76avg 74
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
76avg 74
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
81avg 74
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
61avg 74
H06/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
25-19
24-19
18-18
17-25
28-20
15-22
16-30
17-22
24-14
19-19
18-23
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
16-25
15-22
5-19
17-15
168.1Avg total
81.3Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.378.3141.7-15.033%
Season at home (2)64.076.0140.0-12.050%
Season away (1)62.083.0145.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)81.386.8168.1-5.550%
Last 5 (5)75.280.8156.0-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.187.4160.5-14.37%
vs Similar (13)83.881.1164.8+2.769%
vs Weaker (2)93.084.5177.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.9-5.9
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H29/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H02/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/06
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A23/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/09
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/10
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A03/10
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/10
Euroleague
80.4Avg total
43.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.637.884.4+8.880%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.736.684.4+11.186%-
Last 30 away (16)45.638.884.4+6.875%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.180.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (4)40.041.281.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.137.285.3+11.092%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H06/10
LKL
81.1Avg total
41.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.779.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.338.278.5+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.141.479.6-3.321%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.481.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.475.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.441.979.3-4.527%-
vs Similar (13)40.137.677.7+2.569%-
vs Weaker (2)48.537.085.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.7
56.5%
53.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.9
40.4%
33.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.713.4
80.2%
73.1%13.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.5
54.8%
53.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.4
36.2%
33.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
73.1%13.2
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWWWWWWW
Neptunas
LWWWLLLWLW
#2
League position
#5
+18.1
Net rating
-5.6
121.6
Offensive rating
105.5
103.5
Defensive rating
111.1
58.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
21.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.4%
3-point %
36.2%
65.5%
Assist %
63.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 105.5Defence103.5 · 111.1Shooting58.1% · 54.6%3-point %40.4% · 36.2%Ball care15.3% · 21.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/21HZenit Petersburg64-70
03/10/21APieno Zvaigzdes85-69
01/10/21ALyon-Villeurbanne76-88
27/09/21ALietkabelis73-69
23/09/21AAlytaus Dzukija105-100 OT
20/09/21AJonava86-80
07/06/21HRytas84-73
05/06/21ARytas92-70
02/06/21HRytas90-75
29/05/21HJuventus93-75
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/21HLietkabelis53-81
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94
07/05/21HSiauliai107-106 OT
04/05/21ARytas76-97
01/05/21HLietkabelis83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.2-87.2
Allowed / game79.5-79.5
Point differential+7.8-+7.8
Avg total166.8-166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%-25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %25%-25%
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game63.364.062.0
Allowed / game78.376.083.0
Point differential-15.0-12.0-21.0
Avg total141.7140.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus330100%91.379.0+12.3
2 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%87.279.5+7.8
3 Rytas43175%82.281.0+1.2
4 Jonava32167%79.771.7+8.0
5 Nevezis21150%81.577.5+4.0
6 Alytaus Dzukija42250%77.581.2-3.8
7 Lietkabelis52340%74.069.4+4.6
8 Siauliai31233%75.372.0+3.3
9 Neptunas31233%63.378.3-15.0
10 Prienai3030%74.783.3-8.7
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes4040%67.080.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2320233298
Neptunas1923191879
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.