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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 53-81
16-25 15-22 5-19 17-15
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#3
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game69.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 74
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 74
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 74
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
no box
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
76avg 74
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
76avg 74
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
81avg 74
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
26-23
21-19
17-17
16-17
25-19
24-19
18-18
17-25
28-20
15-22
16-30
17-22
24-14
19-19
18-23
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
171.0Avg total
84.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.577.0145.5-8.550%
Season at home (1)75.071.0146.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)62.083.0145.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)84.686.4171.0-1.860%
Last 5 (5)80.283.4163.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.787.9162.5-13.27%
vs Similar (13)83.881.1164.8+2.769%
vs Weaker (2)93.084.5177.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
63avg 77
H27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 77
A30/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 77
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-85
74
85
-11
69avg 77
A04/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
112-82
112
82
+30
107avg 77
H06/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
73avg 77
A09/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
77avg 77
H11/06
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
83-62
83
62
+21
103avg 77
H18/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
69-73
69
73
-4
82avg 77
H27/09
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
73avg 77
A02/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
17-19
19-29
16-19
24-25
20-20
24-20
12-22
14-21
25-14
23-25
25-14
21-23
13-21
18-17
22-24
22-15
37-19
28-24
25-24
15-34
28-16
19-11
17-22
22-17
20-13
18-14
24-19
19-15
18-12
26-20
20-15
17-16
20-20
17-11
15-26
17-18
14-10
20-26
15-20
158.5Avg total
80.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.769.7142.3+3.033%
Season at home (2)76.067.5143.5+8.550%
Season away (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)80.877.7158.5+3.140%
Last 5 (5)76.271.0147.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.386.0162.3-9.714%
vs Similar (1)69.073.0142.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.581.2167.7+5.368%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
82.2Avg total
43.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.679.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.237.979.1+3.275%-
Last 30 away (14)38.141.479.6-3.321%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.882.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.341.679.9-3.333%-
vs Similar (13)40.137.677.7+2.569%-
vs Weaker (2)48.537.085.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A04/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H06/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A09/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H11/06
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H18/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A02/10
LKL
78.0Avg total
40.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.083.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.384.0+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.782.5-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.578.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.272.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.445.486.9-4.029%-
vs Similar (1)37.036.073.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.839.882.6+3.055%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.6
56.9%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
73.1%13.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.0
52.4%
53.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.8
33.2%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
73.1%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWWLLLWLWW
Lietkabelis
LLWWLWLWLL
#5
League position
#3
-4.0
Net rating
+4.9
108.1
Offensive rating
107.2
112.0
Defensive rating
102.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
33.2%
62.8%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 107.2Defence112.0 · 102.4Shooting55.7% · 51.5%3-point %35.8% · 33.2%Ball care20.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94
07/05/21HSiauliai107-106 OT
04/05/21ARytas76-97
01/05/21HLietkabelis83-73
29/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija86-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/21AJonava66-74
27/09/21HZalgiris Kaunas69-73
18/09/21HNeptunas83-62
11/06/21HJuventus84-63
09/06/21AJuventus79-83
06/06/21HJuventus112-82
04/06/21AJuventus74-85
01/06/21HJuventus87-74
30/05/21ARytas80-87
27/05/21HRytas74-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game68.575.062.0
Allowed / game77.071.083.0
Point differential-8.5+4.0-21.0
Avg total145.5146.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game72.776.066.0
Allowed / game69.767.574.0
Point differential+3.0+8.5-8.0
Avg total142.3143.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus330100%91.379.0+12.3
2 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%87.279.5+7.8
3 Jonava32167%79.771.7+8.0
4 Rytas32167%81.384.3-3.0
5 Nevezis21150%81.577.5+4.0
6 Alytaus Dzukija42250%77.581.2-3.8
7 Neptunas21150%68.577.0-8.5
8 Siauliai31233%75.372.0+3.3
9 Lietkabelis31233%72.769.7+3.0
10 Prienai3030%74.783.3-8.7
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes4040%67.080.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas161551753
Lietkabelis2522191581
← all games of the day
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