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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Sep 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-74
32-16 23-14 18-16 16-28
Position#4
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jonava
Lithuania
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H26/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-19
23-17
25-26
19-19
19-19
30-17
18-17
22-18
26-23
21-19
17-17
16-17
25-19
24-19
18-18
17-25
28-20
15-22
16-30
17-22
24-14
19-19
18-23
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
168.6Avg total
83.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.884.8168.6-1.060%
Last 5 (5)83.089.6172.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.787.9162.5-13.27%
vs Similar (15)83.681.4165.0+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H26/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
17-21
13-21
14-15
15-31
21-26
21-20
19-14
24-27
16-20
18-25
22-14
20-11
26-12
22-24
17-16
161.8Avg total
79.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)79.582.2161.8-2.825%
Last 5 (4)79.582.2161.8-2.825%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.788.7166.3-11.00%
vs Similar (1)85.063.0148.0+22.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
80.9Avg total
41.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.079.3-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.578.9+1.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.579.8-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.080.9+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.479.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.341.679.9-3.333%-
vs Similar (15)40.338.478.7+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H26/09
LKL
88.0Avg total
43.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)43.045.088.0-2.025%-
Last 30 at home (3)45.341.086.3+4.333%-
Last 30 away (1)36.057.093.0-21.00%-
Last 10 (4)43.045.088.0-2.025%-
Last 5 (4)43.045.088.0-2.025%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.052.394.3-10.30%-
vs Similar (1)46.023.069.0+23.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
51%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.6
56.9%
54.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
74.0%13.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
51%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.021.0
45.7%
54.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
34.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.016.0
69.6%
74.0%16.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLLWLWWWW
Jonava
WLLL
#4
League position
#8
-4.0
Net rating
+32.4
108.1
Offensive rating
114.8
112.0
Defensive rating
82.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
47.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
41.7%
20.1%
Turnover %
9.4%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
34.6%
62.8%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/4)
25%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 114.8Defence112.0 · 82.4Shooting55.7% · 47.9%3-point %35.8% · 34.6%Ball care20.1% · 9.4%Off. rebounds28.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/4)60% · 25%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Jonava wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94
07/05/21HSiauliai107-106 OT
04/05/21ARytas76-97
01/05/21HLietkabelis83-73
29/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija86-77
25/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes86-72
22/04/21HCBet92-81
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/21HAlytaus Dzukija85-63
20/09/21HZalgiris Kaunas80-86
26/10/20APieno Zvaigzdes76-91
13/10/20HPieno Zvaigzdes77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus110100%85.075.0+10.0
2 Prienai110100%83.081.0+2.0
3 Nevezis1010%81.083.0-2.0
4 Pieno Zvaigzdes1010%75.085.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3223181689
Jonava1614162874
← all games of the day
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