PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Sep 2021
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 83-62
19-15 18-12 26-20 20-15
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Lietkabelis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#5
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
H13/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 75
A16/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
56avg 75
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
63avg 75
H27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 75
A30/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 75
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-85
74
85
-11
69avg 75
A04/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
112-82
112
82
+30
107avg 75
H06/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
73avg 75
A09/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
77avg 75
H11/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
24-24
18-19
31-21
24-26
21-20
24-10
25-22
16-24
23-32
14-21
19-20
22-27
17-19
19-29
16-19
24-25
20-20
24-20
12-22
14-21
25-14
23-25
25-14
21-23
13-21
18-17
22-24
22-15
37-19
28-24
25-24
15-34
28-16
19-11
17-22
22-17
20-13
18-14
24-19
168.6Avg total
85.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.083.6168.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)87.277.4164.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.484.8160.1-9.412%
vs Similar (1)84.073.0157.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.082.6170.6+5.371%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
89-91
89
91
-2
86avg 73
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 73
H18/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
86avg 73
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
88avg 73
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 73
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 73
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 73
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
no box
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
76avg 73
H16/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
21-16
18-20
24-30
16-17
15-21
20-26
21-24
22-19
22-19
23-17
25-26
19-19
19-19
30-17
18-17
22-18
26-23
21-19
17-17
16-17
25-19
24-19
18-18
17-25
28-20
15-22
16-30
17-22
24-14
19-19
18-23
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
173.5Avg total
86.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.287.3173.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)87.492.8180.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.488.4164.9-12.012%
vs Similar (14)84.282.1166.4+2.164%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H13/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A16/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H27/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A04/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H06/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A09/06
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H11/06
LKL
86.8Avg total
42.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.684.3+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.741.486.1+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)41.041.882.8-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.986.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.682.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.844.484.1-4.625%-
vs Similar (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.740.984.6+2.852%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
83.7Avg total
43.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.281.2-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.640.581.1+0.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.441.981.3-2.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.383.7+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.486.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.443.182.5-3.631%-
vs Similar (14)40.639.179.7+1.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.0
51.2%
53.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.7
34.4%
33.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
73.1%15.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.5
59.1%
53.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.8
33.3%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.0
71.4%
73.1%14.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Sep 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWLWLLLWW
Neptunas
LLWLWWWWLL
#3
League position
#5
+2.5
Net rating
-3.3
111.6
Offensive rating
110.2
109.1
Defensive rating
113.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.6%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
33.3%
56.4%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.2Defence109.1 · 113.5Shooting51.3% · 55.6%3-point %34.4% · 33.3%Ball care16.8% · 19.6%Off. rebounds33.1% · 30.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lietkabelis wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
16/05/21Neptunas v Lietkabelis78-94
13/05/21Lietkabelis v Neptunas94-93
01/05/21Neptunas v Lietkabelis83-73
08/04/21Lietkabelis v Neptunas82-77
05/12/20Neptunas v Lietkabelis80-90
03/10/20Lietkabelis v Neptunas87-82
29/02/20Neptunas v Lietkabelis78-84
11/01/20Lietkabelis v Neptunas102-64
09/11/19Neptunas v Lietkabelis78-74
22/04/19Lietkabelis v Neptunas69-73
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/06/21HJuventus84-63
09/06/21AJuventus79-83
06/06/21HJuventus112-82
04/06/21AJuventus74-85
01/06/21HJuventus87-74
30/05/21ARytas80-87
27/05/21HRytas74-94
25/05/21ARytas72-97
16/05/21ANeptunas94-78
13/05/21HNeptunas94-93
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94
07/05/21HSiauliai107-106 OT
04/05/21ARytas76-97
01/05/21HLietkabelis83-73
29/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija86-77
25/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes86-72
22/04/21HCBet92-81
18/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas72-88
14/04/21HJuventus89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas110100%76.066.0+10.0
2 Pieno Zvaigzdes1010%66.076.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1918262083
Neptunas1512201562
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.