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Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 69-97
15-26 23-21 11-29 20-21
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game71.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Feb 2027
NEV v ZAL
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
NEV76
ZAL80
18 Feb 2026
NEV67
ZAL91
09 Nov 2025
NEV68
ZAL94
23 Mar 2025
NEV80
ZAL84
29 Sep 2024
NEV76
ZAL89
22 Oct 2023
NEV70
ZAL76
15 May 2023
NEV86
ZAL92
04 Mar 2023
NEV69
ZAL97
14 Apr 2022
NEV64
ZAL72
02 Jan 2022
NEV69
ZAL77
09 Feb 2020
NEV63
ZAL92
28 Sep 2019
NEV57
ZAL83
10 Apr 2019
NEV70
ZAL102
16 Dec 2018
NEV55
ZAL79
24 May 2018
NEV75
ZAL96
12 Mar 2018
NEV73
ZAL79
01 Oct 2017
NEV66
ZAL77
09 Apr 2017
NEV54
ZAL82
30 Oct 2016
NEV68
ZAL81
25 Jan 2016
NEV54
ZAL98
08 Nov 2015
NEV67
ZAL90
30 Mar 2015
NEV74
ZAL112
24 Sep 2014
NEV59
ZAL93
12 Jan 2014
NEV65
ZAL84
18 Apr 2013
NEV71
ZAL91
14 Jan 2013
NEV42
ZAL83
11 Feb 2012
NEV60
ZAL74
19 Mar 2011
NEV66
ZAL78
18 Oct 2009
NEV52
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 72
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 72
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 72
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
71-74
71
74
-3
56avg 72
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 72
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
78-98 OT
78
98
-20
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 72
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 72
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
108-111
108
111
-3
106avg 72
A14/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
21-15
19-21
16-20
21-25
35-24
18-26
25-17
18-31
26-23
19-17
21-15
16-19
15-13
27-23
13-19
26-20
15-19
25-7
17-19
23-22
19-27
20-13
11-19
20-21
15-22
22-21
16-30
23-20
25-23
20-22
30-21
25-27
23-21
26-23
17-12
31-30
19-23
24-28
34-30
173.9Avg total
86.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.783.5166.2-0.845%
Season at home (10)81.480.3161.7+1.140%
Season away (10)84.086.8170.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)86.487.5173.9-1.140%
Last 5 (5)89.694.4184.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.390.2169.6-10.911%
vs Similar (13)81.283.0164.2-1.846%
vs Weaker (8)92.885.4178.1+7.488%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 75
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 75
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
73avg 75
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 75
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 75
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 75
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 75
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
70avg 75
A02/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
12-22
21-17
21-25
15-26
15-21
24-14
20-27
17-23
16-16
19-19
23-22
20-18
18-24
23-18
18-15
23-19
15-17
19-21
29-23
14-14
19-22
22-11
23-20
17-17
21-12
17-16
22-22
26-17
14-16
15-23
26-21
24-22
14-31
14-23
17-20
17-19
19-27
18-31
20-16
156.6Avg total
76.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.971.7157.6+14.285%
Season at home (10)88.271.4159.6+16.890%
Season away (10)83.671.9155.5+11.780%
Last 10 (10)76.380.3156.6-4.050%
Last 5 (5)75.880.0155.8-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.484.8160.2-9.440%
vs Similar (12)73.275.1148.3-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.872.3156.2+11.585%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
NevezisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A14/02
LKL
89.4Avg total
43.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.384.3-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.882.3-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.644.786.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.589.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.291.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.345.485.8-5.122%-
vs Similar (13)39.542.582.0-3.123%-
vs Weaker (8)44.542.086.5+2.588%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/03
Euroleague
75.1Avg total
35.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.173.8+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.535.672.1+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.575.4+2.469%-
Last 10 (10)35.239.975.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.476.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.844.680.4-8.820%-
vs Similar (12)37.933.971.8+4.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.434.873.2+3.669%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.7
56.2%
54.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.118.3
72.9%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.2
54.6%
54.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.6
32.5%
35.0%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.713.4
80.2%
74.2%13.4
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWWLLWLLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWWWLLL
#8
League position
#1
+2.7
Net rating
-12.6
112.6
Offensive rating
108.1
109.9
Defensive rating
120.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
21.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.4%
3-point %
32.5%
60.8%
Assist %
53.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 108.1Defence109.9 · 120.8Shooting55.1% · 52.5%3-point %35.4% · 32.5%Ball care18.8% · 21.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 36.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nevezis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23ALietkabelis108-111
12/02/23HJonava91-83
04/02/23APrienai98-86
29/01/23ABC Wolves73-94
21/01/23ARytas78-98 OT
16/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes83-65
09/01/23HJuventus71-74
28/12/22HRytas84-86
19/12/22HGargzdai99-92
12/12/22ANeptunas79-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23ABarcelona74-93
23/02/23AReal Madrid69-96
19/02/23AJonava81-77
18/02/23ALietkabelis77-67
15/02/23AJuventus78-67
12/02/23HPrienai86-80
10/02/23HBaskonia79-75
06/02/23ABC Wolves75-80
03/02/23HPartizan74-88
01/02/23AAnadolu Efes70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game82.781.484.0
Allowed / game83.580.386.8
Point differential-0.8+1.1-2.8
Avg total166.2161.7170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW85%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%90%80%
Points / game85.988.283.6
Allowed / game71.771.471.9
Point differential+14.2+16.8+11.7
Avg total157.6159.6155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2017385%85.971.7+14.2
2 Rytas1915479%89.880.8+9.1
3 BC Wolves2014670%85.079.8+5.2
4 Juventus2013765%85.583.0+2.4
5 Lietkabelis2113862%85.583.2+2.2
6 Jonava2011955%80.379.0+1.4
7 Siauliai20101050%84.285.1-0.9
8 Nevezis2091145%82.783.5-0.8
9 Neptunas2081240%77.881.8-4.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1941521%77.788.1-10.4
11 Gargzdai2141719%78.685.6-7.0
12 Prienai2021810%78.089.0-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1523112069
Zalgiris Kaunas2621292197
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