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Gargzdai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 73-87
13-21 16-30 25-14 19-22
Position#11
Record5-19
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game85.3
Gargzdai
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record11-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Gargzdai v Nevezis
08 May 2027
GAR v NEV
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
06 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
GAR88
NEV81
10 Dec 2025
GAR90
NEV74
16 Nov 2025
GAR86
NEV79
16 Oct 2023
GAR97
NEV84
02 Apr 2023
GAR73
NEV87
29 Oct 2022
GAR71
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 71
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 71
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 71
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 71
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 71
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
54-73
54
73
-19
45avg 71
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 71
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 71
A26/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
27-15
17-16
18-13
18-15
10-25
22-19
18-10
18-17
22-17
14-10
25-25
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
24-17
17-24
16-37
15-24
25-24
19-26
15-21
21-9
22-17
19-27
15-15
17-23
17-10
19-21
10-19
8-23
23-20
22-17
27-25
13-20
19-27
24-20
14-29
13-20
159.2Avg total
76.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.585.3162.8-7.921%
Season at home (12)72.279.3151.5-7.225%
Season away (12)82.891.3174.1-8.617%
Last 10 (10)76.482.8159.2-6.440%
Last 5 (5)76.285.0161.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.087.2163.1-11.210%
vs Similar (4)85.076.2161.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 73
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
78-98 OT
78
98
-20
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 73
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 73
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
108-111
108
111
-3
106avg 73
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
59avg 73
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
107-95
107
95
+12
106avg 73
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
no box
H25/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
15-19
25-7
17-19
23-22
19-27
20-13
11-19
20-21
15-22
22-21
16-30
23-20
25-23
20-22
30-21
25-27
23-21
26-23
17-12
31-30
19-23
24-28
34-30
15-26
23-21
11-29
20-21
29-14
21-22
33-28
24-31
16-18
23-26
24-22
14-24
21-25
25-25
26-29
22-15
182.0Avg total
89.6Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.185.8169.9-1.646%
Season at home (13)82.584.2166.7-1.838%
Season away (11)86.187.5173.6-1.555%
Last 10 (10)89.692.4182.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)94.699.6194.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.492.1173.5-10.812%
vs Similar (13)82.883.8166.7-1.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.987.6182.4+7.389%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
GargzdaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
LKL
80.3Avg total
39.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)38.142.880.9-4.721%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.339.175.4-2.833%-
Last 30 away (12)39.846.586.3-6.78%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.180.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.883.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.643.581.2-5.915%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/03
LKL
88.9Avg total
43.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.284.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.942.983.9-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)42.243.585.7-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.288.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.090.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.146.086.1-5.912%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.781.9-1.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.742.987.6+1.878%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.2
46.6%
54.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.9
35.3%
35.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
74.2%14.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.1
55.2%
54.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.0
36.5%
35.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.317.1
70.4%
74.2%17.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLLWLLWLW
Nevezis
WLWLLWWLLW
#11
League position
#8
-12.1
Net rating
-2.3
101.6
Offensive rating
111.1
113.7
Defensive rating
113.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.3%
3-point %
36.5%
62.5%
Assist %
63.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 111.1Defence113.7 · 113.5Shooting49.0% · 55.1%3-point %35.3% · 36.5%Ball care19.5% · 19.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
2
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas70-96
21/03/23HBC Wolves85-82
13/03/23HNeptunas54-73
04/03/23ALietkabelis73-82
16/02/23ASiauliai99-92 OT
11/02/23ARytas72-102
06/02/23AJuventus90-92
30/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes79-69
15/01/23HJonava68-69
09/01/23HPrienai74-71
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23HPrienai112-105 OT
19/03/23HLietkabelis77-90
13/03/23ASiauliai107-95
04/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-97
14/02/23ALietkabelis108-111
12/02/23HJonava91-83
04/02/23APrienai98-86
29/01/23ABC Wolves73-94
21/01/23ARytas78-98 OT
16/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL21%
HomeWLWLW25%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%25%17%
Points / game77.572.282.8
Allowed / game85.379.391.3
Point differential-7.9-7.2-8.6
Avg total162.8151.5174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%38%55%
Points / game84.182.586.1
Allowed / game85.884.287.5
Point differential-1.6-1.8-1.5
Avg total169.9166.7173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2420483%87.373.0+14.3
2 Rytas2520580%92.082.3+9.8
3 BC Wolves2517868%85.779.8+5.9
4 Lietkabelis2415962%86.182.8+3.3
5 Juventus25151060%85.884.1+1.7
6 Jonava25141156%80.779.4+1.3
7 Nevezis24111346%84.185.8-1.6
8 Neptunas24111346%78.280.5-2.2
9 Siauliai24101442%83.886.5-2.7
10 Gargzdai2451921%77.585.3-7.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2451921%77.490.1-12.8
12 Prienai2432112%80.190.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1316251973
Nevezis2130142287
← all games of the day
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