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Nevezis vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 106-107
26-20 27-29 25-23 28-35
Position#9
Record10-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#4
Record16-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game89.0
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Nevezis v BC Wolves
07 May 2025
NEV106
WOL107
09 Nov 2024
NEV85
WOL90
06 Jan 2024
NEV78
WOL99
15 Apr 2023
NEV81
WOL88
24 Sep 2022
NEV76
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
81avg 81
H23/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
88avg 81
A29/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
101-71
101
71
+30
92avg 81
A05/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
99-94
99
94
+5
94avg 81
A12/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
86avg 81
H15/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 81
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 81
A22/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
80-102
80
102
-22
66avg 81
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
78avg 81
A29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 81
A04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-20
26-26
20-17
17-21
20-31
26-20
26-24
22-21
26-18
27-13
26-19
35-22
10-27
24-25
30-20
20-26
32-17
18-12
27-27
26-30
21-22
21-23
23-21
15-28
19-13
25-18
20-12
22-22
19-17
22-30
17-33
18-24
30-27
23-29
17-25
20-27
18-20
26-21
26-28
179.1Avg total
89.4Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)89.389.4178.7-0.032%
Season at home (14)86.187.5173.6-1.429%
Season away (17)92.090.9182.9+1.135%
Last 10 (10)89.489.7179.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.694.0179.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.094.5181.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.787.7178.3+3.053%
vs Weaker (9)92.087.7179.7+4.344%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
89-110
89
110
-21
86avg 82
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 82
A30/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
77avg 82
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
91avg 82
H12/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
97-85
97
85
+12
98avg 82
A15/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
65avg 82
H19/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
96avg 82
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 82
H27/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 82
A30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
84avg 82
H04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
28-32
18-31
27-23
15-24
18-23
15-14
16-17
19-33
26-15
23-21
20-23
22-35
27-10
25-24
20-30
22-18
15-23
30-23
30-21
18-18
22-19
20-22
9-22
21-21
28-29
22-20
21-15
21-18
25-27
21-24
21-23
23-27
24-27
21-23
18-17
22-28
25-14
26-28
16-32
177.4Avg total
85.6Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)89.589.0178.5+0.552%
Season at home (15)91.189.7180.7+1.453%
Season away (16)88.188.3176.4-0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.691.8177.4-6.220%
Last 5 (5)84.890.8175.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.892.0174.8-9.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.587.5174.1-1.040%
vs Weaker (10)93.189.1182.2+4.070%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
NevezisBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H23/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A29/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A05/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H15/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/05
LKL
87.8Avg total
42.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.089.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.140.386.4+5.875%-
Last 30 away (18)44.346.490.8-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.487.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.087.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.245.791.8+0.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.943.887.7+0.153%-
vs Weaker (9)46.143.289.3+2.956%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H19/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/05
LKL
90.2Avg total
43.7Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.145.090.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.643.690.2+3.165%-
Last 30 away (13)43.246.990.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.746.590.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.691.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.046.890.8-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.743.688.3+1.160%-
vs Weaker (10)46.446.392.7+0.140%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.1
56.9%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.3
32.1%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
75.0%17.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.0
53.3%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.521.1
76.7%
75.0%21.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLLWLWWWLL
BC Wolves
LLLWLWLLLL
#9
League position
#4
-1.7
Net rating
-9.2
112.5
Offensive rating
114.3
114.2
Defensive rating
123.5
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.47
32.1%
3-point %
36.1%
61.5%
Assist %
71.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 114.3Defence114.2 · 123.5Shooting53.0% · 53.6%3-point %32.1% · 36.1%Ball care18.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Nevezis   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevezis wins
8
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25BC Wolves v Nevezis94-99
05/01/25BC Wolves v Nevezis103-102
09/11/24Nevezis v BC Wolves85-90
06/04/24BC Wolves v Nevezis102-83
06/01/24Nevezis v BC Wolves78-99
28/10/23BC Wolves v Nevezis89-74
15/04/23Nevezis v BC Wolves81-88
29/01/23BC Wolves v Nevezis94-73
24/09/22Nevezis v BC Wolves76-81
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25ANeptunas90-96
29/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas88-105
26/04/25HJonava80-102
22/04/25ALietkabelis79-71
19/04/25ASiauliai91-96
15/04/25HLietkabelis97-82
12/04/25ABC Wolves99-94
05/04/25AMazeikiai101-71
29/03/25AJonava89-96
23/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-84
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HRytas89-102
30/04/25AJuventus86-94
27/04/25HLietkabelis88-92
22/04/25ASiauliai92-85
19/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas69-81
15/04/25ANeptunas97-85
12/04/25HNevezis94-99
06/04/25ARytas88-92
30/03/25ALietkabelis64-78
26/03/25ASiauliai89-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayWLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %32%29%35%
Points / game89.386.192.0
Allowed / game89.487.590.9
Point differential-0.0-1.4+1.1
Avg total178.7173.6182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWLLLL53%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game89.591.188.1
Allowed / game89.089.788.3
Point differential+0.5+1.4-0.2
Avg total178.5180.7176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3230294%91.873.2+18.6
2 Rytas3226681%92.983.3+9.6
3 Jonava32191359%90.490.2+0.1
4 Lietkabelis32171553%83.581.5+2.0
5 BC Wolves31161552%89.589.0+0.5
6 Juventus32141844%84.287.3-3.1
7 Siauliai32131941%91.395.3-4.0
8 Neptunas32112134%83.888.4-4.6
9 Nevezis31102132%89.389.4-0.0
10 Mazeikiai323299%79.298.3-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis26272528106
BC Wolves20292335107
← all games of the day
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