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Mazeikiai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 70-68
17-18 17-15 23-23 13-12
Position#7
Record4-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game82.3
Mazeikiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#6
Record7-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game85.1
LithuaniaLKL· Mazeikiu Ventos progimnazijos (Mazeikiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Neptunas
15 Mar 2025
MAZ77
NEP96
06 Nov 2024
MAZ70
NEP91
27 Oct 2024
MAZ107
NEP96
17 Dec 2023
MAZ70
NEP68
11 Oct 2023
MAZ86
NEP87
28 Mar 2015
MAZ59
NEP71
10 Nov 2014
MAZ69
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 70
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 70
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
88-107
88
107
-19
85avg 70
A04/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
80-109
80
109
-29
73avg 70
A08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 70
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
81avg 70
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
54avg 70
H18/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
66avg 70
H22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
77-66
77
66
+11
69avg 70
H25/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
48avg 70
H02/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
16-26
20-29
22-10
18-18
22-19
31-22
19-22
24-23
27-28
17-21
20-35
22-26
20-33
23-25
15-25
27-24
19-22
26-10
16-25
13-19
20-23
27-31
31-17
9-24
25-15
13-20
17-23
19-22
26-17
18-25
18-27
18-16
20-21
17-17
22-12
18-18
20-27
14-17
8-15
166.4Avg total
79.4Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.382.3157.7-7.033%
Season at home (6)72.876.8149.7-4.033%
Season away (6)77.887.8165.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)79.487.0166.4-7.640%
Last 5 (5)74.681.2155.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.983.1157.0-9.125%
vs Similar (9)84.982.8167.7+2.156%
vs Weaker (5)78.073.4151.4+4.660%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 79
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 79
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
112avg 79
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
74avg 79
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 79
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
106avg 79
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
80avg 79
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 79
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 79
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
68avg 79
H10/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-17
23-34
10-16
23-23
22-14
29-16
18-20
26-22
33-20
25-23
25-15
28-28
10-22
20-24
17-19
24-19
12-28
21-21
27-10
19-24
24-14
28-15
26-21
24-21
22-19
16-29
16-23
31-16
21-16
10-22
26-22
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
12-13
20-19
12-16
25-16
165.6Avg total
85.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.285.1171.3+1.254%
Season at home (6)86.581.8168.3+4.767%
Season away (7)86.087.9173.9-1.943%
Last 10 (10)85.580.1165.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)83.677.8161.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.995.7179.6-11.811%
vs Similar (8)84.584.8169.2-0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.582.5175.0+9.985%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
MazeikiaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A04/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
LKL
84.2Avg total
40.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.080.4-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.837.976.7+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.184.0-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.284.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.442.579.9-5.138%-
vs Similar (9)41.441.783.1-0.244%-
vs Weaker (5)42.035.077.0+7.080%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/12
LKL
83.8Avg total
43.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.287.0+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)45.740.786.4+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.183.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.480.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.047.189.1-5.133%-
vs Similar (8)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.442.588.8+3.954%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.3
58.8%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.2
28.3%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
73.2%13.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.8
56.8%
55.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
73.2%13.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LWLLWWLLWL
Neptunas
WWWLWWLWWL
#7
League position
#6
-9.5
Net rating
+7.1
107.1
Offensive rating
115.7
116.6
Defensive rating
108.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.3%
3-point %
37.8%
59.3%
Assist %
70.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 115.7Defence116.6 · 108.6Shooting51.3% · 56.8%3-point %28.3% · 37.8%Ball care14.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 34.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mazeikiai wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai109-80
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
10/11/14Mazeikiai v Neptunas69-81
27/09/14Neptunas v Mazeikiai110-64
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HRytas60-77
25/11/23HGargzdai77-66
22/11/23HGargzdai81-91
18/11/23HLietkabelis64-82
15/11/23AJuventus91-90
13/11/23HNevezis88-81
08/11/23ANeptunas80-109
04/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-107
29/10/23ASiauliai90-81
25/10/23HJuventus75-86
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HJonava69-64
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
27/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas88-76
23/11/23AJuventus78-92
20/11/23HNevezis97-74
16/11/23HGargzdai84-78
11/11/23ARytas75-93
08/11/23HMazeikiai109-80
06/11/23AGargzdai92-73
29/10/23AJonava77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game75.372.877.8
Allowed / game82.376.887.8
Point differential-7.0-4.0-10.0
Avg total157.7149.7165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game86.286.586.0
Allowed / game85.181.887.9
Point differential+1.2+4.7-1.9
Avg total171.3168.3173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1412286%93.078.8+14.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%81.470.6+10.8
3 BC Wolves1411379%83.476.9+6.5
4 Juventus138562%87.978.6+9.3
5 Lietkabelis138562%85.583.6+1.8
6 Neptunas137654%86.285.1+1.2
7 Jonava146843%80.484.0-3.6
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes145936%88.491.1-2.8
9 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
10 Nevezis1431121%83.191.4-8.4
11 Gargzdai1431121%77.792.9-15.2
12 Siauliai1321115%80.087.5-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1717231370
Neptunas1815231268
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