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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 102-98
23-25 23-32 37-15 19-26
Position#1
Record10-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#9
Record2-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game90.3
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis
16 May 2027
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
20 Dec 2026
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
17 May 2026
ZAL98
NEV80
25 Jan 2026
ZAL88
NEV73
29 Apr 2025
ZAL105
NEV88
12 Jan 2025
ZAL88
NEV86
02 May 2024
ZAL102
NEV78
10 Dec 2023
ZAL102
NEV98
13 May 2023
ZAL90
NEV71
30 Apr 2023
ZAL95
NEV89
23 Oct 2022
ZAL93
NEV75
23 Oct 2021
ZAL102
NEV77
30 Apr 2020
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZAL89
NEV84
20 Jan 2019
ZAL82
NEV79
03 Oct 2018
ZAL81
NEV68
25 May 2018
ZAL84
NEV69
12 May 2018
ZAL95
NEV70
29 Apr 2018
ZAL91
NEV72
07 Jan 2018
ZAL94
NEV68
22 Jan 2017
ZAL80
NEV59
02 Jan 2017
ZAL89
NEV62
13 Apr 2016
ZAL95
NEV73
30 Nov 2015
ZAL82
NEV88
21 Apr 2015
ZAL92
NEV53
13 Oct 2014
ZAL79
NEV52
09 Mar 2014
ZAL95
NEV56
15 Apr 2013
ZAL94
NEV51
10 Dec 2011
ZAL81
NEV60
14 Mar 2011
ZAL104
NEV70
07 Feb 2010
ZAL80
NEV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 76
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 76
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 76
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 76
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 76
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 76
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
77avg 76
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
62-64
62
64
-2
62avg 76
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 76
H08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
19-13
12-22
19-23
15-13
24-23
13-17
19-20
25-18
16-25
21-18
12-12
16-15
29-20
22-28
22-11
19-19
12-24
21-26
20-20
16-31
16-21
22-10
22-26
18-19
23-12
18-21
24-18
17-15
13-17
21-21
29-15
20-13
8-12
17-14
17-25
19-23
18-23
22-11
20-26
150.7Avg total
75.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.869.6149.4+10.283%
Season at home (5)79.672.4152.0+7.280%
Season away (7)80.067.6147.6+12.486%
Last 10 (10)75.075.7150.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)76.074.6150.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)80.379.0159.3+1.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.474.8156.2+6.767%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
79avg 79
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 79
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 79
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 79
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 79
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
74-97
74
97
-23
59avg 79
A20/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
88avg 79
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
74avg 79
H04/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 79
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
26-26
14-10
19-11
28-18
19-28
20-17
22-21
15-25
24-24
12-23
23-17
24-27
22-19
10-26
25-16
24-16
24-21
28-16
16-27
24-19
14-24
15-28
21-26
21-21
18-20
19-26
26-17
34-22
16-24
18-33
22-28
23-22
25-19
18-23
26-16
31-16
31-26
29-35
22-24
175.2Avg total
87.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.990.3170.2-10.417%
Season at home (6)81.786.5168.2-4.833%
Season away (6)78.294.2172.3-16.00%
Last 10 (10)87.887.4175.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)91.895.2187.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.693.9174.6-13.30%
vs Similar (11)91.191.7182.8-0.645%
vs Weaker (5)94.091.0185.0+3.060%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
73.0Avg total
35.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.542.283.6-0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)39.137.176.2+2.159%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.373.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.270.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)36.940.577.4-3.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.838.079.8+3.867%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
89.4Avg total
46.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.345.689.8-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.745.791.4+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.045.488.4-2.425%-
Last 10 (10)46.742.789.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.690.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.447.988.3-7.47%-
vs Similar (11)47.144.291.3+2.955%-
vs Weaker (5)48.842.291.0+6.680%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.0
52.3%
55.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.2
39.5%
34.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws13.510.2
75.6%
73.2%10.2
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.9
55.7%
55.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.4
36.2%
34.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.316.5
77.5%
73.2%16.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWLLWWLL
Nevezis
WWLLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#9
-1.9
Net rating
-1.2
109.3
Offensive rating
112.5
111.2
Defensive rating
113.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.5%
3-point %
36.2%
59.2%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 112.5Defence111.2 · 113.7Shooting55.1% · 55.2%3-point %39.5% · 36.2%Ball care19.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds28.9% · 31.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23HMonaco79-83
05/12/23AAlba Berlin62-64
03/12/23ALietkabelis80-68
30/11/23AOlimpia Milano83-70
27/11/23HNeptunas76-88
24/11/23AOlympiacos72-89
19/11/23HSiauliai89-74
17/11/23HBayern74-73
15/11/23APanathinaikos71-73
12/11/23ABC Wolves64-75
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AJuventus113-101
04/12/23HGargzdai92-80
30/11/23HJuventus90-107
27/11/23HPieno Zvaigzdes90-91 OT
20/11/23ANeptunas74-97
16/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes92-80
13/11/23AMazeikiai81-88
09/11/23ASiauliai74-89
06/11/23HSiauliai89-84
31/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga83-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%80%86%
Points / game79.879.680.0
Allowed / game69.672.467.6
Point differential+10.2+7.2+12.4
Avg total149.4152.0147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%60%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW17%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game79.981.778.2
Allowed / game90.386.594.2
Point differential-10.4-4.8-16.0
Avg total170.2168.2172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1311285%91.778.8+12.9
2 BC Wolves1311285%85.576.7+8.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas1210283%79.869.6+10.2
4 Lietkabelis128467%84.881.8+3.0
5 Juventus138562%87.978.6+9.3
6 Neptunas137654%86.285.1+1.2
7 Jonava136746%80.183.6-3.5
8 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes134931%88.391.7-3.4
10 Gargzdai123925%76.791.4-14.8
11 Nevezis1221017%79.990.3-10.4
12 Siauliai121118%78.887.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas23233719102
Nevezis2532152698
← all games of the day
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