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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 103-75
20-14 29-17 31-24 23-20
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#7
Record7-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.6
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai
24 Apr 2025
ZAL109
MAZ63
17 Nov 2024
ZAL101
MAZ46
12 May 2024
ZAL97
MAZ61
29 Apr 2024
ZAL95
MAZ68
28 Jan 2024
ZAL103
MAZ75
26 Jan 2015
ZAL76
MAZ52
24 Nov 2014
ZAL98
MAZ79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 77
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
79-93
79
93
-14
65avg 77
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
75-67
75
67
+8
76avg 77
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 77
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
62avg 77
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
87avg 77
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
102avg 77
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
82-82
82
82
+0
78avg 77
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
98-71
98
71
+27
96avg 77
A23/01
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 77
A26/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
26-16
13-11
16-19
17-23
26-28
16-21
20-21
16-15
25-13
17-17
17-22
27-21
21-21
14-22
22-15
12-26
25-18
20-24
16-23
23-26
29-13
17-17
18-17
20-14
23-21
23-20
32-20
23-26
21-22
21-18
17-16
22-22
25-19
29-16
22-14
26-22
17-23
16-16
13-20
160.8Avg total
82.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.370.5152.8+11.888%
Season at home (7)82.773.6156.3+9.186%
Season away (10)82.068.4150.4+13.690%
Last 10 (10)82.578.3160.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)87.476.4163.8+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.073.0144.0-2.00%
vs Similar (14)79.480.7160.1-1.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.276.4158.6+5.860%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 72
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
81avg 72
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
54avg 72
H18/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
66avg 72
H22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
77-66
77
66
+11
69avg 72
H25/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
48avg 72
H02/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
62avg 72
H17/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 72
H30/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
96avg 72
A08/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
100-74
100
74
+26
94avg 72
H15/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
19-22
26-10
16-25
13-19
20-23
27-31
31-17
9-24
25-15
13-20
17-23
19-22
26-17
18-25
18-27
18-16
20-21
17-17
22-12
18-18
20-27
14-17
8-15
17-18
17-15
23-23
13-12
13-21
21-19
24-18
15-20
15-18
30-21
24-24
24-19
14-18
23-20
34-22
29-14
158.6Avg total
79.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.580.6158.1-3.144%
Season at home (9)75.675.7151.2-0.144%
Season away (7)80.087.0167.0-7.043%
Last 10 (10)79.778.9158.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)79.275.8155.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.983.4157.3-9.625%
vs Similar (9)82.480.4162.9+2.056%
vs Weaker (5)85.677.8163.4+7.880%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
Zalgiris KaunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/01
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A26/01
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
44.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.481.8+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.244.587.6-1.346%-
Last 30 away (17)40.137.277.4+2.965%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.687.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)40.641.682.2-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.439.581.9+2.967%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H17/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/01
LKL
78.2Avg total
38.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.680.3-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.838.676.4-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)39.845.184.9-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.742.879.4-6.138%-
vs Similar (9)40.341.181.4-0.844%-
vs Weaker (5)42.438.881.2+3.660%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.6
55.2%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.616.4
83.7%
73.2%16.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.2
59.1%
55.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.2
27.3%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.6
68.5%
73.2%14.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWWLWWLW
Mazeikiai
WWLWLWLLWW
#1
League position
#7
+4.7
Net rating
+3.1
112.5
Offensive rating
108.5
107.8
Defensive rating
105.3
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
27.3%
61.9%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 108.5Defence107.8 · 105.3Shooting54.4% · 50.6%3-point %35.4% · 27.3%Ball care20.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24APartizan72-81
23/01/24APieno Zvaigzdes98-71
21/01/24HBC Wolves82-82
19/01/24HFenerbahce98-75
14/01/24ASiauliai87-73
12/01/24ABarcelona73-91
09/01/24AValencia84-79
07/01/24AJonava75-67
04/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne79-93
02/01/24HAlba Berlin77-71
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24HPieno Zvaigzdes100-74
08/01/24AGargzdai93-82
30/12/23HSiauliai73-78
17/12/23HNeptunas70-68
02/12/23HRytas60-77
25/11/23HGargzdai77-66
22/11/23HGargzdai81-91
18/11/23HLietkabelis64-82
15/11/23AJuventus91-90
13/11/23HNevezis88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %88%86%90%
Points / game82.382.782.0
Allowed / game70.573.668.4
Point differential+11.8+9.1+13.6
Avg total152.8156.3150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%57%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWLWLW44%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%44%43%
Points / game77.575.680.0
Allowed / game80.675.787.0
Point differential-3.1-0.1-7.0
Avg total158.1151.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1715288%92.878.4+14.4
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1715288%82.370.5+11.8
3 BC Wolves1813572%83.577.4+6.1
4 Juventus1712571%89.277.2+12.0
5 Lietkabelis1610662%84.181.9+2.1
6 Neptunas1881044%83.984.3-0.4
7 Mazeikiai167944%77.580.6-3.1
8 Jonava1871139%81.784.8-3.1
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes1851328%85.192.9-7.8
10 Siauliai1741324%80.786.6-5.9
11 Nevezis1741324%82.892.4-9.6
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas20293123103
Mazeikiai1417242075
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