Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2017

Tip-off: 14:15

Final 66-77

21-17 17-15 15-21 13-24

Position#8

Record0-1

FormLLLLW

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game92.0

Nevezis

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Position#1

Record2-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game69.0

LKL

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

54-82

-28

H09/04

LKL

Neptunas

53-90

-37

A12/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

74-78

-4

A15/04

LKL

Rytas

56-92

-36

H17/04

LKL

Skycop

72-56

+16

A20/04

LKL

Juventus

79-98

-19

A23/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

71-95

-24

H26/04

LKL

Rilski Sportist

#36

76-81

-5

H20/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Neptunas

73-92

-19

A24/09

LKL

Rilski Sportist

#36

91-62

+29

A27/09

FIBA Europe Cup

10-15

19-18

10-33

15-16

7-32

17-25

14-14

15-19

16-18

15-17

7-23

36-20

13-22

18-21

14-21

11-28

9-19

21-9

25-16

17-12

19-27

22-28

22-20

16-23

20-26

16-18

16-23

19-28

24-22

17-21

18-24

17-14

11-26

23-19

17-24

22-23

17-13

23-17

21-18

30-14

152.5Avg total

69.9Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	73.0	92.0	165.0	-19.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	73.0	92.0	165.0	-19.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.9	82.6	152.5	-12.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	85.6	163.6	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	70.8	87.9	158.6	-17.1	6%
vs Similar (6)	77.3	82.3	159.7	-5.0	33%
vs Weaker (7)	85.6	71.0	156.6	+14.6	57%

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris Kaunas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

83-60

+23

H19/05

LKL

Neptunas

69-53

+16

A22/05

LKL

Lietkabelis

73-67

H28/05

LKL

Lietkabelis

83-86

-3

A31/05

LKL

Lietkabelis

97-58

+39

H03/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

72-59

+13

A06/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

73-68

H09/06

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

89-70

+19

A20/09

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

106-64

106

+42

H25/09

LKL

Neptunas

64-73

-9

A28/09

LKL

24-16

24-18

20-15

15-11

15-12

13-9

21-19

20-13

19-17

18-12

18-24

18-14

25-18

16-20

23-19

19-29

20-11

22-13

28-11

27-23

17-23

23-14

24-15

8-7

15-15

27-18

16-19

15-16

24-25

19-11

25-18

21-16

18-23

26-16

35-13

27-12

18-22

21-17

8-14

17-20

146.7Avg total

80.9Scored

65.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	86.3	69.0	155.3	+17.3	67%
Season at home (1)	106.0	64.0	170.0	+42.0	100%
Season away (2)	76.5	71.5	148.0	+5.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	65.8	146.7	+15.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	66.8	147.6	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	78.0	78.3	156.3	-0.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	83.4	66.7	150.1	+16.7	85%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NevezisZalgiris Kaunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	21.1	37.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	22.0	36.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	15.8	22.1	37.8	-6.3	6%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	16.3	34.6	+2.0	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	18.7	41.0	+3.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	19.9	17.1	37.1	+2.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.8	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.7	18.4	42.1	+5.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.1	37.3	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	15.8	37.5	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	16.4	37.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	14.8	35.7	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.2	38.4	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.0	22.7	42.7	-2.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.3	15.4	36.7	+6.0	74%	-

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

29-33

-4

H09/04

LKL

Neptunas

24-57

-33

A12/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

31-35

-4

A15/04

LKL

Rytas

31-43

-12

H17/04

LKL

Skycop

30-28

A20/04

LKL

Juventus

41-55

-14

A23/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

36-44

-8

H26/04

LKL

Rilski Sportist

#36

41-43

-2

H20/09

FIBA Europe Cup

Neptunas

34-45

-11

A24/09

LKL

Rilski Sportist

#36

40-30

+10

A27/09

FIBA Europe Cup

75.0Avg total

33.7Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	40.2	77.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	39.7	79.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	40.7	75.0	-6.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	41.3	75.0	-7.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	43.4	81.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.3	43.4	77.7	-9.1	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.8	37.3	76.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.0	34.7	76.7	+7.3	71%	-

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

48-34

+14

H19/05

LKL

Neptunas

28-21

A22/05

LKL

Lietkabelis

37-29

H28/05

LKL

Lietkabelis

41-38

A31/05

LKL

Lietkabelis

42-24

+18

H03/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

40-37

A06/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

42-33

H09/06

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

43-36

A20/09

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

44-39

H25/09

LKL

Neptunas

39-39

A28/09

LKL

73.4Avg total

40.4Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	33.4	74.8	+8.0	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	31.8	74.9	+11.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	35.0	74.6	+4.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	33.0	73.4	+7.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.8	78.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	42.3	41.3	83.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.3	32.5	73.8	+8.7	85%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	21.7	38.5	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.4	23.2	40.6	-5.9	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.0	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	16.7	38.9	+5.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	15.5	37.3	+6.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	17.9	40.5	+4.7	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.7	38.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.8	37.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.3	16.6	38.9	+5.7	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.5	43.1	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	21.2	40.4	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	24.5	45.0	-4.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.3	19.0	44.3	+6.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.7	38.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	17.8	35.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.1	34.8	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.2	31.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	14.3	19.7	34.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	19.9	17.6	37.4	+2.3	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	42.3	80.5	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	43.0	79.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	41.7	81.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	41.3	77.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.5	44.5	80.9	-8.0	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.7	43.3	80.0	-6.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	36.3	79.9	+7.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	34.5	76.0	+7.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	33.2	75.7	+9.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	35.7	76.2	+4.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	32.8	73.3	+7.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	30.0	69.2	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	35.7	37.0	72.7	-1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.1	34.2	76.3	+8.0	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.0	52.5%	55.3%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	9.0	42.3%	35.7%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.8	75.7%	73.8%	12.8

They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.1	17.4	52.6%	55.3%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.2	37.7%	35.7%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.6	78.1%	73.8%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.4	50.7%	55.3%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	8.3	38.9%	35.7%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.7	79.4%	73.8%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.6	52.2%	55.3%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	8.8	37.1%	35.7%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.3	78.5%	73.8%	17.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nevezis wins

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Date	Game	Score
09/04/17	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	54-82
22/01/17	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	80-59
02/01/17	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	89-62
30/10/16	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	68-81
13/04/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	95-73
25/01/16	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	54-98
30/11/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	82-88
08/11/15	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	67-90
21/04/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	92-53
30/03/15	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	74-112

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/09/17	A	Rilski Sportist	91-62
24/09/17	A	Neptunas	73-92
20/09/17	H	Rilski Sportist	76-81
26/04/17	H	Lietkabelis	71-95
23/04/17	A	Juventus	79-98
20/04/17	A	Skycop	72-56
17/04/17	H	Rytas	56-92
15/04/17	A	Siauliai	74-78
12/04/17	A	Neptunas	53-90
09/04/17	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	54-82

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/09/17	A	Neptunas	64-73
25/09/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	106-64
20/09/17	A	Alytaus Dzukija	89-70
09/06/17	H	Lietkabelis	73-68
06/06/17	A	Lietkabelis	72-59
03/06/17	H	Lietkabelis	97-58
31/05/17	A	Lietkabelis	83-86
28/05/17	H	Lietkabelis	73-67
22/05/17	A	Neptunas	69-53
19/05/17	H	Neptunas	83-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	73.0	-	73.0
Allowed / game	92.0	-	92.0
Point differential	-19.0	-	-19.0
Avg total	165.0	-	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Zalgiris Kaunas

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	W	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	86.3	106.0	76.5
Allowed / game	69.0	64.0	71.5
Point differential	+17.3	+42.0	+5.0
Avg total	155.3	170.0	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Neptunas	4	4	0	100%	85.2	72.0	+13.2
2	Lietkabelis	3	3	0	100%	86.0	73.7	+12.3
3	Rytas	4	3	1	75%	85.8	79.0	+6.8
4	Zalgiris Kaunas	3	2	1	67%	86.3	69.0	+17.3
5	Siauliai	3	2	1	67%	72.0	71.3	+0.7
6	Alytaus Dzukija	4	1	3	25%	65.8	79.0	-13.2
7	Skycop	3	0	3	0%	72.3	79.7	-7.3
8	Juventus	3	0	3	0%	77.7	85.3	-7.7
9	Nevezis	1	0	1	0%	73.0	92.0	-19.0
10	Pieno Zvaigzdes	2	0	2	0%	77.0	104.0	-27.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nevezis	21	17	15	13	66
Zalgiris Kaunas	17	15	21	24	77

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Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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