PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 80-84
16-21 18-20 26-26 20-17
Position#9
Record6-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#1
Record19-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game74.3
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Feb 2027
NEV v ZAL
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
NEV76
ZAL80
18 Feb 2026
NEV67
ZAL91
09 Nov 2025
NEV68
ZAL94
23 Mar 2025
NEV80
ZAL84
29 Sep 2024
NEV76
ZAL89
22 Oct 2023
NEV70
ZAL76
15 May 2023
NEV86
ZAL92
04 Mar 2023
NEV69
ZAL97
14 Apr 2022
NEV64
ZAL72
02 Jan 2022
NEV69
ZAL77
09 Feb 2020
NEV63
ZAL92
28 Sep 2019
NEV57
ZAL83
10 Apr 2019
NEV70
ZAL102
16 Dec 2018
NEV55
ZAL79
24 May 2018
NEV75
ZAL96
12 Mar 2018
NEV73
ZAL79
01 Oct 2017
NEV66
ZAL77
09 Apr 2017
NEV54
ZAL82
30 Oct 2016
NEV68
ZAL81
25 Jan 2016
NEV54
ZAL98
08 Nov 2015
NEV67
ZAL90
30 Mar 2015
NEV74
ZAL112
24 Sep 2014
NEV59
ZAL93
12 Jan 2014
NEV65
ZAL84
18 Apr 2013
NEV71
ZAL91
14 Jan 2013
NEV42
ZAL83
11 Feb 2012
NEV60
ZAL74
19 Mar 2011
NEV66
ZAL78
18 Oct 2009
NEV52
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
106-90
106
90
+16
112avg 81
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 81
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 81
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 81
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
67avg 81
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
110-87
110
87
+23
108avg 81
A02/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
107-94
107
94
+13
89avg 81
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-99
98
99
-1
98avg 81
A01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 81
H06/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 81
H16/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
30-25
23-10
29-33
23-29
22-26
38-19
19-29
21-26
24-23
20-18
21-21
14-19
17-20
22-24
14-14
28-21
22-21
11-29
23-20
19-23
37-17
24-23
30-24
29-26
27-24
23-18
28-26
35-28
24-25
16-24
23-22
24-14
11-17
20-28
26-24
23-18
26-20
30-15
26-21
183.2Avg total
94.6Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.389.2178.5+0.129%
Season at home (11)86.287.0173.2-0.827%
Season away (10)92.791.6184.3+1.130%
Last 10 (10)94.688.6183.2+6.040%
Last 5 (5)100.287.4187.6+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)87.592.8180.3-5.317%
vs Similar (15)90.189.3179.4+0.940%
vs Weaker (9)91.685.4177.0+6.156%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
111-81
111
81
+30
120avg 80
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-56
79
56
+23
70avg 80
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 80
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 80
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
81avg 80
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 80
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 80
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 80
H13/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
89-62
89
62
+27
88avg 80
H16/03
LKL
Barcelona
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 80
A21/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
30-20
24-20
28-16
24-13
14-14
20-18
21-11
21-25
22-20
25-24
23-20
23-22
21-21
23-17
19-20
21-13
20-22
18-22
11-13
12-18
18-20
13-10
22-18
24-14
17-20
24-15
18-27
14-22
17-25
29-14
23-20
22-9
19-20
26-13
22-20
20-16
11-20
20-23
19-23
159.5Avg total
84.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.774.3166.0+17.390%
Season at home (11)90.670.8161.5+19.8100%
Season away (10)92.878.2171.0+14.680%
Last 10 (10)84.175.4159.5+8.780%
Last 5 (5)78.073.4151.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.290.2169.5-11.00%
vs Similar (10)78.682.0160.6-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.276.0168.2+16.2100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
NevezisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A02/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H16/03
LKL
92.4Avg total
48.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.690.4+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.843.890.6+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.490.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)48.044.492.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)51.042.493.4+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)47.046.793.7+0.333%-
vs Similar (15)44.845.089.8-0.247%-
vs Weaker (9)46.842.689.3+4.256%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/03
LKL
Barcelona
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
Euroleague
77.8Avg total
39.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.782.5+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.682.0+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)44.338.783.0+5.657%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.977.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.871.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.236.081.2+9.275%-
vs Similar (10)38.142.180.2-4.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.037.284.2+9.881%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.6
55.4%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.0
38.7%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.917.5
70.3%
75.0%17.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.3
58.5%
55.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.7
36.2%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
75.0%13.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WLLWWLLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWLWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+7.0
Net rating
+12.4
118.9
Offensive rating
118.2
111.8
Defensive rating
105.9
56.6%
Effective FG%
56.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.7%
3-point %
36.2%
63.5%
Assist %
65.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 118.2Defence111.8 · 105.9Shooting56.6% · 56.7%3-point %38.7% · 36.2%Ball care18.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.7% · 34.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Nevezis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HJuventus105-74
06/03/25HNeptunas81-83
01/03/25ARytas98-99
09/02/25ANeptunas107-94
02/02/25AJonava110-87
26/01/25AJuventus84-91
19/01/25ALietkabelis67-77
12/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas86-88
05/01/25ABC Wolves102-103
29/12/24HSiauliai106-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25ABarcelona70-82
16/03/25HJonava89-62
13/03/25HParis83-81
09/03/25ARytas83-76
06/03/25ABaskonia65-66
02/03/25HJuventus84-81 OT
27/02/25ACrvena zvezda86-80
16/02/25ANeptunas91-89
15/02/25HLietkabelis79-56
09/02/25HSiauliai111-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW29%
HomeLWWLW27%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game89.386.292.7
Allowed / game89.287.091.6
Point differential+0.1-0.8+1.1
Avg total178.5173.2184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game91.790.692.8
Allowed / game74.370.878.2
Point differential+17.3+19.8+14.6
Avg total166.0161.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2119290%91.774.3+17.3
2 Rytas2217577%89.482.0+7.4
3 BC Wolves2013765%91.687.8+3.8
4 Lietkabelis22111150%82.981.8+1.1
5 Jonava22111150%86.090.1-4.1
6 Juventus21101148%83.585.5-2.0
7 Neptunas2291341%84.087.0-3.0
8 Siauliai2181338%91.896.2-4.5
9 Nevezis2161529%89.389.2+0.1
10 Mazeikiai2231914%80.695.9-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1618262080
Zalgiris Kaunas2120261784
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.