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Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:10
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.1
Nevezis
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game76.1
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Feb 2027
NEV v ZAL
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
NEV76
ZAL80
18 Feb 2026
NEV67
ZAL91
09 Nov 2025
NEV68
ZAL94
23 Mar 2025
NEV80
ZAL84
29 Sep 2024
NEV76
ZAL89
22 Oct 2023
NEV70
ZAL76
15 May 2023
NEV86
ZAL92
04 Mar 2023
NEV69
ZAL97
14 Apr 2022
NEV64
ZAL72
02 Jan 2022
NEV69
ZAL77
09 Feb 2020
NEV63
ZAL92
28 Sep 2019
NEV57
ZAL83
10 Apr 2019
NEV70
ZAL102
16 Dec 2018
NEV55
ZAL79
24 May 2018
NEV75
ZAL96
12 Mar 2018
NEV73
ZAL79
01 Oct 2017
NEV66
ZAL77
09 Apr 2017
NEV54
ZAL82
30 Oct 2016
NEV68
ZAL81
25 Jan 2016
NEV54
ZAL98
08 Nov 2015
NEV67
ZAL90
30 Mar 2015
NEV74
ZAL112
24 Sep 2014
NEV59
ZAL93
12 Jan 2014
NEV65
ZAL84
18 Apr 2013
NEV71
ZAL91
14 Jan 2013
NEV42
ZAL83
11 Feb 2012
NEV60
ZAL74
19 Mar 2011
NEV66
ZAL78
18 Oct 2009
NEV52
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 72
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 72
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 72
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 72
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 72
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 72
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
23-20
22-17
28-22
17-20
28-23
18-23
27-21
18-21
163.3Avg total
82.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.883.1158.9-7.322%
Season at home (5)80.480.0160.4+0.440%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.381.0163.3+1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.081.2165.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.090.9172.0-9.923%
vs Similar (5)80.888.2169.0-7.420%
vs Weaker (3)86.376.3162.7+10.067%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 89
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
167.9Avg total
89.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.276.1169.3+17.1100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 10 (10)89.278.7167.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)88.880.8169.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.478.2171.6+15.292%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
NevezisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/11
LKL
84.3Avg total
41.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.885.4-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.645.084.6-5.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.686.1-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.946.585.4-7.732%-
vs Similar (5)40.643.884.4-3.20%-
vs Weaker (3)43.043.786.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
43.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.284.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.281.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.685.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.538.383.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.8%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WWLWLWLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#1
-10.2
Net rating
+11.2
88.9
Offensive rating
106.4
99.1
Defensive rating
95.2
48.3%
Effective FG%
59.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.3%
3-point %
43.4%
59.8%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 106.4Defence99.1 · 95.2Shooting48.3% · 59.8%3-point %29.3% · 43.4%Ball care14.8% · 16.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Nevezis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas76-80
17/05/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis98-80
18/02/26Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas67-91
25/01/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis88-73
09/11/25Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas68-94
29/04/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis105-88
23/03/25Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas80-84
12/01/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis88-86
29/09/24Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas76-89
02/05/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis102-78
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJuventus91-88
11/11/26HTaurage90-79
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game75.880.470.0
Allowed / game83.180.087.0
Point differential-7.3+0.4-17.0
Avg total158.9160.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.295.091.8
Allowed / game76.172.279.2
Point differential+17.1+22.8+12.6
Avg total169.3167.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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