Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 54-82

10-15 19-18 10-33 15-16

Position#9

Record6-23

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game82.9

Nevezis

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Position#1

Record26-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game67.8

LKL

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNevezis

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

88-89

-1

no box

A11/02

LKL

Jekabpils

77-80 OT

-3

no box

H22/02

Baltic League

Skycop

87-96

-9

no box

H25/02

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

88-86

no box

A01/03

Baltic League

Siauliai

#10

86-56

+30

no box

H04/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

78-92

-14

no box

H07/03

Baltic League

Neptunas

70-72

-2

no box

H12/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

69-100

100

-31

no box

A19/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

90-94

-4

no box

H25/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

73-83

-10

no box

A01/04

LKL

25-25

13-18

27-22

23-24

14-17

22-14

18-17

12-22

20-20

23-26

19-25

25-25

23-25

21-18

17-12

27-31

11-12

26-20

20-8

29-16

18-22

20-27

17-19

23-24

16-17

17-15

19-23

18-17

18-21

13-27

8-30

30-22

24-21

26-27

17-26

23-20

22-24

10-12

22-20

19-27

165.4Avg total

80.6Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.0	82.9	158.9	-6.8	21%
Season at home (15)	79.6	80.7	160.3	-1.1	40%
Season away (14)	72.2	85.1	157.4	-12.9	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	84.8	165.4	-4.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	88.2	164.2	-12.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	73.7	88.1	161.8	-14.4	0%
vs Similar (8)	74.4	79.6	154.0	-5.2	25%
vs Weaker (9)	88.0	68.9	156.9	+19.1	89%

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris Kaunas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKaunas

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

64-58

92avg 106

H09/03

Euroleague

Skycop

81-70

+11

no box

A12/03

LKL

Unics Kazan

#15

82-80

108avg 106

A17/03

Euroleague

Juventus

73-71

no box

A19/03

LKL

Anadolu Efes

68-76

-8

95avg 106

H21/03

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

93-77

+16

123avg 106

A23/03

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

79-64

+15

no box

A27/03

LKL

Olimpia Milano

#16

84-88

-4

no box

H31/03

Euroleague

Pieno Zvaigzdes

94-70

+24

no box

H02/04

LKL

Baskonia

84-79

115avg 106

A06/04

Euroleague

9-17

10-14

15-10

30-17

21-18

23-11

15-23

22-18

24-23

18-20

22-17

18-20

14-22

20-18

16-19

23-12

22-17

22-24

15-19

9-16

17-14

27-19

27-25

22-19

9-21

32-10

20-14

18-19

27-18

14-21

22-24

21-25

21-12

20-28

28-7

25-23

21-16

20-24

27-16

16-23

153.5Avg total

80.2Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.8	67.8	151.5	+16.0	90%
Season at home (14)	86.4	68.1	154.5	+18.4	93%
Season away (15)	81.3	67.5	148.7	+13.8	87%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	73.3	153.5	+6.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	75.6	162.4	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	67.2	74.2	141.5	-7.0	25%
vs Similar (10)	76.7	78.2	154.9	-1.5	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	82.0	68.7	150.7	+13.3	81%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NevezisZalgiris Kaunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.6	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.0	35.7	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	16.8	36.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.1	35.3	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.3	15.0	34.3	+4.3	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.5	23.1	40.6	-5.5	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	17.0	40.6	+6.6	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.2	38.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	56%	-

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

38-43

-5

A11/02

LKL

Jekabpils

36-31

H22/02

Baltic League

Skycop

43-46

-3

H25/02

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

44-43

A01/03

Baltic League

Siauliai

#10

37-32

H04/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

38-49

-11

H07/03

Baltic League

Neptunas

33-32

H12/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

31-48

-17

A19/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

50-48

H25/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

32-36

-4

A01/04

LKL

79.0Avg total

38.2Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.9	76.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	37.8	78.9	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.2	40.2	74.4	-6.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	42.6	79.4	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.8	44.0	78.8	-9.2	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.8	36.0	73.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.4	34.2	76.7	+8.2	89%	-

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

19-31

-12

H09/03

Euroleague

Skycop

44-29

+15

A12/03

LKL

Unics Kazan

#15

42-43

-1

A17/03

Euroleague

Juventus

34-40

-6

A19/03

LKL

Anadolu Efes

44-41

H21/03

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

44-33

+11

A23/03

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

41-31

+10

A27/03

LKL

Olimpia Milano

#16

41-39

H31/03

Euroleague

Pieno Zvaigzdes

41-40

H02/04

LKL

Baskonia

41-40

A06/04

Euroleague

75.8Avg total

39.1Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	36.1	74.7	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	36.3	74.9	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	35.9	74.4	+2.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	36.7	75.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.6	78.2	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.2	37.8	72.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.4	39.9	77.3	-2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.3	33.4	73.7	+6.9	81%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.6	40.2	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.2	19.8	36.0	-3.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	15.3	35.4	+4.8	89%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	16.1	36.5	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.4	38.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.2	42.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	18.5	37.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+3.9	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.9	41.4	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.8	45.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.4	19.3	44.8	+6.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.0	38.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	18.0	32.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.8	80.7	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	39.3	80.9	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	42.5	80.4	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	45.6	84.8	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.8	44.1	82.9	-5.2	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.2	42.4	77.6	-7.1	12%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.6	34.7	80.2	+10.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	36.5	76.2	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	35.4	75.3	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	37.6	77.2	+1.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	36.6	77.7	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.0	84.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	36.5	69.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.3	38.3	77.6	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.7	35.3	77.0	+6.4	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.0	52.5%	55.3%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	9.0	42.3%	35.7%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.8	75.7%	73.8%	12.8

They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.1	17.4	52.6%	55.3%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.2	37.7%	35.7%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.6	78.1%	73.8%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.4	50.7%	55.3%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	8.3	38.9%	35.7%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.7	79.4%	73.8%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.6	52.2%	55.3%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	8.8	37.1%	35.7%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.3	78.5%	73.8%	17.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nevezis wins

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Date	Game	Score
22/01/17	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	80-59
02/01/17	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	89-62
30/10/16	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	68-81
13/04/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	95-73
25/01/16	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	54-98
30/11/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	82-88
08/11/15	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	67-90
21/04/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	92-53
30/03/15	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	74-112
13/10/14	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	79-52

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/17	A	Alytaus Dzukija	73-83
25/03/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	90-94
19/03/17	A	Lietkabelis	69-100
12/03/17	H	Neptunas	70-72
07/03/17	H	Tartu Ulikool	78-92
04/03/17	H	Siauliai	86-56
01/03/17	A	Tartu Ulikool	88-86
25/02/17	H	Skycop	87-96
22/02/17	H	Jekabpils	77-80 OT
11/02/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	88-89

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/17	A	Baskonia	84-79
02/04/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-70
31/03/17	H	Olimpia Milano	84-88
27/03/17	A	Alytaus Dzukija	79-64
23/03/17	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	93-77
21/03/17	H	Anadolu Efes	68-76
19/03/17	A	Juventus	73-71
17/03/17	A	Unics Kazan	82-80
12/03/17	A	Skycop	81-70
09/03/17	H	Panathinaikos	64-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	21%
Home	LLWLL	40%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	21%	40%	0%
Points / game	76.0	79.6	72.2
Allowed / game	82.9	80.7	85.1
Point differential	-6.8	-1.1	-12.9
Avg total	158.9	160.3	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	40% (5)	0% (3)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Zalgiris Kaunas

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	90%
Home	WWWLW	93%
Away	LWWWW	87%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	90%	93%	87%
Points / game	83.8	86.4	81.3
Allowed / game	67.8	68.1	67.5
Point differential	+16.0	+18.4	+13.8
Avg total	151.5	154.5	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	93%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	29	26	3	90%	83.8	67.8	+16.0
2	Rytas	30	22	8	73%	82.2	72.9	+9.3
3	Lietkabelis	30	21	9	70%	81.1	75.7	+5.4
4	Neptunas	30	17	13	57%	76.2	72.5	+3.8
5	Skycop	30	16	14	53%	77.2	74.2	+3.1
6	Juventus	30	16	14	53%	80.8	80.5	+0.3
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	30	13	17	43%	77.2	78.3	-1.1
8	Alytaus Dzukija	30	8	22	27%	68.7	78.3	-9.6
9	Nevezis	29	6	23	21%	76.0	82.9	-6.8
10	Siauliai	30	4	26	13%	69.4	89.4	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nevezis	10	19	10	15	54
Zalgiris Kaunas	15	18	33	16	82

← all games of the day

Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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