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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-131
41-27 27-42 36-33 17-29
Position#6
Record14-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game124.8
Allowed / game115.1
vs
Position#24
Record6-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-108
122
108
+14
118avg 115
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-116
130
116
+14
123avg 115
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
122avg 115
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 115
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 115
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 115
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 115
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 115
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
130-112
130
112
+18
139avg 115
A30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-34
27-22
25-26
37-26
39-35
24-33
43-22
24-26
29-31
26-29
32-26
36-26
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
30-25
33-35
33-25
34-27
244.0Avg total
125.3Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)124.8115.1239.8+9.774%
Season at home (9)126.6115.1241.7+11.467%
Season away (10)123.2115.0238.2+8.280%
Last 10 (10)125.3118.7244.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)125.2120.6245.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (12)122.5112.6235.1+9.983%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)123.5114.6238.1+8.864%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
114-123
114
123
-9
114avg 103
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
127-133 OT
127
133
-6
109avg 103
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
138-133 OT
138
133
+5
132avg 103
H17/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 103
A18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
111-113
111
113
-2
105avg 103
H20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
118-115
118
115
+3
117avg 103
H22/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
96-102
96
102
-6
79avg 103
H23/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
102-106
102
106
-4
89avg 103
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
119-129
119
129
-10
111avg 103
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
114-110
114
110
+4
99avg 103
A30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
25-33
28-32
33-28
31-34
24-28
31-31
28-21
29-37
28-24
28-30
33-27
21-34
23-27
22-37
30-22
25-24
25-28
35-35
26-26
25-34
24-29
36-22
33-30
22-21
25-22
26-33
23-26
19-20
25-32
28-28
30-26
22-28
40-32
32-38
25-31
25-28
24-28
34-27
31-27
231.9Avg total
113.5Scored
118.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)110.2115.9226.0-5.729%
Season at home (13)112.0116.4228.4-4.431%
Season away (8)107.2115.0222.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)113.5118.4231.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)109.8112.4222.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)109.2120.9230.1-11.718%
vs Similar (10)109.9109.5219.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (3)109.0111.7220.7-2.733%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A30/11
NBA
120.2Avg total
61.4Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.057.3116.3+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.454.9116.2+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)56.959.4116.3-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)61.458.8120.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)62.056.6118.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (12)60.857.2118.0+3.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)62.555.6118.1+6.8100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H17/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H22/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A30/11
NBA
108.3Avg total
51.0Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.857.9111.7-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.856.7111.5-1.924%-
Last 30 away (13)52.659.5112.1-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)51.057.3108.3-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)50.254.8105.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)51.659.4111.0-7.812%-
vs Similar (10)56.655.8112.4+0.840%-
vs Weaker (3)57.356.3113.7+1.067%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.029.2
57.3%
54.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.915.0
43.0%
35.8%45.0
🏀 Free throws26.721.9
82.0%
78.1%21.9
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.226.9
51.5%
54.8%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.113.2
34.6%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws26.420.1
76.1%
78.1%20.1
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLWWW
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#24
+6.6
Net rating
-4.6
125.5
Offensive rating
106.5
118.9
Defensive rating
111.1
60.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
43.0%
3-point %
34.6%
63.8%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence125.5 · 106.5Defence118.9 · 111.1Shooting60.2% · 51.7%3-point %43.0% · 34.6%Ball care13.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds30.1% · 23.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25APhoenix Suns130-112
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130
16/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
13/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers130-116
12/11/25ASacramento Kings122-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers114-110
29/11/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-129
25/11/25AMiami Heat102-106
23/11/25HMemphis Grizzlies96-102
22/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans118-115
20/11/25HNew York Knicks111-113
18/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves96-120
17/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers138-133 OT
15/11/25HLos Angeles Clippers127-133 OT
13/11/25HPhoenix Suns114-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%67%80%
Points / game124.8126.6123.2
Allowed / game115.1115.1115.0
Point differential+9.7+11.4+8.2
Avg total239.8241.7238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%56%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLWLWL31%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %29%31%25%
Points / game110.2112.0107.2
Allowed / game115.9116.4115.0
Point differential-5.7-4.4-7.8
Avg total226.0228.4222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %10%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2120195%122.2106.7+15.5
2 Detroit Pistons2117481%118.8113.2+5.6
3 Los Angeles Lakers1915479%119.6115.4+4.3
4 Houston Rockets1713476%121.6109.9+11.7
5 Denver Nuggets1914574%124.8115.1+9.7
6 New York Knicks1913668%120.4112.9+7.5
7 San Antonio Spurs1913668%118.8113.6+5.3
8 Miami Heat2114767%124.3118.4+5.9
9 Toronto Raptors2114767%117.6112.9+4.7
10 Orlando Magic2113862%119.5114.3+5.2
11 Minnesota Timberwolves2012860%119.2114.1+5.0
12 Cleveland Cavaliers2213959%119.5115.8+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks2213959%118.0115.8+2.2
14 Phoenix Suns2112957%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Boston Celtics2011955%114.9110.9+4.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers1910953%118.2118.8-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors21111052%114.5113.6+1.0
18 Chicago Bulls2091145%120.0123.2-3.2
19 Memphis Grizzlies2191243%113.4116.5-3.1
20 Milwaukee Bucks2291341%116.0118.2-2.2
21 Portland Trail Blazers2081240%118.2121.2-2.9
22 Utah Jazz1961332%117.7125.4-7.7
23 Charlotte Hornets2161529%115.2120.0-4.7
24 Dallas Mavericks2161529%110.2115.9-5.7
25 Los Angeles Clippers2151624%112.3118.8-6.4
26 Sacramento Kings2151624%111.8122.9-11.1
27 Brooklyn Nets2041620%108.8118.5-9.7
28 Indiana Pacers2141719%110.2119.4-9.2
29 Washington Wizards1931616%113.4127.6-14.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans2131814%111.2122.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets41273617121
Dallas Mavericks27423329131
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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