PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 123-119
25-25 31-27 38-30 29-37
Position#1
Record18-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game122.1
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#16
Record12-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns
26 Oct 2026
OKC125
PHX114
22 Apr 2026
OKC120
PHX107
19 Apr 2026
OKC119
PHX84
12 Apr 2026
OKC103
PHX135
28 Nov 2025
OKC123
PHX119
05 Feb 2025
OKC140
PHX109
15 Nov 2024
OKC99
PHX83
29 Mar 2024
OKC128
PHX103
02 Apr 2023
OKC118
PHX128
19 Mar 2023
OKC124
PHX120
03 Apr 2022
OKC117
PHX96
24 Feb 2022
OKC104
PHX124
02 May 2021
OKC120
PHX123
20 Dec 2019
OKC126
PHX108
12 Nov 2018
OKC118
PHX101
28 Oct 2018
OKC117
PHX110
08 Mar 2018
OKC115
PHX87
17 Dec 2016
OKC114
PHX101
28 Oct 2016
OKC113
PHX110
31 Dec 2015
OKC110
PHX106
08 Nov 2015
OKC124
PHX103
31 Dec 2014
OKC137
PHX134
14 Dec 2014
OKC112
PHX88
03 Nov 2013
OKC103
PHX96
08 Feb 2013
OKC127
PHX96
31 Dec 2012
OKC114
PHX96
07 Mar 2012
OKC115
PHX104
31 Dec 2011
OKC107
PHX97
06 Mar 2011
OKC122
PHX118
19 Dec 2010
OKC110
PHX113
09 Apr 2010
OKC96
PHX91
23 Feb 2010
OKC102
PHX104
29 Dec 2008
OKC102
PHX110
25 Nov 2008
OKC98
PHX99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
132-101
132
101
+31
132avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
114-100
114
100
+14
101avg 111
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
126-102
126
102
+24
123avg 111
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
121-92
121
92
+29
117avg 111
H13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
109-96
109
96
+13
107avg 111
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
126-109
126
109
+17
120avg 111
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
113-99
113
99
+14
105avg 111
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-112
144
112
+32
142avg 111
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
122-95
122
95
+27
126avg 111
H24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
113-105
113
105
+8
102avg 111
H27/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
40-24
28-27
34-18
25-33
26-29
34-18
29-20
34-25
29-19
44-28
19-30
30-18
40-20
30-26
21-28
30-30
25-22
32-18
22-26
49-24
20-32
36-24
21-29
27-25
31-25
25-19
30-30
30-44
37-24
43-20
34-24
39-18
28-28
29-22
26-27
24-17
25-22
29-32
35-34
223.1Avg total
122.0Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)122.1105.6227.7+16.595%
Season at home (9)121.2103.6224.8+17.7100%
Season away (10)122.9107.5230.4+15.490%
Last 10 (10)122.0101.1223.1+20.9100%
Last 5 (5)123.6104.0227.6+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)118.5107.3225.8+11.283%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
114-103
114
103
+11
113avg 107
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
121-98
121
98
+23
121avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-114
123
114
+9
117avg 107
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
133-98
133
98
+35
126avg 107
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
122-124
122
124
-2
112avg 107
H17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
127-110
127
110
+17
116avg 107
A19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
114-113
114
113
+1
110avg 107
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-102
111
102
+9
99avg 107
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
92-114
92
114
-22
74avg 107
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 107
A27/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-29
25-17
25-34
29-23
29-22
35-19
32-31
25-26
30-28
33-25
32-28
28-33
31-23
39-29
36-32
27-14
21-25
37-32
37-20
27-47
35-32
29-29
36-21
27-28
32-24
30-25
19-33
33-31
25-30
24-26
37-24
25-22
23-30
27-29
25-25
17-30
41-16
26-29
16-28
29-27
224.5Avg total
116.9Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)116.8112.6229.4+4.263%
Season at home (11)117.2108.6225.8+8.573%
Season away (8)116.2118.1234.4-1.950%
Last 10 (10)116.9107.6224.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)111.2107.8219.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)109.1123.3232.4-14.227%
vs Similar (11)110.8113.9224.7-3.145%
vs Weaker (8)121.8109.2231.0+12.575%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +9.6+9.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +9.6+9.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
Oklahoma City ThunderPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A08/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
70-38
70
38
+32
H13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H27/11
NBA
113.0Avg total
61.9Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.552.2110.7+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.746.5106.2+13.180%-
Last 30 away (15)57.357.9115.3-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)61.951.1113.0+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)62.051.8113.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)58.552.2110.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H11/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A27/11
NBA
112.6Avg total
60.7Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.757.7113.4-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.056.7112.7-0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)55.459.0114.4-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)60.751.9112.6+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)58.454.0112.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)52.561.6114.2-9.118%-
vs Similar (11)55.358.0113.3-2.745%-
vs Weaker (8)60.851.9112.6+8.975%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 122.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.430.5
59.3%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.513.4
37.7%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws25.120.8
82.9%
78.1%20.8
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.628.2
54.7%
54.8%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.914.1
38.2%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws23.018.2
79.1%
78.1%18.2
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
WLWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#16
+20.6
Net rating
+9.3
120.0
Offensive rating
116.5
99.5
Defensive rating
107.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.7%
3-point %
38.2%
61.3%
Assist %
57.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 116.5Defence99.5 · 107.2Shooting58.2% · 55.8%3-point %37.7% · 38.2%Ball care12.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves113-105
24/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers122-95
22/11/25AUtah Jazz144-112
20/11/25HSacramento Kings113-99
18/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans126-109
16/11/25ACharlotte Hornets109-96
13/11/25HLos Angeles Lakers121-92
12/11/25HGolden State Warriors126-102
09/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies114-100
08/11/25ASacramento Kings132-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25ASacramento Kings112-100
25/11/25HHouston Rockets92-114
24/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs111-102
22/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-113
19/11/25APortland Trail Blazers127-110
17/11/25HAtlanta Hawks122-124
14/11/25HIndiana Pacers133-98
13/11/25ADallas Mavericks123-114
11/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans121-98
09/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers114-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game122.1121.2122.9
Allowed / game105.6103.6107.5
Point differential+16.5+17.7+15.4
Avg total227.7224.8230.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%67%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%73%50%
Points / game116.8117.2116.2
Allowed / game112.6108.6118.1
Point differential+4.2+8.5-1.9
Avg total229.4225.8234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1918195%122.1105.6+16.5
2 Detroit Pistons1915479%118.8112.8+5.9
3 Denver Nuggets1713476%123.8113.8+10.0
4 Los Angeles Lakers1713476%118.3114.8+3.5
5 Houston Rockets1612475%121.1110.4+10.7
6 Toronto Raptors1914574%119.2112.5+6.7
7 San Antonio Spurs1712571%118.1111.6+6.5
8 Miami Heat1913668%122.9117.2+5.8
9 New York Knicks1812667%120.7114.0+6.7
10 Phoenix Suns1912763%116.8112.6+4.2
11 Orlando Magic2012860%119.2114.0+5.2
12 Cleveland Cavaliers2012860%119.0115.5+3.5
13 Atlanta Hawks2012860%117.8115.7+2.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves1810856%118.8114.2+4.7
15 Boston Celtics1810856%114.8110.2+4.6
16 Philadelphia 76ers1810856%117.3117.6-0.3
17 Golden State Warriors20101050%115.0114.5+0.6
18 Chicago Bulls189950%121.0124.2-3.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers1981142%118.4121.1-2.6
20 Milwaukee Bucks2081240%115.5118.6-3.1
21 Memphis Grizzlies1971237%113.4117.5-4.2
22 Utah Jazz1751229%118.1125.5-7.5
23 Los Angeles Clippers1851328%112.2118.2-6.1
24 Charlotte Hornets1951426%115.7120.6-4.9
25 Dallas Mavericks1951426%109.5115.5-5.9
26 Sacramento Kings1951426%111.6123.1-11.4
27 Brooklyn Nets1831517%108.9119.4-10.6
28 Indiana Pacers1931616%110.1119.5-9.4
29 New Orleans Pelicans1931616%111.5122.5-11.0
30 Washington Wizards1821611%112.5127.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder25313829123
Phoenix Suns25273037119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.