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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 120-96
34-21 27-23 37-22 22-30
Position#10
Record8-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Position#24
Record4-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game117.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
114-127
114
127
-13
98avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
115-116
115
116
-1
110avg 108
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-105
122
105
+17
119avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
125-109
125
109
+16
133avg 108
A04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
114-137
114
137
-23
108avg 108
A06/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
137-97
137
97
+40
141avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
144-117
144
117
+27
138avg 108
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
120-113
120
113
+7
112avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
124-110
124
110
+14
121avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 108
H16/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-34
35-23
29-45
20-25
34-32
24-30
28-35
29-19
25-31
25-25
36-18
36-31
28-28
35-31
28-29
34-21
26-28
32-26
28-40
28-43
43-15
36-30
25-22
33-30
31-25
40-29
40-30
33-33
26-30
27-25
40-25
27-33
35-30
26-31
31-30
32-19
31-29
29-26
26-32
26-36
238.1Avg total
122.7Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)120.7115.8236.5+4.862%
Season at home (6)119.3113.8233.2+5.550%
Season away (7)121.9117.6239.4+4.371%
Last 10 (10)122.7115.4238.1+7.360%
Last 5 (5)127.4112.0239.4+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)111.3120.3231.7-9.017%
vs Similar (16)110.8107.8218.6+3.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)124.6106.5231.1+18.1100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 105
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
110-122
110
122
-12
103avg 105
A02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
102-110
102
110
-8
94avg 105
A04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
99-101
99
101
-2
84avg 105
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-118
104
118
-14
98avg 105
A08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-105
111
105
+6
103avg 105
A09/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
114-116
114
116
-2
106avg 105
H11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
114-123
114
123
-9
114avg 105
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
127-133 OT
127
133
-6
109avg 105
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
138-133 OT
138
133
+5
132avg 105
H17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
27-25
29-19
26-31
30-27
31-32
32-28
17-35
28-24
27-34
23-23
24-29
19-29
30-23
28-26
22-23
24-34
27-40
29-28
24-16
35-24
22-29
25-33
29-19
31-27
26-26
31-26
26-37
28-30
25-33
28-32
33-28
31-34
24-28
31-31
28-21
29-37
28-24
28-30
33-27
229.2Avg total
112.6Scored
116.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)111.3117.0228.3-5.729%
Season at home (10)113.1118.3231.4-5.230%
Season away (4)106.8113.8220.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)112.6116.6229.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)120.8122.0242.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)109.8123.5233.2-13.715%
vs Similar (12)113.3111.8225.1+1.658%
vs Weaker (5)114.4113.2227.6+1.240%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A06/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
79-45
79
45
+34
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H16/11
NBA
117.6Avg total
61.8Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.454.1110.5+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.252.9112.1+6.360%-
Last 30 away (15)53.655.4109.0-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)61.855.8117.6+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)64.854.0118.8+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.854.5107.3-1.750%-
vs Similar (16)54.853.9108.6+0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)62.454.4116.8+8.062%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A09/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H17/11
NBA
113.7Avg total
54.7Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.258.6114.8-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.157.8114.8-0.731%-
Last 30 away (14)55.259.5114.7-4.336%-
Last 10 (10)54.759.0113.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)55.858.4114.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)53.561.3114.8-7.88%-
vs Similar (12)57.356.6113.9+0.842%-
vs Weaker (5)60.456.2116.6+4.280%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 122.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.429.7
58.9%
54.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.914.2
39.6%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws25.920.7
79.9%
78.1%20.7
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.929.6
56.0%
54.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.610.7
30.1%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws29.021.3
73.4%
78.1%21.3
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLWWLL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLWLLLLW
#10
League position
#24
+7.1
Net rating
-3.7
119.2
Offensive rating
105.1
112.1
Defensive rating
108.9
59.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.6%
3-point %
30.1%
63.6%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 105.1Defence112.1 · 108.9Shooting59.1% · 51.6%3-point %39.6% · 30.1%Ball care14.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds23.2% · 23.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HDenver Nuggets112-123
15/11/25HSacramento Kings124-110
11/11/25AUtah Jazz120-113
10/11/25ASacramento Kings144-117
08/11/25HUtah Jazz137-97
06/11/25ANew York Knicks114-137
04/11/25ABrooklyn Nets125-109
01/11/25ACharlotte Hornets122-105
30/10/25HLos Angeles Lakers115-116
28/10/25HDenver Nuggets114-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers138-133 OT
15/11/25HLos Angeles Clippers127-133 OT
13/11/25HPhoenix Suns114-123
11/11/25HMilwaukee Bucks114-116
09/11/25AWashington Wizards111-105
08/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-118
06/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans99-101
04/11/25AHouston Rockets102-110
02/11/25ADetroit Pistons110-122
30/10/25HIndiana Pacers107-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%50%71%
Points / game120.7119.3121.9
Allowed / game115.8113.8117.6
Point differential+4.8+5.5+4.3
Avg total236.5233.2239.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %29%30%25%
Points / game111.3113.1106.8
Allowed / game117.0118.3113.8
Point differential-5.7-5.2-7.0
Avg total228.3231.4220.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1413193%121.6106.2+15.4
2 Detroit Pistons1412286%118.8112.1+6.6
3 Denver Nuggets1210283%124.4111.2+13.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%124.8113.2+11.5
5 Los Angeles Lakers1410471%116.3114.4+1.9
6 San Antonio Spurs139469%118.8112.1+6.7
7 Cleveland Cavaliers1510567%120.9116.2+4.7
8 Toronto Raptors149564%119.8115.1+4.6
9 Atlanta Hawks149564%117.6114.0+3.6
10 New York Knicks138562%121.4115.2+6.2
11 Minnesota Timberwolves138562%120.7115.8+4.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers138562%118.5115.9+2.6
13 Golden State Warriors159660%115.7114.0+1.7
14 Phoenix Suns148657%118.8114.4+4.4
15 Miami Heat148657%124.6121.5+3.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks158753%117.6118.7-1.1
17 Boston Celtics147750%113.8109.2+4.6
18 Orlando Magic147750%115.5114.0+1.5
19 Chicago Bulls126650%121.0121.5-0.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers136746%121.5122.2-0.6
21 Utah Jazz135838%118.9123.7-4.8
22 Charlotte Hornets1441029%116.5119.7-3.2
23 Los Angeles Clippers1441029%111.7116.3-4.6
24 Dallas Mavericks1441029%111.3117.0-5.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies1441029%111.9119.8-7.9
26 Sacramento Kings1431121%112.9124.4-11.4
27 Brooklyn Nets1321115%110.5121.9-11.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans1321115%108.2121.5-13.3
29 Washington Wizards131128%112.9129.6-16.7
30 Indiana Pacers141137%108.9123.4-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves34273722120
Dallas Mavericks2123223096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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