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Olimpia Milano vs Basket Napoli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game87.2
ItalyLega ARound 16· Unipol Forum
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli
17 Jan 2027
MIL v NAP
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
MIL125
NAP97
26 Oct 2024
MIL89
NAP82
24 Mar 2024
MIL86
NAP84
18 Feb 2024
MIL72
NAP77
19 Apr 2023
MIL88
NAP76
16 Apr 2022
MIL90
NAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
175.0Avg total
86.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.682.2172.8+8.460%
Season at home (3)94.384.7179.0+9.767%
Season away (2)85.078.5163.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)86.988.1175.0-1.220%
Last 5 (5)85.286.6171.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.790.2173.9-6.611%
vs Similar ◀ (3)84.388.3172.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (18)89.980.4170.3+9.678%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-24
26-12
23-21
19-17
28-20
18-13
19-26
23-34
27-15
26-28
23-16
25-19
28-14
22-18
18-24
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
178.3Avg total
92.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.287.2180.4+6.080%
Season at home (2)90.595.5186.0-5.050%
Season away (3)95.081.7176.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.885.5178.3+7.390%
Last 5 (5)91.891.2183.0+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.796.2176.8-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.184.8171.9+2.350%
vs Weaker (8)92.682.0174.6+10.6100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
Olimpia MilanoBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
44.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.087.4+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.241.290.4+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.3-1.427%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.689.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.344.988.2-1.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.744.385.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (18)47.140.287.3+6.967%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
87.7Avg total
46.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.1+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.680.1+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)43.444.287.6-0.862%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.487.7+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.486.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.745.085.7-4.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.039.681.6+2.462%-
vs Weaker (8)46.541.487.9+5.188%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.4%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.2
58.6%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.9
41.9%
34.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.6%
74.4%16.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLLLWLLWLL
Basket Napoli
WWWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+8.3
100.0
Offensive rating
105.9
101.4
Defensive rating
97.5
55.5%
Effective FG%
60.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.0%
3-point %
41.9%
66.8%
Assist %
67.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 105.9Defence101.4 · 97.5Shooting55.5% · 60.5%3-point %36.0% · 41.9%Ball care16.5% · 16.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Basket Napoli wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80
06/10/26ABuducnost93-75
03/10/26HReggiana99-93
30/09/26HJL Bourg84-76
27/09/26AMaxima Roma94-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game90.694.385.0
Allowed / game82.284.778.5
Point differential+8.4+9.7+6.5
Avg total172.8179.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game93.290.595.0
Allowed / game87.295.581.7
Point differential+6.0-5.0+13.3
Avg total180.4186.0176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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