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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 95-77
20-6 34-26 23-15 18-30
Position#1
Record18-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#12
Record10-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.3
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
53avg 73
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 73
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
81-64
81
64
+17
79avg 73
A06/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
A10/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
104avg 73
H13/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 73
A20/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-75
58
75
-17
48avg 73
A22/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
15-25
18-13
15-13
25-13
16-20
12-14
25-14
15-7
12-18
16-14
15-28
14-19
26-17
23-15
13-24
19-22
21-15
23-14
18-13
16-25
25-16
23-23
17-17
19-17
25-23
28-20
30-24
15-17
16-24
27-23
16-18
11-23
26-17
9-16
12-19
21-30
15-21
26-10
21-16
150.7Avg total
76.7Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.270.3153.5+13.086%
Season at home (11)86.567.7154.2+18.7100%
Season away (10)79.773.1152.8+6.670%
Last 10 (10)76.774.0150.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.082.0163.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.780.0158.7-1.333%
vs Similar (8)70.271.0141.2-0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.368.7147.0+9.683%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
94-101
94
101
-7
95avg 71
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 71
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 71
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
75avg 71
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
67avg 71
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
80avg 71
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 71
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
69avg 71
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 71
H20/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
28-31
25-14
21-31
14-19
14-21
21-17
27-11
24-23
18-19
22-22
26-20
28-18
10-23
29-24
23-24
16-25
32-16
12-28
20-12
22-22
28-17
18-24
25-19
26-16
22-29
21-22
15-15
27-23
21-15
20-19
22-21
25-22
24-13
14-18
19-21
17-21
19-19
16-25
24-22
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.586.3167.8-4.845%
Season at home (11)79.883.7163.5-3.945%
Season away (11)83.288.9172.1-5.745%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.970%
Last 5 (5)85.080.6165.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.785.9164.6-7.235%
vs Similar (13)83.886.5170.2-2.746%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A24/03
Euroleague
75.4Avg total
37.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.272.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.134.772.7+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.135.871.9+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.175.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.680.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.034.768.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (8)36.636.172.8+0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.634.872.4+2.756%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/03
Lega A
85.2Avg total
43.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.184.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.881.3-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)42.844.587.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.785.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.485.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.243.484.6-2.247%-
vs Similar (13)41.142.883.8-1.731%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.8
56.9%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws12.79.3
73.2%
74.7%9.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.4
48.7%
51.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.6
34.2%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
74.7%13.9
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLWLWWLWW
Varese
LWWWWLWWWL
#1
League position
#12
+7.3
Net rating
+3.0
110.0
Offensive rating
111.3
102.8
Defensive rating
108.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
12.5%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
34.2%
61.4%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 111.3Defence102.8 · 108.2Shooting55.2% · 49.9%3-point %35.3% · 34.2%Ball care17.5% · 12.5%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22AAnadolu Efes83-77
22/03/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-75
20/03/22ABrescia74-82
13/03/22HTrieste102-84
10/03/22AReal Madrid88-92 OT
06/03/22ATortona81-64
04/03/22APanathinaikos76-75
24/02/22AOlympiacos58-67
20/02/22HTortona78-61
19/02/22HBrescia69-63
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22HPesaro76-87
14/03/22ABasket Napoli82-74
06/03/22HCremona90-78
18/02/22AReggiana84-82
13/02/22AVenezia93-82
06/02/22HVirtus Bologna80-81
30/01/22HTrento90-89
28/01/22ATrento90-84
15/01/22HVenezia76-68
09/01/22AFortitudo Bologna94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%100%70%
Points / game83.286.579.7
Allowed / game70.367.773.1
Point differential+13.0+18.7+6.6
Avg total153.5154.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%91%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeWWLWL45%
AwayLWWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game81.579.883.2
Allowed / game86.383.788.9
Point differential-4.8-3.9-5.7
Avg total167.8163.5172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%83.270.3+13.0
2 Virtus Bologna2118386%88.479.0+9.4
3 Brescia2215768%84.578.5+6.1
4 Reggiana22121055%81.078.9+2.1
5 Tortona22121055%80.379.7+0.5
6 Brindisi22111150%81.381.6-0.3
7 Sassari21101148%82.982.7+0.2
8 Venezia22101245%78.378.5-0.3
9 Trieste22101245%77.581.2-3.7
10 Varese22101245%81.586.3-4.8
11 Treviso2191243%79.083.1-4.0
12 Trento2291341%77.279.7-2.5
13 Pesaro2291341%79.884.2-4.4
14 Basket Napoli2281436%81.884.3-2.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2271532%81.584.3-2.8
16 Cremona2261627%79.784.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2034231895
Varese626153077
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