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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 82-74
17-15 24-16 23-27 18-16
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.7
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record18-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game69.7
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
BRE85
MIL79
29 May 2026
BRE72
MIL88
05 Nov 2025
BRE98
MIL92
28 Sep 2025
BRE76
MIL90
15 Mar 2025
BRE73
MIL79
15 Feb 2025
BRE69
MIL74
30 May 2024
BRE86
MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
W
88-67
88
67
+21
82avg 77
H16/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
112avg 77
H20/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
97-86
97
86
+11
93avg 77
H23/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 77
A30/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 77
A06/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 77
H12/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
77avg 77
A06/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
101-78
101
78
+23
103avg 77
H13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-14
20-10
25-21
26-15
35-25
25-18
24-20
26-20
16-23
30-26
25-17
20-26
18-21
26-19
29-16
30-21
20-27
20-20
23-18
16-28
25-14
20-12
26-22
19-16
23-26
20-13
16-18
12-21
25-15
13-18
13-15
16-26
23-13
15-20
34-24
21-13
23-19
35-23
22-23
167.6Avg total
89.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.778.7163.3+6.067%
Season at home (11)90.579.8170.3+10.682%
Season away (10)78.377.4155.7+0.950%
Last 10 (10)89.877.8167.6+12.090%
Last 5 (5)83.475.8159.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)62.572.5135.0-10.00%
vs Similar (9)83.284.7167.9-1.456%
vs Weaker (17)86.477.8164.2+8.671%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 73
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
91-57
91
57
+34
93avg 73
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
53avg 73
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 73
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
81-64
81
64
+17
79avg 73
A06/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
A10/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
104avg 73
H13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
19-15
26-23
23-30
23-12
19-15
25-13
24-17
27-18
15-19
23-9
23-22
21-12
15-25
18-13
15-13
25-13
16-20
12-14
25-14
15-7
12-18
16-14
15-28
14-19
26-17
23-15
13-24
19-22
21-15
23-14
18-13
16-25
25-16
23-23
17-17
19-17
25-23
28-20
30-24
152.9Avg total
82.0Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.769.7153.4+14.090%
Season at home (11)86.567.7154.2+18.7100%
Season away (9)80.372.1152.4+8.278%
Last 10 (10)82.070.9152.9+11.180%
Last 5 (5)81.076.4157.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.780.0158.7-1.333%
vs Similar (7)70.472.7143.1-2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.467.8146.3+10.684%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H16/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H20/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A30/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A06/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H12/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A06/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H13/03
Lega A
84.2Avg total
43.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.381.2+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.138.784.9+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.878.1-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.584.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.534.068.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (9)42.741.183.8+1.644%-
vs Weaker (17)43.638.281.8+5.559%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/03
Lega A
73.1Avg total
39.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.272.3+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.536.274.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)35.633.969.5+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.333.873.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.874.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.034.768.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (7)37.936.974.7+1.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.134.571.6+2.653%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.3
56.2%
51.1%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.9
42.4%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.915.8
83.6%
74.7%15.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.0
54.6%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws12.08.9
74.2%
74.7%8.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+21.0
Net rating
+11.0
122.8
Offensive rating
112.3
101.9
Defensive rating
101.3
59.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.20
42.4%
3-point %
38.3%
55.4%
Assist %
62.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence122.8 · 112.3Defence101.9 · 101.3Shooting59.1% · 55.8%3-point %42.4% · 38.3%Ball care15.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22HTreviso101-78
06/03/22ABrindisi88-83
19/02/22AOlimpia Milano63-69
16/02/22ATrento78-73
12/02/22HTrieste87-76
06/02/22AFortitudo Bologna93-86
30/01/22AVenezia93-82
23/01/22HSassari97-86
20/01/22HPesaro110-78
16/01/22HBrindisi88-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22HTrieste102-84
10/03/22AReal Madrid88-92 OT
06/03/22ATortona81-64
04/03/22APanathinaikos76-75
24/02/22AOlympiacos58-67
20/02/22HTortona78-61
19/02/22HBrescia69-63
16/02/22HSassari88-68
13/02/22HPesaro91-57
10/02/22HBaskonia89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game84.790.578.3
Allowed / game78.779.877.4
Point differential+6.0+10.6+0.9
Avg total163.3170.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%82%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %90%100%78%
Points / game83.786.580.3
Allowed / game69.767.772.1
Point differential+14.0+18.7+8.2
Avg total153.4154.2152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%91%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2018290%83.769.7+14.0
2 Virtus Bologna2017385%88.879.1+9.7
3 Brescia2114767%84.778.7+6.0
4 Tortona22121055%80.379.7+0.5
5 Reggiana21111052%80.878.8+2.0
6 Sassari20101050%83.082.5+0.4
7 Venezia21101148%78.378.4-0.1
8 Brindisi21101148%81.082.4-1.4
9 Trieste21101148%77.581.0-3.5
10 Varese22101245%81.586.3-4.8
11 Treviso2191243%79.083.1-4.0
12 Trento2291341%77.279.7-2.5
13 Pesaro2291341%79.884.2-4.4
14 Basket Napoli2281436%81.884.3-2.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2161529%81.384.6-3.3
16 Cremona2161529%80.484.6-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1724231882
Olimpia Milano1516271674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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