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Olimpia Milano vs Basket Napoli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game81.1
Olimpia Milano
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 16· Unipol Forum
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli
17 Jan 2027
MIL v NAP
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
MIL125
NAP97
26 Oct 2024
MIL89
NAP82
24 Mar 2024
MIL86
NAP84
18 Feb 2024
MIL72
NAP77
19 Apr 2023
MIL88
NAP76
16 Apr 2022
MIL90
NAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 82
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 82
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
22-15
15-20
22-23
24-12
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.981.1171.0+8.875%
Season at home (4)92.885.0177.8+7.875%
Season away (4)87.077.2164.2+9.875%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (16)89.278.9168.1+10.381%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 82
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 82
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 82
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 82
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 82
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 82
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
19-16
25-22
30-20
25-23
24-21
13-18
28-15
25-25
22-19
15-28
27-28
27-14
24-22
35-19
20-28
33-21
34-27
11-24
20-22
25-16
182.5Avg total
94.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.286.9180.1+6.488%
Season at home (4)92.590.2182.8+2.275%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.188.4182.5+5.790%
Last 5 (5)96.485.6182.0+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.694.2171.8-16.60%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.685.5173.1+2.157%
vs Weaker (11)94.583.6178.1+10.8100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Olimpia MilanoBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/11
Lega A
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.386.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.783.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)47.140.887.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/11
Lega A
86.9Avg total
44.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.484.0+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.288.3-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.886.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.482.6-4.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker (11)45.841.387.1+4.573%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.6%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.8
72.1%
74.6%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLLLW
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+8.2
100.0
Offensive rating
106.6
101.4
Defensive rating
98.4
55.5%
Effective FG%
60.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.0%
3-point %
41.7%
66.8%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 106.6Defence101.4 · 98.4Shooting55.5% · 60.6%3-point %36.0% · 41.7%Ball care16.5% · 15.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano82-98
19/04/26Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli125-97
12/01/26Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano71-77
31/03/25Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano95-87
26/10/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli89-82
24/03/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli86-84
18/02/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli72-77
08/10/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano77-68
19/04/23Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli88-76
08/01/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano87-81 OT
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUdine83-70
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTrieste90-89
11/11/26AChemnitz112-90
08/11/26AScafati91-89
03/11/26HTrento90-79
01/11/26HVenezia99-81
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.992.887.0
Allowed / game81.185.077.2
Point differential+8.8+7.8+9.8
Avg total171.0177.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game93.292.594.0
Allowed / game86.990.283.5
Point differential+6.4+2.2+10.5
Avg total180.1182.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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