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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-77
15-19 18-17 23-14 28-27
Position#3
Record19-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#11
Record12-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game74.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2021
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Tortona
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
53avg 73
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 73
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
81-64
81
64
+17
79avg 73
A06/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
A10/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
104avg 73
H13/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 73
A20/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-75
58
75
-17
48avg 73
A22/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A24/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
97avg 73
H26/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
16-20
12-14
25-14
15-7
12-18
16-14
15-28
14-19
26-17
23-15
13-24
19-22
21-15
23-14
18-13
16-25
25-16
23-23
17-17
19-17
25-23
28-20
30-24
15-17
16-24
27-23
16-18
11-23
26-17
9-16
12-19
21-30
15-21
26-10
21-16
20-6
34-26
23-15
18-30
154.7Avg total
79.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.871.6145.4+2.266%
Season at home (13)75.971.2147.2+4.777%
Season away (16)72.171.9143.9+0.256%
Last 10 (10)79.375.4154.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.780.0158.7-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.171.9142.0-1.757%
vs Weaker (19)79.269.2148.3+10.084%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
70-52
70
52
+18
74avg 73
H03/02
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
no box
A06/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
72-53
72
53
+19
73avg 73
H13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
58-77
58
77
-19
47avg 73
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
88avg 73
H02/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 73
H04/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
83-62
83
62
+21
75avg 73
H06/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
61-96
61
96
-35
52avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
L
67-80
67
80
-13
51avg 73
A22/03
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
93-64
93
64
+29
102avg 73
H27/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
17-13
19-12
21-11
25-18
17-12
12-26
23-21
19-4
20-14
20-17
13-18
13-22
15-24
13-17
17-14
13-16
15-30
30-14
28-15
29-28
24-22
16-23
19-25
20-16
14-19
24-13
25-14
12-26
15-22
18-30
16-18
16-26
19-16
17-13
15-25
29-14
19-18
29-17
16-15
150.8Avg total
76.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.274.7149.0-0.546%
Season at home (13)75.973.0148.9+2.962%
Season away (13)72.576.5149.0-3.931%
Last 10 (10)76.973.9150.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)78.480.0158.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.581.2154.8-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.975.5153.5+2.464%
vs Weaker (15)78.369.9148.2+8.573%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A24/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H26/03
Lega A
76.7Avg total
39.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.473.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.134.573.6+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)35.936.472.4-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.676.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.034.768.7-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.337.473.7-1.157%-
vs Weaker (19)38.434.773.1+3.758%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H03/02
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H02/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H04/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A08/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/03
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/03
BBL
74.0Avg total
36.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.175.6+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.674.2+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.438.977.3-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.674.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.841.278.0-4.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.339.376.5-2.055%-
vs Weaker (15)39.934.474.3+5.567%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.5
58.6%
52.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
35.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws13.19.3
71.0%
77.2%9.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.515.5
54.4%
52.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
35.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.3
74.5%
77.2%12.3
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWLWWLW
Bayern
WLLWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#11
+9.7
Net rating
+3.7
111.8
Offensive rating
110.5
102.1
Defensive rating
106.8
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
37.0%
62.0%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 110.5Defence102.1 · 106.8Shooting56.8% · 54.9%3-point %36.3% · 37.0%Ball care17.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.7% · 26.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/22HVarese95-77
24/03/22AAnadolu Efes83-77
22/03/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-75
20/03/22ABrescia74-82
13/03/22HTrieste102-84
10/03/22AReal Madrid88-92 OT
06/03/22ATortona81-64
04/03/22APanathinaikos76-75
24/02/22AOlympiacos58-67
20/02/22HTortona78-61
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HCrailsheim Merlins93-64
22/03/22APanathinaikos67-80
08/03/22ABonn61-96
06/03/22HBamberg83-62
04/03/22HOlympiacos88-98
02/03/22HHamburg86-75
15/02/22AChemnitz58-77
13/02/22HFrankfurt72-53
06/02/22ABasketball Braunschweig91-82 OT
03/02/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW66%
HomeLWWLW77%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %66%77%56%
Points / game73.875.972.1
Allowed / game71.671.271.9
Point differential+2.2+4.7+0.2
Avg total145.4147.2143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Bayern
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL46%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%62%31%
Points / game74.275.972.5
Allowed / game74.773.076.5
Point differential-0.5+2.9-3.9
Avg total149.0148.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)25% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3024680%83.575.5+8.1
2 Real Madrid3122971%77.972.6+5.4
3 Olimpia Milano29191066%73.871.6+2.2
4 Olympiacos30191163%80.675.2+5.4
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Monaco31171455%84.181.4+2.7
8 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29151452%79.078.9+0.1
10 Anadolu Efes31161552%82.980.9+2.0
11 Bayern26121446%74.274.7-0.5
12 Crvena zvezda30131743%72.974.2-1.3
13 Fenerbahce28121643%74.774.2+0.5
14 Alba Berlin31131842%75.578.9-3.5
15 Baskonia31112035%74.278.8-4.6
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne30102033%72.779.2-6.4
17 Panathinaikos2982128%74.380.6-6.2
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3072323%71.878.7-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1518232884
Bayern1917142777
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