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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 64-69 (OT)
8-14 18-9 24-20 10-17 4-9
Position#8
Record16-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record22-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game75.6
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
123avg 111
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
118avg 111
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
75-73
75
73
+2
99avg 111
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
110avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
95avg 111
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
69-65
69
65
+4
101avg 111
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
126avg 111
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
83-92
83
92
-9
118avg 111
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
86avg 111
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
104avg 111
A14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
25-17
16-23
23-25
26-12
22-16
14-19
26-21
23-21
22-20
10-16
20-16
28-10
15-25
12-24
25-14
18-22
10-14
19-16
24-17
8-13
17-14
24-10
20-28
24-17
23-23
22-20
20-19
25-14
16-26
20-29
22-23
20-13
20-18
12-24
9-13
22-14
18-23
20-16
15-24
153.3Avg total
78.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.875.5153.3+2.350%
Season at home (15)82.173.9156.1+8.273%
Season away (17)74.176.9150.9-2.829%
Last 10 (10)78.275.1153.3+3.170%
Last 5 (5)75.476.2151.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.375.1153.3+3.253%
vs Weaker (10)79.376.4155.7+2.950%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
120avg 108
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
99avg 108
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
106avg 108
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
83avg 108
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
119avg 108
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H06/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
110avg 108
A09/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
68-61
68
61
+7
94avg 108
H12/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
101avg 108
H14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
20-14
18-11
23-19
21-12
21-16
13-22
20-21
26-26
18-17
20-20
16-13
15-21
12-15
14-23
20-9
24-18
24-27
16-15
11-15
19-26
16-17
27-26
24-19
21-11
27-23
16-27
19-22
22-26
22-20
23-26
18-18
13-20
18-20
24-12
13-9
14-22
23-18
16-20
24-15
158.4Avg total
80.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.475.6155.0+3.969%
Season at home (17)80.172.4152.4+7.776%
Season away (15)78.779.2157.9-0.560%
Last 10 (10)80.478.0158.4+2.470%
Last 5 (5)82.881.8164.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.177.7153.8-1.747%
vs Weaker (12)84.275.6159.8+8.683%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/05
Lega A
76.3Avg total
40.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.876.9+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.435.179.4+9.386%-
Last 30 away (16)36.338.474.7-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.476.3+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.837.378.1+3.568%-
vs Weaker (10)38.536.074.5+2.560%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H06/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/05
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/05
Lega A
79.7Avg total
40.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.379.7+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.736.677.3+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.482.4-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.679.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.679.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.640.077.6-2.447%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.780.9+5.667%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.5
53.3%
51.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
33.9%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
73.0%12.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.8
51.9%
51.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.612.0
64.5%
73.0%12.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWWWWWWW
Brescia
WWLWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#3
+3.8
Net rating
+2.8
107.6
Offensive rating
104.7
103.8
Defensive rating
101.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
36.5%
62.8%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 104.7Defence103.8 · 101.9Shooting52.3% · 53.1%3-point %33.9% · 36.5%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
14/05/18Brescia v Varese77-75
12/05/18Brescia v Varese68-61
11/02/18Varese v Brescia100-72
23/10/17Brescia v Varese73-67
19/03/17Brescia v Varese78-87
19/11/16Varese v Brescia68-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/18ABrescia75-77
12/05/18ABrescia61-68
09/05/18ATorino83-92
06/05/18HCremona89-79
29/04/18HBrindisi69-65
22/04/18AVirtus Bologna71-69
15/04/18HReggiana80-73
08/04/18ACapo d'Orlando75-73
31/03/18HPesaro88-68
25/03/18ASassari91-87
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/18HVarese77-75
12/05/18HVarese68-61
09/05/18APistoia85-90
06/05/18HTorino98-95 OT
28/04/18ACremona86-88
22/04/18HOlimpia Milano88-85 OT
15/04/18AVenezia61-68
08/04/18ASassari80-76
04/04/18AReggiana75-71
31/03/18HCantu86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %50%73%29%
Points / game77.882.174.1
Allowed / game75.573.976.9
Point differential+2.3+8.2-2.8
Avg total153.3156.1150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (4)44% (9)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %69%76%60%
Points / game79.480.178.7
Allowed / game75.672.479.2
Point differential+3.9+7.7-0.5
Avg total155.0152.4157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)67% (6)67% (9)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia3225778%83.678.7+5.0
2 Olimpia Milano3325876%82.774.5+8.2
3 Brescia32221069%79.475.6+3.9
4 Avellino32211166%82.876.6+6.2
5 Trento32191359%80.076.9+3.1
6 Sassari30151550%86.282.9+3.3
7 Varese32161650%77.875.5+2.3
8 Virtus Bologna30151550%78.476.4+2.0
9 Cantu33161748%85.887.3-1.5
10 Cremona32151747%84.684.1+0.5
11 Reggiana30131743%77.478.7-1.3
12 Torino30131743%81.183.1-2.1
13 Pistoia30102033%75.681.6-6.1
14 Brindisi3092130%77.282.0-4.8
15 Pesaro3082227%77.084.9-7.9
16 Capo d'Orlando3072323%71.884.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese8182410464
Brescia1492017969
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