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Pistoia vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-85
26-22 20-22 26-23 18-18
Position#13
Record9-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game81.5
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record20-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game75.6
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Brescia
09 Mar 2025
PIS84
BRE97
17 May 2024
PIS77
BRE98
22 Oct 2023
PIS72
BRE84
05 Apr 2020
PIS v BRE
upcoming
09 Dec 2018
PIS73
BRE70
09 May 2018
PIS90
BRE85
07 May 2017
PIS86
BRE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
16-14
22-18
19-17
20-26
22-33
22-19
21-28
18-21
21-20
27-17
8-20
27-13
18-20
25-24
23-26
31-11
12-16
20-28
21-22
14-27
19-16
24-16
12-10
28-19
12-13
16-29
13-19
23-21
16-21
14-20
17-23
14-23
18-22
14-14
15-15
20-31
13-17
21-29
20-24
158.5Avg total
75.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.181.5156.6-6.431%
Season at home (14)77.377.4154.6-0.150%
Season away (15)73.085.4158.4-12.413%
Last 10 (10)75.682.9158.5-7.330%
Last 5 (5)69.284.0153.2-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)73.084.2157.2-11.114%
vs Similar (7)79.780.3160.0-0.657%
vs Weaker (2)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
20-17
19-20
20-11
24-23
17-18
10-18
15-11
17-26
28-21
17-14
26-17
25-27
20-14
18-11
23-19
21-12
21-16
13-22
20-21
26-26
18-17
20-20
16-13
15-21
12-15
14-23
20-9
24-18
24-27
16-15
11-15
19-26
16-17
27-26
24-19
21-11
27-23
16-27
19-22
156.4Avg total
80.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.775.6155.3+4.169%
Season at home (15)81.172.9154.0+8.173%
Season away (14)78.378.4156.7-0.164%
Last 10 (10)80.276.2156.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
vs Similar (15)75.776.9152.5-1.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.673.8157.4+9.892%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
PistoiaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/05
Lega A
77.9Avg total
37.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.479.5-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.177.8-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.681.1-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.077.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.077.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.542.779.2-6.219%-
vs Similar (7)42.039.981.9+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)41.532.574.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H06/05
Lega A
79.7Avg total
41.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.178.8+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.577.4+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.780.1-1.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.779.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (15)37.938.075.9-0.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.537.280.7+6.375%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.4
45.5%
51.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.610.4
62.7%
73.0%10.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.310.8
62.4%
73.0%10.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLWWLLW
Brescia
WLWLWWWWLW
#13
League position
#3
-12.8
Net rating
-0.8
100.4
Offensive rating
102.4
113.3
Defensive rating
103.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.0%
3-point %
35.7%
53.8%
Assist %
58.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 102.4Defence113.3 · 103.2Shooting47.1% · 52.3%3-point %33.0% · 35.7%Ball care16.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
2
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
14/01/18Brescia v Pistoia76-72
07/05/17Pistoia v Brescia86-62
08/01/17Brescia v Pistoia97-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18AOlimpia Milano74-101
29/04/18HVirtus Bologna61-74
22/04/18ATrento70-85
15/04/18HSassari69-80
08/04/18APesaro72-80 OT
31/03/18ATorino84-77
25/03/18HVenezia93-83
17/03/18HReggiana74-78
11/03/18ACantu85-106
04/03/18HVarese74-65
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18HTorino98-95 OT
28/04/18ACremona86-88
22/04/18HOlimpia Milano88-85 OT
15/04/18AVenezia61-68
08/04/18ASassari80-76
04/04/18AReggiana75-71
31/03/18HCantu86-71
24/03/18ACapo d'Orlando88-78
18/03/18HVirtus Bologna66-70
05/03/18HBrindisi74-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %31%50%13%
Points / game75.177.373.0
Allowed / game81.577.485.4
Point differential-6.4-0.1-12.4
Avg total156.6154.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%73%64%
Points / game79.781.178.3
Allowed / game75.672.978.4
Point differential+4.1+8.1-0.1
Avg total155.3154.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)60% (5)75% (8)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%82.074.3+7.7
2 Venezia2922776%82.578.6+3.9
3 Brescia2920969%79.775.6+4.1
4 Avellino29191066%83.277.2+6.0
5 Trento29181162%81.076.8+4.2
6 Varese29161355%78.375.1+3.2
7 Virtus Bologna29151452%77.775.4+2.3
8 Cantu29151452%86.987.2-0.3
9 Sassari29141548%85.383.0+2.3
10 Cremona29141548%84.082.8+1.2
11 Reggiana29121741%76.578.0-1.6
12 Torino29121741%80.783.1-2.4
13 Brindisi2992031%77.081.5-4.5
14 Pistoia2992031%75.181.5-6.4
15 Pesaro2982128%76.984.0-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2972224%71.083.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2620261890
Brescia2222231885
← all games of the day
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