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Brescia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 68-61
13-20 18-20 24-12 13-9
Position#3
Record20-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.1
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record16-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.7
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Brescia v Varese
14 Dec 2025
BRE102
VAR94
29 Sep 2024
BRE118
VAR94
26 Nov 2023
BRE116
VAR73
08 Oct 2022
BRE88
VAR83
01 May 2022
BRE102
VAR71
10 Feb 2021
BRE98
VAR83
01 Sep 2020
BRE89
VAR88
10 Nov 2019
BRE91
VAR74
20 Jan 2019
BRE78
VAR73
14 May 2018
BRE77
VAR75
12 May 2018
BRE68
VAR61
23 Oct 2017
BRE73
VAR67
19 Mar 2017
BRE78
VAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
66-70
66
70
-4
94avg 108
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
121avg 108
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
120avg 108
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
99avg 108
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
106avg 108
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
83avg 108
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
119avg 108
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H06/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
110avg 108
A09/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-18
10-18
15-11
17-26
28-21
17-14
26-17
25-27
20-14
18-11
23-19
21-12
21-16
13-22
20-21
26-26
18-17
20-20
16-13
15-21
12-15
14-23
20-9
24-18
24-27
16-15
11-15
19-26
16-17
27-26
24-19
21-11
27-23
16-27
19-22
22-26
22-20
23-26
18-18
160.5Avg total
81.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.976.1156.0+3.867%
Season at home (15)81.172.9154.0+8.173%
Season away (15)78.779.2157.9-0.560%
Last 10 (10)81.379.2160.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)83.685.2168.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.478.4154.7-2.043%
vs Weaker (13)83.775.1158.8+8.685%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
98avg 112
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
123avg 112
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
118avg 112
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
75-73
75
73
+2
99avg 112
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
110avg 112
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
95avg 112
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
69-65
69
65
+4
101avg 112
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
126avg 112
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
83-92
83
92
-9
118avg 112
A09/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
11-24
21-19
22-22
26-14
18-19
21-24
17-18
27-22
25-17
16-23
23-25
26-12
22-16
14-19
26-21
23-21
22-20
10-16
20-16
28-10
15-25
12-24
25-14
18-22
10-14
19-16
24-17
8-13
17-14
24-10
20-28
24-17
23-23
22-20
20-19
25-14
16-26
20-29
22-23
156.5Avg total
80.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.575.7154.2+2.853%
Season at home (15)82.173.9156.1+8.273%
Season away (15)74.977.5152.3-2.633%
Last 10 (10)80.276.3156.5+3.980%
Last 5 (5)78.475.6154.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.573.0147.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.575.6154.1+2.956%
vs Weaker (10)79.376.4155.7+2.950%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
BresciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H06/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/05
Lega A
82.3Avg total
41.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.980.1+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.577.4+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.282.7-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.482.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.639.177.7-0.457%-
vs Weaker (13)43.537.881.4+5.769%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/05
Lega A
76.4Avg total
40.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.377.0+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.635.779.3+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)35.739.074.7-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.076.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.037.575.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.438.178.5+2.461%-
vs Weaker (10)38.536.074.5+2.560%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.5
51.3%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.6
36.6%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.011.1
61.7%
73.0%11.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.1
52.0%
51.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.3
39.5%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
73.0%12.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWLWWWWL
Varese
LWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#8
-1.0
Net rating
+5.2
103.4
Offensive rating
112.2
104.4
Defensive rating
107.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.6%
3-point %
39.5%
59.1%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 112.2Defence104.4 · 107.0Shooting52.7% · 55.1%3-point %36.6% · 39.5%Ball care17.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 29.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
11/02/18Varese v Brescia100-72
23/10/17Brescia v Varese73-67
19/03/17Brescia v Varese78-87
19/11/16Varese v Brescia68-74
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/18APistoia85-90
06/05/18HTorino98-95 OT
28/04/18ACremona86-88
22/04/18HOlimpia Milano88-85 OT
15/04/18AVenezia61-68
08/04/18ASassari80-76
04/04/18AReggiana75-71
31/03/18HCantu86-71
24/03/18ACapo d'Orlando88-78
18/03/18HVirtus Bologna66-70
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/18ATorino83-92
06/05/18HCremona89-79
29/04/18HBrindisi69-65
22/04/18AVirtus Bologna71-69
15/04/18HReggiana80-73
08/04/18ACapo d'Orlando75-73
31/03/18HPesaro88-68
25/03/18ASassari91-87
18/03/18HAvellino82-75
10/03/18ATrento74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game79.981.178.7
Allowed / game76.172.979.2
Point differential+3.8+8.1-0.5
Avg total156.0154.0157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)60% (5)67% (9)
Overtime %10%13%7%
Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%73%33%
Points / game78.582.174.9
Allowed / game75.773.977.5
Point differential+2.8+8.2-2.6
Avg total154.2156.1152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia3023777%82.778.8+3.9
2 Olimpia Milano3123874%82.874.7+8.1
3 Avellino30201067%83.177.1+6.0
4 Brescia30201067%79.976.1+3.8
5 Trento30181260%80.876.8+4.0
6 Varese30161453%78.575.7+2.8
7 Cantu31161552%86.887.7-0.9
8 Sassari30151550%86.282.9+3.3
9 Virtus Bologna30151550%78.476.4+2.0
10 Cremona30151550%85.183.2+2.0
11 Reggiana30131743%77.478.7-1.3
12 Torino30131743%81.183.1-2.1
13 Pistoia30102033%75.681.6-6.1
14 Brindisi3092130%77.282.0-4.8
15 Pesaro3082227%77.084.9-7.9
16 Capo d'Orlando3072323%71.884.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1318241368
Varese202012961
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