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Brescia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 May 2022
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 102-71
27-24 20-25 25-14 30-8
Position#3
Record20-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.1
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record12-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.2
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Brescia v Varese
14 Dec 2025
BRE102
VAR94
29 Sep 2024
BRE118
VAR94
26 Nov 2023
BRE116
VAR73
08 Oct 2022
BRE88
VAR83
01 May 2022
BRE102
VAR71
10 Feb 2021
BRE98
VAR83
01 Sep 2020
BRE89
VAR88
10 Nov 2019
BRE91
VAR74
20 Jan 2019
BRE78
VAR73
14 May 2018
BRE77
VAR75
12 May 2018
BRE68
VAR61
23 Oct 2017
BRE73
VAR67
19 Mar 2017
BRE78
VAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
77avg 79
A06/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
101-78
101
78
+23
103avg 79
H13/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 79
H20/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
79avg 79
A27/03
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
86-62
86
62
+24
83avg 79
H03/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 79
A09/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
69avg 79
A13/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
99-64
99
64
+35
105avg 79
H16/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 79
A24/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
25-15
13-18
13-15
16-26
23-13
15-20
34-24
21-13
23-19
35-23
22-23
17-15
24-16
23-27
18-16
23-28
15-20
22-16
28-19
26-12
19-20
18-20
23-10
26-11
12-18
18-26
14-13
26-15
15-17
13-30
20-19
21-16
33-16
25-23
20-9
28-19
19-20
26-24
15-13
157.7Avg total
83.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.577.1161.6+7.371%
Season at home (14)90.177.0167.1+13.186%
Season away (14)78.877.3156.1+1.557%
Last 10 (10)83.973.8157.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)83.470.2153.6+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.073.0142.0-4.033%
vs Similar (3)82.384.7167.0-2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.576.4162.9+10.077%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 71
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
69avg 71
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 71
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 71
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 71
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 71
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 71
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 71
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 71
H24/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
22-29
21-22
15-15
27-23
21-15
20-19
22-21
25-22
24-13
14-18
19-21
17-21
19-19
16-25
24-22
6-20
26-34
15-23
30-18
16-20
19-14
19-25
21-13
16-26
29-21
22-18
13-24
19-18
20-26
15-23
22-25
21-22
24-32
23-24
31-26
24-25
21-20
31-24
27-23
170.7Avg total
84.2Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.287.2169.5-5.043%
Season at home (14)81.285.3166.5-4.143%
Season away (14)83.389.2172.5-5.943%
Last 10 (10)84.286.5170.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)86.689.8176.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.385.5164.8-6.241%
vs Similar (13)84.888.0172.8-3.246%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
BresciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A06/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H13/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H20/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A09/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/04
Lega A
77.4Avg total
42.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.180.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.037.484.4+9.679%-
Last 30 away (16)38.238.876.9-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.077.4+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.032.877.8+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.733.069.7+3.767%-
vs Similar (3)42.343.786.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.037.481.4+6.668%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H24/04
Lega A
85.8Avg total
42.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.684.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.782.8-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.586.2-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.685.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.886.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.243.483.6-3.147%-
vs Similar (13)41.843.985.7-2.223%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.7
53.2%
51.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.0
39.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.6
77.2%
74.7%14.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.3
49.9%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.3
35.2%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.112.7
78.9%
74.7%12.7
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWWWWWWL
Varese
WLLLWLLWWW
#3
League position
#12
+15.8
Net rating
-3.7
115.2
Offensive rating
112.5
99.4
Defensive rating
116.2
55.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.5%
3-point %
35.2%
56.7%
Assist %
60.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 112.5Defence99.4 · 116.2Shooting55.6% · 51.2%3-point %39.5% · 35.2%Ball care17.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds31.9% · 28.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
26/09/21Varese v Brescia75-72
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
27/09/20Varese v Brescia94-89 OT
13/09/20Varese v Brescia102-100
01/09/20Brescia v Varese89-88
10/11/19Brescia v Varese91-74
20/01/19Brescia v Varese78-73
07/10/18Varese v Brescia81-80
16/05/18Varese v Brescia64-69 OT
14/05/18Brescia v Varese77-75
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/22ACremona88-76
16/04/22HReggiana99-64
13/04/22ATortona74-81
09/04/22ABasket Napoli70-68
03/04/22HTrento86-62
27/03/22APesaro88-83
20/03/22HOlimpia Milano82-74
13/03/22HTreviso101-78
06/03/22ABrindisi88-83
19/02/22AOlimpia Milano63-69
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/22HFortitudo Bologna103-92
16/04/22ATortona99-104
13/04/22HTrieste76-92
10/04/22HTreviso80-89
03/04/22ABrindisi75-72
26/03/22AOlimpia Milano77-95
20/03/22HPesaro76-87
14/03/22ABasket Napoli82-74
06/03/22HCremona90-78
18/02/22AReggiana84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game84.590.178.8
Allowed / game77.177.077.3
Point differential+7.3+13.1+1.5
Avg total161.6167.1156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%79%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game82.281.283.3
Allowed / game87.285.389.2
Point differential-5.0-4.1-5.9
Avg total169.5166.5172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2825389%89.878.5+11.2
2 Olimpia Milano2823582%82.871.6+11.1
3 Brescia2820871%84.577.1+7.3
4 Venezia28161257%77.876.7+1.0
5 Tortona28151354%80.080.6-0.6
6 Sassari27141352%82.481.4+1.0
7 Reggiana28131546%80.180.5-0.4
8 Trieste28131546%79.782.2-2.5
9 Pesaro28131546%80.383.9-3.6
10 Varese28121643%82.287.2-5.0
11 Brindisi29121741%81.382.8-1.4
12 Trento28111739%77.580.6-3.1
13 Treviso28111739%78.784.0-5.3
14 Basket Napoli28101836%80.282.6-2.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2891932%82.084.2-2.2
16 Cremona2872125%78.383.3-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia27202530102
Varese242514871
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