Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2015

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 78-77

24-21 18-21 16-19 20-16

Position#2

Record25-4

FormWLLWW

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game73.3

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Pistoia

Position#10

Record13-16

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game77.7

Lega ARound 30

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#13

99-85

+14

H26/03

Euroleague

Sassari

97-80

+17

H29/03

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#12

78-86

-8

A03/04

Euroleague

Caserta

#16

82-78

A06/04

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

79-88

-9

H09/04

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

#14

77-56

+21

H12/04

Lega A

Cantu

64-83

-19

A16/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

57-71

-14

A19/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

117-92

117

+25

H26/04

Lega A

Brindisi

85-73

+12

A03/05

Lega A

20-25

19-18

35-17

25-25

26-17

30-16

23-18

18-29

24-13

18-23

17-27

19-23

17-21

16-15

25-16

24-26

15-23

19-32

21-18

24-15

22-10

13-17

21-16

21-13

16-22

21-21

17-19

10-21

15-29

18-15

11-8

13-19

30-22

25-22

39-16

23-32

26-17

20-18

17-18

22-20

162.7Avg total

83.5Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	86.4	73.3	159.7	+13.1	86%
Season at home (14)	91.4	70.2	161.6	+21.1	100%
Season away (15)	81.8	76.1	157.9	+5.7	73%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	79.2	162.7	+4.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	75.0	155.0	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	80.1	89.5	169.6	-9.4	10%
vs Similar (4)	83.8	76.0	159.8	+7.8	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	87.6	73.4	161.0	+14.2	87%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

67-90

-23

A01/03

Lega A

Venezia

82-90

-8

H14/03

Lega A

Trento

86-69

+17

H18/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

63-70

-7

A22/03

Lega A

Cantu

88-87 OT

H30/03

Lega A

Brindisi

77-89

-12

A04/04

Lega A

Avellino

#13

69-73

-4

A13/04

Lega A

Reggiana

92-78

+14

H19/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

86-82

A26/04

Lega A

Varese

#12

87-103

103

-16

H03/05

Lega A

16-21

26-20

11-28

14-21

34-26

13-23

14-17

21-24

26-17

10-12

22-18

28-22

7-19

13-14

20-18

23-19

19-15

19-23

19-14

21-26

21-27

21-17

18-22

17-23

16-12

21-29

16-12

16-20

20-14

24-21

28-19

20-24

16-17

26-24

21-19

23-22

14-26

21-32

23-24

29-21

162.8Avg total

79.7Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.9	77.7	154.6	-0.8	45%
Season at home (15)	81.8	78.9	160.7	+2.9	47%
Season away (14)	71.6	76.5	148.1	-4.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	83.1	162.8	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	85.0	167.2	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	74.0	80.8	154.8	-6.8	0%
vs Similar (22)	77.4	78.2	155.6	-0.8	50%
vs Weaker (4)	77.2	74.5	151.8	+2.8	50%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	24.9	42.9	-6.9	10%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.3	18.3	41.5	+5.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.9	40.1	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.8	21.1	36.9	-5.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.1	39.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.5	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.5	37.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.6	47.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	18.8	18.5	37.4	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.5	75%	-

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#13

39-43

-4

H26/03

Euroleague

Sassari

56-33

+23

H29/03

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#12

42-36

A03/04

Euroleague

Caserta

#16

33-36

-3

A06/04

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

34-55

-21

H09/04

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

#14

35-27

H12/04

Lega A

Cantu

37-43

-6

A16/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

33-44

-11

A19/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

55-44

+11

H26/04

Lega A

Brindisi

46-35

+11

A03/05

Lega A

80.6Avg total

41.0Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.6	81.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	37.9	80.8	+5.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	41.6	82.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	39.6	80.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.3	46.1	85.4	-6.8	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.5	36.1	80.6	+8.5	73%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

42-41

A01/03

Lega A

Venezia

47-49

-2

H14/03

Lega A

Trento

36-29

H18/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

20-33

-13

A22/03

Lega A

Cantu

38-38

H30/03

Lega A

Brindisi

42-44

-2

A04/04

Lega A

Avellino

#13

37-41

-4

A13/04

Lega A

Reggiana

44-35

H19/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

42-41

A26/04

Lega A

Varese

#12

35-58

-23

H03/05

Lega A

79.2Avg total

38.3Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.7	76.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	37.3	77.9	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	40.1	75.0	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	40.9	79.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.8	83.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	36.6	38.7	75.4	-2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	35.8	76.8	+5.2	75%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.5	40.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	18.0	41.7	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.3	39.9	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.4	36.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.1	37.5	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	13.8	17.5	31.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.3	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	21.4	20.5	41.8	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	18.2	36.8	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.0	80.7	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	38.7	82.8	+5.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	39.4	78.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	39.6	82.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.4	75.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.8	43.4	84.2	-2.6	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.0	36.8	78.8	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	43.1	37.3	80.4	+5.7	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	38.8	77.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	40.9	81.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	36.6	73.0	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	41.3	81.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.8	39.0	72.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	39.8	38.7	78.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.2	38.8	75.0	-2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/15	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	73-79
27/05/14	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	88-78
25/05/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	84-82
23/05/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	82-71
21/05/14	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	87-67
19/05/14	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	73-59
17/02/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	79-88
04/11/13	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	75-55

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/15	A	Brindisi	85-73
26/04/15	H	Virtus Bologna	117-92
19/04/15	A	Capo d'Orlando	57-71
16/04/15	A	Cantu	64-83
12/04/15	H	Virtus Roma	77-56
09/04/15	H	CSKA Moscow	79-88
06/04/15	A	Caserta	82-78
03/04/15	A	Anadolu Efes	78-86
29/03/15	H	Sassari	97-80
26/03/15	H	Baskonia	99-85

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/15	H	Varese	87-103
26/04/15	A	Pesaro	86-82
19/04/15	H	Reggiana	92-78
13/04/15	A	Avellino	69-73
04/04/15	A	Brindisi	77-89
30/03/15	H	Cantu	88-87 OT
22/03/15	A	Virtus Roma	63-70
18/03/15	H	Trento	86-69
14/03/15	H	Venezia	82-90
01/03/15	A	Virtus Bologna	67-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	86%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	86%	100%	73%
Points / game	86.4	91.4	81.8
Allowed / game	73.3	70.2	76.1
Point differential	+13.1	+21.1	+5.7
Avg total	159.7	161.6	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	79%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pistoia

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	45%
Home	LWWWL	47%
Away	LLLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	45%	47%	43%
Points / game	76.9	81.8	71.6
Allowed / game	77.7	78.9	76.5
Point differential	-0.8	+2.9	-4.9
Avg total	154.6	160.7	148.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	33% (3)	71% (7)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Named Sport Team	1	1	0	100%	146.0	143.0	+3.0
2	Olimpia Milano	29	25	4	86%	86.4	73.3	+13.1
3	Venezia	29	21	8	72%	79.7	74.3	+5.4
4	Reggiana	29	20	9	69%	77.6	74.3	+3.2
5	Sassari	29	18	11	62%	84.5	81.0	+3.5
6	Trento	30	18	12	60%	82.9	82.2	+0.7
7	Brindisi	29	16	13	55%	76.4	74.6	+1.8
8	Virtus Bologna	29	15	14	52%	77.6	80.0	-2.4
9	Cantu	29	14	15	48%	79.7	78.6	+1.1
10	Pistoia	29	13	16	45%	76.9	77.7	-0.8
11	Cremona	29	12	17	41%	76.6	77.6	-1.0
12	Varese	29	12	17	41%	81.1	82.8	-1.7
13	Virtus Roma	29	12	17	41%	71.3	73.5	-2.2
14	Avellino	29	11	18	38%	76.2	78.4	-2.2
15	Capo d'Orlando	29	10	19	34%	69.9	73.5	-3.6
16	Caserta	29	8	21	28%	75.3	79.8	-4.5
17	Pesaro	29	7	22	24%	72.0	82.5	-10.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	24	18	16	20	78
Pistoia	21	21	19	16	77

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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