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Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 101-74
31-20 17-13 29-21 24-20
Position#1
Record21-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.3
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#13
Record9-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game80.8
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia
13 Apr 2025
MIL95
PIS80
26 Nov 2023
MIL81
PIS86
11 Nov 2019
MIL83
PIS63
21 Oct 2018
MIL107
PIS83
06 May 2018
MIL101
PIS74
27 Nov 2016
MIL104
PIS70
01 Nov 2015
MIL89
PIS71
10 May 2015
MIL78
PIS77
27 May 2014
MIL88
PIS78
21 May 2014
MIL87
PIS67
19 May 2014
MIL73
PIS59
04 Nov 2013
MIL75
PIS55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
88avg 108
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
no box
H22/03
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
109avg 108
A25/03
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
W
83-78
83
78
+5
107avg 108
A29/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
117avg 108
H31/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
no box
H05/04
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
90-78
90
78
+12
121avg 108
H08/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
98-93
98
93
+5
128avg 108
A15/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
A22/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
95avg 108
H29/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
18-14
16-23
15-23
23-17
20-23
22-28
24-25
15-19
19-18
23-17
25-21
28-23
15-20
17-21
23-14
15-16
24-20
25-23
28-19
27-18
28-24
14-19
18-26
16-23
27-19
24-23
23-13
24-18
28-25
22-20
24-30
18-24
27-24
15-16
15-11
16-18
19-13
13-24
22-20
168.0Avg total
84.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.374.3155.6+7.075%
Season at home (14)86.276.7162.9+9.579%
Season away (14)76.471.9148.3+4.471%
Last 10 (10)84.983.1168.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)87.686.0173.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.188.6167.7-9.429%
vs Similar (9)87.785.4173.1+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.276.7162.8+9.577%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
171avg 110
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
108avg 110
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
85-106
85
106
-21
116avg 110
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
96avg 110
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
123avg 110
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
114avg 110
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
no box
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
94avg 110
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
93avg 110
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
85avg 110
H29/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-27
21-29
15-21
17-16
16-14
22-18
19-17
20-26
22-33
22-19
21-28
18-21
21-20
27-17
8-20
27-13
18-20
25-24
23-26
31-11
12-16
20-28
21-22
14-27
19-16
24-16
12-10
28-19
12-13
16-29
13-19
23-21
16-21
14-20
17-23
14-23
18-22
14-14
15-15
158.2Avg total
75.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.180.8155.9-5.732%
Season at home (14)77.377.4154.6-0.150%
Season away (14)72.984.3157.2-11.414%
Last 10 (10)75.382.9158.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)71.279.2150.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.083.3156.3-10.315%
vs Similar (8)80.979.6160.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (2)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
Olimpia MilanoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/03
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/03
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H05/04
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A15/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H29/04
Lega A
81.6Avg total
42.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.083.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.041.485.4+2.669%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.581.6+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.381.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.287.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.443.483.9-3.043%-
vs Similar (9)44.642.687.1+2.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.837.380.2+5.577%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/04
Lega A
78.4Avg total
38.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.979.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.877.6+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.381.1-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.378.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.875.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.642.579.1-5.820%-
vs Similar (8)41.939.181.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker (2)41.532.574.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.0
52.2%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
73.0%15.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.2
45.0%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.610.9
65.7%
73.0%10.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWLWWWLL
Pistoia
LLLLWWLLWL
#1
League position
#13
+3.2
Net rating
-7.1
116.4
Offensive rating
100.7
113.2
Defensive rating
107.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.9%
3-point %
33.2%
51.0%
Assist %
53.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 100.7Defence113.2 · 107.8Shooting53.5% · 47.0%3-point %36.9% · 33.2%Ball care14.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
08/01/18Pistoia v Olimpia Milano63-79
26/03/17Pistoia v Olimpia Milano85-74
27/11/16Olimpia Milano v Pistoia104-70
14/02/16Pistoia v Olimpia Milano80-85
01/11/15Olimpia Milano v Pistoia89-71
10/05/15Olimpia Milano v Pistoia78-77
12/01/15Pistoia v Olimpia Milano73-79
27/05/14Olimpia Milano v Pistoia88-78
25/05/14Pistoia v Olimpia Milano84-82
23/05/14Pistoia v Olimpia Milano82-71
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/18HPesaro70-75
22/04/18ABrescia85-88 OT
15/04/18ACantu98-93
08/04/18HTorino90-78
05/04/18HPanathinaikos95-96 OT
31/03/18HReggiana92-78
29/03/18ABamberg83-78
25/03/18AAvellino82-75
22/03/18HValencia89-93
20/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas65-77
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/18HVirtus Bologna61-74
22/04/18ATrento70-85
15/04/18HSassari69-80
08/04/18APesaro72-80 OT
31/03/18ATorino84-77
25/03/18HVenezia93-83
17/03/18HReggiana74-78
11/03/18ACantu85-106
04/03/18HVarese74-65
11/02/18AAvellino71-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%79%71%
Points / game81.386.276.4
Allowed / game74.376.771.9
Point differential+7.0+9.5+4.4
Avg total155.6162.9148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%50%14%
Points / game75.177.372.9
Allowed / game80.877.484.3
Point differential-5.7-0.1-11.4
Avg total155.9154.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia2822679%82.878.6+4.2
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%81.374.3+7.0
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino28181064%83.777.7+6.0
5 Trento28171161%80.876.6+4.2
6 Varese28151354%78.075.0+3.0
7 Virtus Bologna28151354%78.275.6+2.6
8 Cantu28151354%87.587.8-0.2
9 Sassari28141450%85.582.9+2.6
10 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
11 Reggiana28121643%76.678.1-1.5
12 Torino28121643%80.282.6-2.4
13 Pistoia2891932%75.180.8-5.7
14 Brindisi2882029%77.081.8-4.8
15 Pesaro2872125%76.984.3-7.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2862221%71.084.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano31172924101
Pistoia2013212074
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