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Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-63
21-12 21-16 33-15 8-20
Position#4
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#16
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game83.1
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia
13 Apr 2025
MIL95
PIS80
26 Nov 2023
MIL81
PIS86
11 Nov 2019
MIL83
PIS63
21 Oct 2018
MIL107
PIS83
06 May 2018
MIL101
PIS74
27 Nov 2016
MIL104
PIS70
01 Nov 2015
MIL89
PIS71
10 May 2015
MIL78
PIS77
27 May 2014
MIL88
PIS78
21 May 2014
MIL87
PIS67
19 May 2014
MIL73
PIS59
04 Nov 2013
MIL75
PIS55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H06/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A20/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A27/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
39-21
14-22
26-23
20-13
13-26
19-20
22-23
13-18
29-12
16-14
18-17
23-19
12-14
21-9
19-11
10-21
21-10
17-23
17-19
23-14
21-14
21-20
23-25
24-24
22-29
15-21
28-18
24-16
13-24
17-23
24-19
16-29
14-14
32-15
17-15
26-14
20-16
28-15
19-24
155.6Avg total
81.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.073.6154.6+7.457%
Season at home (4)83.876.8160.5+7.050%
Season away (3)77.369.3146.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)81.074.6155.6+6.460%
Last 5 (5)85.477.8163.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.299.5191.8-7.20%
vs Similar (12)83.182.1165.2+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.476.5161.9+8.877%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A25/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
16-22
14-17
19-26
14-18
13-22
23-28
20-30
22-20
22-25
17-33
12-10
19-19
18-25
17-24
21-20
12-18
18-24
23-20
25-26
9-15
24-26
23-22
16-24
19-22
16-19
17-24
15-16
23-20
20-17
13-20
16-27
17-22
22-17
15-16
17-27
14-19
16-17
19-17
27-19
158.0Avg total
72.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.083.1156.1-10.114%
Season at home (3)73.780.3154.0-6.733%
Season away (4)72.585.2157.8-12.80%
Last 10 (10)72.885.2158.0-12.410%
Last 5 (5)71.681.2152.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.380.6153.9-7.321%
vs Similar (2)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
Olimpia MilanoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A20/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A27/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H03/11
Lega A
76.7Avg total
39.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.082.1+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.339.482.7+3.844%-
Last 30 away (12)40.240.981.1-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.076.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.548.897.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (12)41.440.882.2+0.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.136.577.6+4.554%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/11
Lega A
76.5Avg total
35.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.340.478.7-2.131%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.140.277.3-3.121%-
Last 30 away (15)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.676.5-4.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.874.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.140.278.3-2.133%-
vs Similar (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.7%
52.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.6
33.0%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.417.6
78.6%
73.6%17.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.916.9
47.1%
52.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.4
31.4%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
73.6%16.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWLWWLW
Pistoia
WLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#16
+9.8
Net rating
-16.5
112.2
Offensive rating
97.5
102.5
Defensive rating
114.1
53.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.0%
3-point %
31.4%
54.7%
Assist %
47.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 97.5Defence102.5 · 114.1Shooting53.9% · 47.1%3-point %33.0% · 31.4%Ball care17.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.0% · 22.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/19HVarese93-69
27/10/19AVirtus Roma79-73
20/10/19ACremona78-82
13/10/19HBrindisi89-92
06/10/19HTrieste88-73
29/09/19HBrescia65-73
26/09/19ATreviso75-53
20/05/19HAvellino76-61
18/05/19HAvellino74-82
12/05/19HTrieste93-88
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/19HTrieste76-72
27/10/19AFortitudo Bologna71-82
20/10/19AReggiana72-84
12/10/19HVirtus Roma67-81
06/10/19ATreviso72-87
29/09/19HVirtus Bologna78-88
25/09/19ATrento75-88
12/05/19HAvellino73-88
05/05/19AVarese70-98
27/04/19HCantu74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game81.083.877.3
Allowed / game73.676.869.3
Point differential+7.4+7.0+8.0
Avg total154.6160.5146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game73.073.772.5
Allowed / game83.180.385.2
Point differential-10.1-6.7-12.8
Avg total156.1154.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna880100%82.974.0+8.9
2 Brindisi86275%84.080.4+3.6
3 Sassari75271%79.666.6+13.0
4 Brescia85362%83.275.9+7.4
5 Olimpia Milano74357%81.073.6+7.4
6 Reggiana74357%81.176.6+4.6
7 Trento74357%80.080.4-0.4
8 Venezia84450%72.269.6+2.6
9 Fortitudo Bologna84450%75.078.0-3.0
10 Virtus Roma84450%76.081.0-5.0
11 Varese73443%78.977.9+1.0
12 Cantu73443%70.074.4-4.4
13 Cremona73443%75.080.7-5.7
14 Treviso83538%77.678.4-0.8
15 Trieste72529%70.478.1-7.7
16 Pistoia71614%73.083.1-10.1
17 Pesaro7070%80.693.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano212133883
Pistoia1216152063
← all games of the day
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