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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 104-94
30-22 24-23 20-28 30-21
Position#1
Record18-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#2
Record15-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game77.9
ItalyLega ARound 22· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
87avg 80
H01/02
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
70-80
70
80
-10
64avg 80
H04/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
66avg 80
A06/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
78avg 80
A09/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
60-91
60
91
-31
48avg 80
A12/02
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 80
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 80
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
80avg 80
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
85avg 80
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
72avg 80
H11/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-22
28-21
13-24
17-21
16-22
21-12
16-25
23-24
11-37
16-28
27-20
23-19
23-18
25-18
16-24
19-22
16-21
10-21
15-27
31-15
23-34
17-16
19-21
20-28
27-15
21-14
17-23
23-22
17-24
21-18
23-28
16-21
23-19
24-10
27-21
25-29
23-23
15-13
19-23
167.3Avg total
81.0Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.974.3157.2+8.686%
Season at home (10)80.572.6153.1+7.980%
Season away (11)85.175.9161.0+9.291%
Last 10 (10)81.086.3167.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)86.283.4169.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.586.8169.4-4.338%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.980.1159.0-1.250%
vs Weaker (9)78.268.1146.3+10.189%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 81
H01/02
Lega A
Baskonia
#18
W
109-89
109
89
+20
110avg 81
H03/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
77-76
77
76
+1
78avg 81
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 81
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 81
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 81
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 81
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
90avg 81
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
74avg 81
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
25-23
14-23
17-24
32-29
25-27
27-15
25-18
20-22
22-15
25-16
10-23
16-15
21-17
20-20
19-19
20-18
26-33
13-22
19-23
23-20
25-11
23-17
15-19
19-29
28-20
17-24
22-19
24-17
22-17
32-17
9-33
33-20
14-21
19-22
22-23
25-26
28-16
21-25
22-20
170.2Avg total
86.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.977.9162.8+7.071%
Season at home (11)84.280.2164.4+4.064%
Season away (10)85.775.4161.1+10.380%
Last 10 (10)86.483.8170.2+2.670%
Last 5 (5)88.683.2171.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.791.3174.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.286.8174.0+0.453%
vs Weaker (12)84.280.0164.2+4.283%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H04/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A06/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A12/02
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H11/03
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
42.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.342.484.8-0.152%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.687.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (14)39.642.381.9-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.687.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.091.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.244.887.1-2.646%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.641.582.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker (8)44.239.583.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H01/02
Lega A
Baskonia
#18
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H03/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H13/03
Euroleague
88.9Avg total
47.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.188.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.442.388.7+4.267%-
Last 30 away (12)43.444.487.8-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)47.341.688.9+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.487.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.346.089.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.145.591.5+0.640%-
vs Weaker (12)44.739.584.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.3
60.3%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.010.1
77.7%
76.1%10.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.418.2
59.9%
54.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.611.8
80.8%
76.1%11.8
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLWWLWLLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLWWWL
#1
League position
#2
-6.5
Net rating
+3.1
84.0
Offensive rating
90.7
90.5
Defensive rating
87.6
56.3%
Effective FG%
57.9%
59.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.2%
3-point %
37.2%
65.4%
Assist %
68.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.0 · 90.7Defence90.5 · 87.6Shooting56.3% · 57.9%3-point %34.2% · 37.2%Ball care16.3% · 13.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HPartizan82-88
07/03/26ABasket Napoli90-71
05/03/26AReal Madrid84-92
25/02/26HBarcelona85-80
15/02/26HUdine90-86
12/02/26AAnadolu Efes60-91
09/02/26ABrescia87-79
06/02/26AOlympiacos77-109
04/02/26HLyon-Villeurbanne70-80
01/02/26HTrento85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv96-87
09/03/26HCantu88-86
05/03/26HBarcelona87-84
26/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-92
15/02/26ACremona86-67
13/02/26HDubai78-96
09/02/26ATreviso76-71
06/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
03/02/26HBaskonia109-89
01/02/26HBrescia81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%80%91%
Points / game82.980.585.1
Allowed / game74.372.675.9
Point differential+8.6+7.9+9.2
Avg total157.2153.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%60%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%64%80%
Points / game84.984.285.7
Allowed / game77.980.275.4
Point differential+7.0+4.0+10.3
Avg total162.8164.4161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2118386%82.974.3+8.6
2 Brescia2116576%88.383.4+4.9
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%84.977.9+7.0
4 Venezia2115671%91.685.7+5.9
5 Tortona2114767%87.986.3+1.6
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste21111052%84.587.3-2.8
8 Trento22101245%82.881.4+1.4
9 Varese22101245%83.386.3-3.0
10 Reggiana2191243%81.981.1+0.7
11 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
12 Sassari2281436%86.188.7-2.6
13 Cremona2281436%81.784.9-3.1
14 Basket Napoli2171433%82.887.0-4.1
15 Cantu2261627%84.088.8-4.8
16 Treviso2131814%81.390.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna30242030104
Olimpia Milano2223282194
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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